Bellus Stock Market Value

BLU
 Stock
  

USD 10.15  0.25  2.40%   

Bellus Health's market value is the price at which a share of Bellus Health stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Bellus Health investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Bellus Health and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Bellus Health over a given investment horizon. Continue to Bellus Health Correlation, Bellus Health Volatility and Bellus Health Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Bellus Health.
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Is Bellus Health's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bellus Health. If investors know Bellus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bellus Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Bellus Health is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bellus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bellus Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bellus Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bellus Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bellus Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bellus Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Bellus Health value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bellus Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Bellus Health 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Bellus Health's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Bellus Health.
0.00
10/16/2020
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
10/06/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Bellus Health on October 16, 2020 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Bellus Health or generate 0.0% return on investment in Bellus Health over 720 days. Bellus Health is related to or competes with DEUTSCHE BOERSE, 2ndvote Life, Singapore Exchan, Factset Research, Nasdaq, and Singapore Exchange. BELLUS Health Inc., a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, develops therapeutics for the treatment of refractory ch... More

Bellus Health Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Bellus Health's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Bellus Health upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Bellus Health Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Bellus Health's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Bellus Health's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Bellus Health historical prices to predict the future Bellus Health's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bellus Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Bellus Health in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
6.2710.1414.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
7.3011.1715.04
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
7.5013.6920.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bellus Health. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bellus Health's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bellus Health's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Bellus Health.

Bellus Health Backtested Returns

Bellus Health secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0061, which signifies that the company had -0.0061% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards foreseeing the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Bellus Health exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to confirm Bellus Health mean deviation of 3.01, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.001758) to double-check the risk estimate we provide.
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.0374, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Bellus's beta means in this case. Bellus Health returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Bellus Health is expected to follow. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Bellus Health historical returns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity current trending patterns. Our philosophy towards foreseeing any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Bellus Health exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Bellus Health has an expected return of -0.0236%. Please be advised to confirm Bellus Health downside deviation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the Jensen Alpha and downside variance to decide if Bellus Health performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.34  

Below average predictability

Bellus Health has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Bellus Health time series from 16th of October 2020 to 11th of October 2021 and 11th of October 2021 to 6th of October 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Bellus Health price movement. The serial correlation of 0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current Bellus Health price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.34
Spearman Rank Test0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.39

Bellus Health lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Bellus Health stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Bellus Health's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Bellus Health returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Bellus Health stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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       Timeline  

Bellus Health regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Bellus Health stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Bellus Health stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Bellus Health stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
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       Timeline  

Bellus Health Lagged Returns

When evaluating Bellus Health's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Bellus Health stock have on its future price. Bellus Health autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Bellus Health autocorrelation shows the relationship between Bellus Health stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Bellus Health.
   Regressed Prices   
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       Timeline  

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Bellus Health in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Bellus Health's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Bellus Health options trading.

Pair Trading with Bellus Health

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Bellus Health position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Bellus Health will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Bellus Health could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Bellus Health when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Bellus Health - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Bellus Health to buy it.
The correlation of Bellus Health is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Bellus Health moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Bellus Health moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Bellus Health can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Continue to Bellus Health Correlation, Bellus Health Volatility and Bellus Health Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Bellus Health. You can also try CEO Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

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When running Bellus Health price analysis, check to measure Bellus Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bellus Health is operating at the current time. Most of Bellus Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bellus Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bellus Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bellus Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Bellus Health technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Bellus Health technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Bellus Health trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...