Atlantic Stock Market Value

AUB
 Stock
  

USD 35.43  0.58  1.66%   

Atlantic Union's market value is the price at which a share of Atlantic Union stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Atlantic Union Bancshares investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Atlantic Union Bancshares and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Atlantic Union over a given investment horizon. Please continue to Atlantic Union Correlation, Atlantic Union Volatility and Atlantic Union Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Atlantic Union.
Symbol


Is Atlantic Union's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Atlantic Union. If investors know Atlantic will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Atlantic Union listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.21) 
Market Capitalization
2.6 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.09) 
Return On Assets
0.0106
Return On Equity
0.0851
The market value of Atlantic Union Bancshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Atlantic that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Atlantic Union's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Atlantic Union's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Atlantic Union's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Atlantic Union's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Atlantic Union's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Atlantic Union value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Atlantic Union's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Atlantic Union 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Atlantic Union's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Atlantic Union.
0.00
09/27/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
11/26/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Atlantic Union on September 27, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Atlantic Union Bancshares or generate 0.0% return on investment in Atlantic Union over 60 days. Atlantic Union is related to or competes with BRASIL ON, and BRADESCO. Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation operates as the holding company for Atlantic Union Bank that provides banking and ... More

Atlantic Union Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Atlantic Union's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Atlantic Union Bancshares upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Atlantic Union Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Atlantic Union's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Atlantic Union's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Atlantic Union historical prices to predict the future Atlantic Union's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Atlantic Union's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Atlantic Union in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
28.9230.9238.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
31.8939.3741.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
34.1536.1538.15
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
42.0043.6745.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Atlantic Union. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Atlantic Union's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Atlantic Union's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Atlantic Union Bancshares.

Atlantic Union Bancshares Backtested Returns

We consider Atlantic Union very steady. Atlantic Union Bancshares secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0262, which signifies that the company had 0.0262% of return per unit of risk over the last 24 months. Our standpoint towards foreseeing the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Atlantic Union Bancshares, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please confirm Atlantic Union Bancshares Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0494, mean deviation of 1.61, and Downside Deviation of 1.97 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0511%.
Atlantic Union has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.2963, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Atlantic's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Atlantic Union will likely underperform. Although it is important to respect Atlantic Union Bancshares historical returns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on the equity's current trending patterns. The philosophy towards foreseeing future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By analyzing Atlantic Union Bancshares technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.0511% will be sustainable into the future. Atlantic Union Bancshares right now shows a risk of 1.95%. Please confirm Atlantic Union Bancshares jensen alpha, potential upside, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and expected short fall to decide if Atlantic Union Bancshares will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.38  

Below average predictability

Atlantic Union Bancshares has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Atlantic Union time series from 27th of September 2022 to 27th of October 2022 and 27th of October 2022 to 26th of November 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Atlantic Union Bancshares price movement. The serial correlation of 0.38 indicates that just about 38.0% of current Atlantic Union price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.38
Spearman Rank Test0.46
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.37

Atlantic Union Bancshares lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Atlantic Union stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Atlantic Union's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Atlantic Union returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Atlantic Union stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
Share
       Timeline  

Atlantic Union regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Atlantic Union stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Atlantic Union stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Atlantic Union stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Atlantic Union Lagged Returns

When evaluating Atlantic Union's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Atlantic Union stock have on its future price. Atlantic Union autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Atlantic Union autocorrelation shows the relationship between Atlantic Union stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Atlantic Union Bancshares.
   Regressed Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Atlantic Union Investors Sentiment

The influence of Atlantic Union's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Atlantic. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Atlantic Union's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Atlantic. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Atlantic can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Atlantic Union Bancshares. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Atlantic Union's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Atlantic Union's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Atlantic Union's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Atlantic Union.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Atlantic Union in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Atlantic Union's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Atlantic Union options trading.

Pair Trading with Atlantic Union

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Atlantic Union position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Atlantic Union will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Atlantic Union could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Atlantic Union when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Atlantic Union - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Atlantic Union Bancshares to buy it.
The correlation of Atlantic Union is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Atlantic Union moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Atlantic Union Bancshares moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Atlantic Union can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Please continue to Atlantic Union Correlation, Atlantic Union Volatility and Atlantic Union Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Atlantic Union. You can also try Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Atlantic Union Bancshares price analysis, check to measure Atlantic Union's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Atlantic Union is operating at the current time. Most of Atlantic Union's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Atlantic Union's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Atlantic Union's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Atlantic Union to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Atlantic Union technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Atlantic Union technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Atlantic Union trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...