Arrival Stock Market Value

ARVL
 Stock
  

USD 0.36  0.03  9.09%   

Arrival's market value is the price at which a share of Arrival stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Arrival investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Arrival and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Arrival over a given investment horizon. Please continue to Arrival Correlation, Arrival Volatility and Arrival Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Arrival.
Symbol


Is Arrival's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arrival. If investors know Arrival will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Arrival listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
227.7 M
Return On Assets
(0.14) 
Return On Equity
(0.0472) 
The market value of Arrival is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Arrival that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Arrival's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Arrival's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Arrival's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Arrival's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Arrival's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Arrival value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Arrival's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Arrival 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Arrival's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Arrival.
0.00
10/27/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/26/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Arrival on October 27, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Arrival or generate 0.0% return on investment in Arrival over 30 days. Arrival is related to or competes with RLX Technology. Arrival engages in the research and development, and design of commercial electric vehicles , EVs components, robotic ma... More

Arrival Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Arrival's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Arrival upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Arrival Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Arrival's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Arrival's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Arrival historical prices to predict the future Arrival's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Arrival's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Arrival in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.020.338.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.265.1813.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0083480.428.86
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
17.0019.6725.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Arrival. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Arrival's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Arrival's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Arrival.

Arrival Backtested Returns

Arrival secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.17, which signifies that the company had -0.17% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards foreseeing the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Arrival exposes twenty-six different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to confirm Arrival risk adjusted performance of (0.24), and Mean Deviation of 5.33 to double-check the risk estimate we provide.
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.3182, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Arrival's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Arrival will likely underperform. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Arrival historical returns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity current trending patterns. Our philosophy towards foreseeing any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Arrival exposes twenty-six different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Arrival has an expected return of -1.43%. Please be advised to confirm Arrival maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the expected short fall and rate of daily change to decide if Arrival performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.71  

Good predictability

Arrival has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Arrival time series from 27th of October 2022 to 11th of November 2022 and 11th of November 2022 to 26th of November 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Arrival price movement. The serial correlation of 0.71 indicates that around 71.0% of current Arrival price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.71
Spearman Rank Test0.73
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Arrival lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Arrival stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Arrival's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Arrival returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Arrival stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
Share
       Timeline  

Arrival regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Arrival stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Arrival stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Arrival stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Arrival Lagged Returns

When evaluating Arrival's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Arrival stock have on its future price. Arrival autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Arrival autocorrelation shows the relationship between Arrival stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Arrival.
   Regressed Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Arrival without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Pair Trading with Arrival

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Arrival position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Arrival will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Arrival

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Arrival could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Arrival when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Arrival - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Arrival to buy it.
The correlation of Arrival is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Arrival moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Arrival moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Arrival can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Please continue to Arrival Correlation, Arrival Volatility and Arrival Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Arrival. You can also try Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Arrival price analysis, check to measure Arrival's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arrival is operating at the current time. Most of Arrival's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arrival's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arrival's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arrival to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Arrival technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Arrival technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Arrival trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...