Bar Harbor Stock Market Value

BHB
 Stock
  

USD 27.12  0.36  1.31%   

Bar Harbor's market value is the price at which a share of Bar Harbor stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Bar Harbor Bankshares investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Bar Harbor Bankshares and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Bar Harbor over a given investment horizon. Continue to Bar Harbor Correlation, Bar Harbor Volatility and Bar Harbor Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Bar Harbor.
Symbol


Is Bar Harbor's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bar Harbor. If investors know Bar Harbor will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bar Harbor listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Bar Harbor Bankshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bar Harbor that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bar Harbor's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bar Harbor's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bar Harbor's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bar Harbor's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bar Harbor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Bar Harbor value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bar Harbor's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Bar Harbor 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Bar Harbor's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Bar Harbor.
0.00
08/27/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
09/26/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Bar Harbor on August 27, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Bar Harbor Bankshares or generate 0.0% return on investment in Bar Harbor over 30 days. Bar Harbor Bankshares operates as the holding company for Bar Harbor Bank Trust that provides commercial, lending, retai... More

Bar Harbor Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Bar Harbor's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Bar Harbor Bankshares upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Bar Harbor Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Bar Harbor's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Bar Harbor's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Bar Harbor historical prices to predict the future Bar Harbor's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bar Harbor's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Bar Harbor in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
25.8227.5429.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
24.7333.0934.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
26.8128.5330.26
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
34.0034.5035.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bar Harbor. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bar Harbor's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bar Harbor's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Bar Harbor Bankshares.

Bar Harbor Bankshares Backtested Returns

We consider Bar Harbor very steady. Bar Harbor Bankshares secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0518, which signifies that the company had 0.0518% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards foreseeing the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Bar Harbor Bankshares, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please confirm Bar Harbor Bankshares Downside Deviation of 1.71, risk adjusted performance of 0.0936, and Mean Deviation of 1.52 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0897%.
Bar Harbor has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.2466, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Bar Harbor's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Bar Harbor will likely underperform. Although it is important to respect Bar Harbor Bankshares historical returns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on the equity's current trending patterns. The philosophy towards foreseeing future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By analyzing Bar Harbor Bankshares technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.0897% will be sustainable into the future. Bar Harbor Bankshares right now shows a risk of 1.73%. Please confirm Bar Harbor Bankshares total risk alpha, value at risk, expected short fall, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and downside variance to decide if Bar Harbor Bankshares will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.78  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

Bar Harbor Bankshares has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Bar Harbor time series from 27th of August 2022 to 11th of September 2022 and 11th of September 2022 to 26th of September 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Bar Harbor Bankshares price movement. The serial correlation of -0.78 indicates that around 78.0% of current Bar Harbor price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.78
Spearman Rank Test0.21
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.66

Bar Harbor Bankshares lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Bar Harbor stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Bar Harbor's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Bar Harbor returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Bar Harbor stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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       Timeline  

Bar Harbor regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Bar Harbor stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Bar Harbor stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Bar Harbor stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
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       Timeline  

Bar Harbor Lagged Returns

When evaluating Bar Harbor's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Bar Harbor stock have on its future price. Bar Harbor autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Bar Harbor autocorrelation shows the relationship between Bar Harbor stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Bar Harbor Bankshares.
   Regressed Prices   
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       Timeline  

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Bar Harbor without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Pair Trading with Bar Harbor

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Bar Harbor position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Bar Harbor will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Bar Harbor

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Bar Harbor could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Bar Harbor when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Bar Harbor - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Bar Harbor Bankshares to buy it.
The correlation of Bar Harbor is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Bar Harbor moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Bar Harbor Bankshares moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Bar Harbor can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Continue to Bar Harbor Correlation, Bar Harbor Volatility and Bar Harbor Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Bar Harbor. Note that the Bar Harbor Bankshares information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Bar Harbor's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Focused Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.

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When running Bar Harbor Bankshares price analysis, check to measure Bar Harbor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bar Harbor is operating at the current time. Most of Bar Harbor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bar Harbor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bar Harbor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bar Harbor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Bar Harbor technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Bar Harbor technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Bar Harbor trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...