Build-A-Bear Stock Market Value

BBW
 Stock
  

USD 16.58  1.10  6.22%   

Build-A-Bear Workshop's market value is the price at which a share of Build-A-Bear Workshop stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Build-A-Bear Workshop investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Build-A-Bear Workshop and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Build-A-Bear Workshop over a given investment horizon. Continue to Build-A-Bear Workshop Hype Analysis, Build-A-Bear Workshop Correlation, Build-A-Bear Workshop Valuation, Build-A-Bear Workshop Volatility, as well as analyze Build-A-Bear Workshop Alpha and Beta and Build-A-Bear Workshop Performance.
Symbol
Backtest


Is Build-A-Bear Workshop's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Build-A-Bear Workshop. If investors know Build-A-Bear will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Build-A-Bear Workshop listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Build-A-Bear Workshop is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Build-A-Bear that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Build-A-Bear Workshop's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Build-A-Bear Workshop's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Build-A-Bear Workshop's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Build-A-Bear Workshop's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Build-A-Bear Workshop's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Build-A-Bear Workshop value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Build-A-Bear Workshop's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Build-A-Bear Workshop 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Build-A-Bear Workshop's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Build-A-Bear Workshop.
0.00
05/31/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
06/30/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Build-A-Bear Workshop on May 31, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Build-A-Bear Workshop or generate 0.0% return on investment in Build-A-Bear Workshop over 30 days. Build-A-Bear Workshop is related to or competes with Walmart, Caterpillar, B of A, Verizon Communications, Allena Pharmaceuticals, Alcoa Corp, and ATT. Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc. operates as a multi-channel retailer of plush animals and related productsMore

Build-A-Bear Workshop Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Build-A-Bear Workshop's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Build-A-Bear Workshop upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Build-A-Bear Workshop Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Build-A-Bear Workshop's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Build-A-Bear Workshop's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Build-A-Bear Workshop historical prices to predict the future Build-A-Bear Workshop's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Build-A-Bear Workshop's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Build-A-Bear Workshop in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
12.3316.6020.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
14.9220.8725.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
12.0116.2820.55
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
33.0033.0033.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Build-A-Bear Workshop. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Build-A-Bear Workshop's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Build-A-Bear Workshop's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Build-A-Bear Workshop.

Build-A-Bear Workshop Backtested Returns

Build-A-Bear Workshop secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -2.0E-4, which signifies that the company had -2.0E-4% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards foreseeing the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Build-A-Bear Workshop exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to confirm Build-A-Bear Workshop mean deviation of 3.21, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.00060088) to double-check the risk estimate we provide.
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.4924, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Build-A-Bear's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Build-A-Bear Workshop will likely underperform. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Build-A-Bear Workshop historical returns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity current trending patterns. Our philosophy towards foreseeing any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Build-A-Bear Workshop exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Build-A-Bear Workshop has an expected return of -9.0E-4%. Please be advised to confirm Build-A-Bear Workshop potential upside, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and kurtosis to decide if Build-A-Bear Workshop performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.60  

Good predictability

Build-A-Bear Workshop has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Build-A-Bear Workshop time series from 31st of May 2022 to 15th of June 2022 and 15th of June 2022 to 30th of June 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Build-A-Bear Workshop price movement. The serial correlation of 0.6 indicates that roughly 60.0% of current Build-A-Bear Workshop price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.6
Spearman Rank Test0.75
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.28

Build-A-Bear Workshop lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Build-A-Bear Workshop stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Build-A-Bear Workshop's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Build-A-Bear Workshop returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Build-A-Bear Workshop stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
 Current and Lagged Values 
Share
      Timeline 

Build-A-Bear Workshop regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Build-A-Bear Workshop stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Build-A-Bear Workshop stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Build-A-Bear Workshop stock over time.
 Current vs Lagged Prices 
Share
      Timeline 

Build-A-Bear Workshop Lagged Returns

When evaluating Build-A-Bear Workshop's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Build-A-Bear Workshop stock have on its future price. Build-A-Bear Workshop autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Build-A-Bear Workshop autocorrelation shows the relationship between Build-A-Bear Workshop stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Build-A-Bear Workshop.
 Regressed Prices 
Share
      Timeline 

Build-A-Bear Workshop Investors Sentiment

The influence of Build-A-Bear Workshop's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Build-A-Bear. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Build-A-Bear Workshop Implied Volatility

    
  86.27  
Build-A-Bear Workshop's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Build-A-Bear Workshop stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Build-A-Bear Workshop's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Build-A-Bear Workshop stock will not fluctuate a lot when Build-A-Bear Workshop's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Build-A-Bear Workshop in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Build-A-Bear Workshop's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Build-A-Bear Workshop options trading.

Current Sentiment - BBW

Build-A-Bear Workshop Investor Sentiment

Greater number of Macroaxis users are currently bullish on Build-A-Bear Workshop. What is your opinion about investing in Build-A-Bear Workshop? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish

Pair Trading with Build-A-Bear Workshop

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Build-A-Bear Workshop position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Build-A-Bear Workshop will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Build-A-Bear Workshop Pair Correlation

Correlation Analysis For Direct Indexing and Tax-loss Harvesting

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Build-A-Bear Workshop could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Build-A-Bear Workshop when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Build-A-Bear Workshop - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Build-A-Bear Workshop to buy it.
The correlation of Build-A-Bear Workshop is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Build-A-Bear Workshop moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Build-A-Bear Workshop moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Build-A-Bear Workshop can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Continue to Build-A-Bear Workshop Hype Analysis, Build-A-Bear Workshop Correlation, Build-A-Bear Workshop Valuation, Build-A-Bear Workshop Volatility, as well as analyze Build-A-Bear Workshop Alpha and Beta and Build-A-Bear Workshop Performance. Note that the Build-A-Bear Workshop information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Build-A-Bear Workshop's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

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Build-A-Bear Workshop technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Build-A-Bear Workshop technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Build-A-Bear Workshop trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...