Arqit Stock Market Value

ARQQ
 Stock
  

USD 5.65  0.25  4.63%   

Arqit Quantum's market value is the price at which a share of Arqit Quantum stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Arqit Quantum investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Arqit Quantum and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Arqit Quantum over a given investment horizon. Please continue to Arqit Quantum Hype Analysis, Arqit Quantum Correlation, Arqit Quantum Valuation, Arqit Quantum Volatility, as well as analyze Arqit Quantum Alpha and Beta and Arqit Quantum Performance.
Symbol


Is Arqit Quantum's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arqit Quantum. If investors know Arqit will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Arqit Quantum listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
658.4 M
Return On Assets
-0.14
Return On Equity
-0.5
The market value of Arqit Quantum is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Arqit that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Arqit Quantum's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Arqit Quantum's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Arqit Quantum's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Arqit Quantum's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Arqit Quantum's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Arqit Quantum value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Arqit Quantum's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Arqit Quantum 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Arqit Quantum's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Arqit Quantum.
0.00
08/20/2020
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
08/10/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Arqit Quantum on August 20, 2020 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Arqit Quantum or generate 0.0% return on investment in Arqit Quantum over 720 days. Arqit Quantum is related to or competes with Adobe Systems, Bridgeline Digital, Allovir, Pfizer, Exxon, Johnson Johnson, and Coca Cola. Arqit Quantum Inc. provides cybersecurity services through satellite and terrestrial platforms in the United KingdomMore

Arqit Quantum Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Arqit Quantum's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Arqit Quantum upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Arqit Quantum Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Arqit Quantum's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Arqit Quantum's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Arqit Quantum historical prices to predict the future Arqit Quantum's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Arqit Quantum's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Arqit Quantum in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.285.6311.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.255.0711.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.125.8412.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.945.656.36
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Arqit Quantum. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Arqit Quantum's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Arqit Quantum's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Arqit Quantum.

Arqit Quantum Backtested Returns

We consider Arqit Quantum risky. Arqit Quantum secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0176, which signifies that the company had 0.0176% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards foreseeing the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for Arqit Quantum, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please confirm Arqit Quantum risk adjusted performance of (0.025449), and Mean Deviation of 5.11 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.11%.
Arqit Quantum has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.4595, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Arqit's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Arqit Quantum will likely underperform. Although it is important to respect Arqit Quantum historical returns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on the equity's current trending patterns. The philosophy towards foreseeing future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By analyzing Arqit Quantum technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.11% will be sustainable into the future. Arqit Quantum right now shows a risk of 6.25%. Please confirm Arqit Quantum standard deviation, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and expected short fall to decide if Arqit Quantum will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.12  

Insignificant predictability

Arqit Quantum has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Arqit Quantum time series from 20th of August 2020 to 15th of August 2021 and 15th of August 2021 to 10th of August 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Arqit Quantum price movement. The serial correlation of 0.12 indicates that less than 12.0% of current Arqit Quantum price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.12
Spearman Rank Test0.3
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance51.35

Arqit Quantum lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Arqit Quantum stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Arqit Quantum's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Arqit Quantum returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Arqit Quantum stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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       Timeline  

Arqit Quantum regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Arqit Quantum stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Arqit Quantum stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Arqit Quantum stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
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       Timeline  

Arqit Quantum Lagged Returns

When evaluating Arqit Quantum's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Arqit Quantum stock have on its future price. Arqit Quantum autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Arqit Quantum autocorrelation shows the relationship between Arqit Quantum stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Arqit Quantum.
   Regressed Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Arqit Quantum Investors Sentiment

The influence of Arqit Quantum's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Arqit. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Arqit Quantum's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Arqit. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Arqit can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Arqit Quantum. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Arqit Quantum's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Arqit Quantum's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Arqit Quantum's news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Arqit Quantum.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Arqit Quantum in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Arqit Quantum's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Arqit Quantum options trading.

Pair Trading with Arqit Quantum

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Arqit Quantum position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Arqit Quantum will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Arqit Quantum could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Arqit Quantum when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Arqit Quantum - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Arqit Quantum to buy it.
The correlation of Arqit Quantum is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Arqit Quantum moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Arqit Quantum moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Arqit Quantum can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Please continue to Arqit Quantum Hype Analysis, Arqit Quantum Correlation, Arqit Quantum Valuation, Arqit Quantum Volatility, as well as analyze Arqit Quantum Alpha and Beta and Arqit Quantum Performance. Note that the Arqit Quantum information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Arqit Quantum's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

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When running Arqit Quantum price analysis, check to measure Arqit Quantum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arqit Quantum is operating at the current time. Most of Arqit Quantum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arqit Quantum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arqit Quantum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arqit Quantum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Arqit Quantum technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Arqit Quantum technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Arqit Quantum trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...