ARPA Chain Market Value

ARPA
 Crypto
  

USD 0.0408  0.0004  0.99%   

ARPA Chain's market value is the price at which a share of ARPA Chain stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ARPA Chain investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ARPA Chain and determine expected loss or profit from investing in ARPA Chain over a given investment horizon. Please continue to Bitcoin Browser, ARPA Chain Correlation, Portfolio Optimization, ARPA Chain Volatility, as well as analyze Investing Opportunities and ARPA Chain Performance.
Symbol
Backtest


Please note, there is a significant difference between ARPA Chain's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine ARPA Chain value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ARPA Chain's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

ARPA Chain 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to ARPA Chain's crypto coin what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of ARPA Chain.
0.00
05/29/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
06/28/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in ARPA Chain on May 29, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ARPA Chain or generate 0.0% return on investment in ARPA Chain over 30 days. ARPA Chain is related to or competes with XRP, Solana, Polkadot, FTX Token, Avalanche, Chainlink, and Dai. ARPA Chain is peer-to-peer digital currency powered by the Blockchain technologyMore

ARPA Chain Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure ARPA Chain's crypto coin current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ARPA Chain upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

ARPA Chain Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for ARPA Chain's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as ARPA Chain's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use ARPA Chain historical prices to predict the future ARPA Chain's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of ARPA Chain's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of ARPA Chain in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.000.009.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.000.009.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0007320.0365789.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.024540.0334670.042393
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ARPA Chain. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ARPA Chain's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ARPA Chain's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in ARPA Chain.

ARPA Chain Backtested Returns

ARPA Chain secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0798, which signifies that digital coin had -0.0798% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis philosophy in foreseeing the risk of any crypto is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. ARPA Chain exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to confirm ARPA Chain mean deviation of 6.76, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09) to double-check the risk estimate we provide.
The crypto shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.1012, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what ARPA Chain's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, ARPA Chain will likely underperform. Even though it is essential to pay attention to ARPA Chain historical returns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity current trending patterns. Our philosophy in foreseeing any crypto's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. ARPA Chain exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.61  

Very good reverse predictability

ARPA Chain has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between ARPA Chain time series from 29th of May 2022 to 13th of June 2022 and 13th of June 2022 to 28th of June 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ARPA Chain price movement. The serial correlation of -0.61 indicates that roughly 61.0% of current ARPA Chain price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.61
Spearman Rank Test-0.06
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

ARPA Chain lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is ARPA Chain crypto coin's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting ARPA Chain's crypto coin expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of ARPA Chain returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that ARPA Chain crypto coin has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
 Current and Lagged Values 
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      Timeline 

ARPA Chain regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If ARPA Chain crypto coin is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if ARPA Chain crypto coin is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in ARPA Chain crypto coin over time.
 Current vs Lagged Prices 
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      Timeline 

ARPA Chain Lagged Returns

When evaluating ARPA Chain's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of ARPA Chain crypto coin have on its future price. ARPA Chain autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, ARPA Chain autocorrelation shows the relationship between ARPA Chain crypto coin current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ARPA Chain.
 Regressed Prices 
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      Timeline 

ARPA Chain Investors Sentiment

The influence of ARPA Chain's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in ARPA Chain. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards ARPA Chain in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, ARPA Chain's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from ARPA Chain options trading.

Current Sentiment - ARPA

ARPA Chain Investor Sentiment

Macroaxis portfolio users are unresponsive in their sentiment towards investing in ARPA Chain. What is your sentiment towards investing in ARPA Chain? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
50% Bullish
50% Bearish

Pair Trading with ARPA Chain

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if ARPA Chain position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ARPA Chain will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

ARPA Chain Pair Correlation

Correlation Analysis For Direct Indexing and Tax-loss Harvesting

The ability to find closely correlated positions to ARPA Chain could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace ARPA Chain when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back ARPA Chain - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling ARPA Chain to buy it.
The correlation of ARPA Chain is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as ARPA Chain moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if ARPA Chain moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for ARPA Chain can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Please continue to Bitcoin Browser, ARPA Chain Correlation, Portfolio Optimization, ARPA Chain Volatility, as well as analyze Investing Opportunities and ARPA Chain Performance. Note that the ARPA Chain information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other ARPA Chain's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.

Other Tools for ARPA Chain Crypto Coin

When running ARPA Chain price analysis, check to measure ARPA Chain's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ARPA Chain is operating at the current time. Most of ARPA Chain's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ARPA Chain's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ARPA Chain's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ARPA Chain to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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