Bank First Stock Market Value

BFC
 Stock
  

USD 75.81  0.35  0.46%   

Bank First's market value is the price at which a share of Bank First stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Bank First National investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Bank First National and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Bank First over a given investment horizon. Continue to Bank First Hype Analysis, Bank First Correlation, Bank First Valuation, Bank First Volatility, as well as analyze Bank First Alpha and Beta and Bank First Performance.
Symbol
Backtest


Is Bank First's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bank First. If investors know Bank First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bank First listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.1
Market Capitalization
570.5 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.044
Return On Assets
0.0153
Return On Equity
0.14
The market value of Bank First National is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bank First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bank First's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bank First's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bank First's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bank First's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bank First's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Bank First value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bank First's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Bank First 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Bank First's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Bank First.
0.00
05/02/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 1 day
07/01/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Bank First on May 2, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Bank First National or generate 0.0% return on investment in Bank First over 60 days. Bank First is related to or competes with Bar Harbor, Caterpillar, Dupont Denemours, Alcoa Corp, ATT, Coca Cola, and Microsoft Corp. Bank First Corporation operates as a holding company for Bank First N.AMore

Bank First Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Bank First's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Bank First National upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Bank First Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Bank First's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Bank First's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Bank First historical prices to predict the future Bank First's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bank First's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Bank First in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
74.4075.6976.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
68.2382.0483.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
75.6276.9278.21
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
76.0076.0076.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bank First. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bank First's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bank First's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Bank First National.

Bank First National Backtested Returns

We consider Bank First very steady. Bank First National secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0745, which signifies that the company had 0.0745% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards foreseeing the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Bank First National, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please confirm Bank First National Downside Deviation of 1.19, mean deviation of 0.9909, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.085 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0963%.
Bank First has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.5536, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what Bank First's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, Bank First returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bank First will be expected to be smaller as well. Although it is important to respect Bank First National historical returns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on the equity's current trending patterns. The philosophy towards foreseeing future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By analyzing Bank First National technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.0963% will be sustainable into the future. Bank First National right now shows a risk of 1.29%. Please confirm Bank First National maximum drawdown, semi variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and potential upside to decide if Bank First National will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.14  

Insignificant predictability

Bank First National has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Bank First time series from 2nd of May 2022 to 1st of June 2022 and 1st of June 2022 to 1st of July 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Bank First National price movement. The serial correlation of 0.14 indicates that less than 14.0% of current Bank First price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.14
Spearman Rank Test0.14
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.34

Bank First National lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Bank First stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Bank First's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Bank First returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Bank First stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
 Current and Lagged Values 
Share
      Timeline 

Bank First regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Bank First stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Bank First stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Bank First stock over time.
 Current vs Lagged Prices 
Share
      Timeline 

Bank First Lagged Returns

When evaluating Bank First's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Bank First stock have on its future price. Bank First autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Bank First autocorrelation shows the relationship between Bank First stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Bank First National.
 Regressed Prices 
Share
      Timeline 

Bank First Investors Sentiment

The influence of Bank First's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Bank First. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Bank First in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Bank First's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Bank First options trading.

Current Sentiment - BFC

Bank First National Investor Sentiment

Macroaxis portfolio users are unresponsive in their opinion about investing in Bank First National. What is your opinion about investing in Bank First National? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
50% Bullish
50% Bearish

Pair Trading with Bank First

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Bank First position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Bank First will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Bank First Pair Correlation

Correlation Analysis For Direct Indexing and Tax-loss Harvesting

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Bank First could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Bank First when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Bank First - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Bank First National to buy it.
The correlation of Bank First is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Bank First moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Bank First National moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Bank First can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Continue to Bank First Hype Analysis, Bank First Correlation, Bank First Valuation, Bank First Volatility, as well as analyze Bank First Alpha and Beta and Bank First Performance. Note that the Bank First National information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Bank First's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

Complementary Tools for Bank First Stock analysis

When running Bank First National price analysis, check to measure Bank First's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bank First is operating at the current time. Most of Bank First's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bank First's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bank First's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bank First to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Bank First technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Bank First technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Bank First trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...