Antero Stock Market Value

AR
 Stock
  

USD 30.53  0.20  0.66%   

Antero Resources' market value is the price at which a share of Antero Resources stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Antero Resources Corp investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Antero Resources Corp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Antero Resources over a given investment horizon. Please continue to Antero Resources Correlation, Antero Resources Volatility and Antero Resources Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Antero Resources.
Symbol


Is Antero Resources' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Antero Resources. If investors know Antero will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Antero Resources listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Antero Resources Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Antero that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Antero Resources' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Antero Resources' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Antero Resources' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Antero Resources' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Antero Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Antero Resources value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Antero Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Antero Resources 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Antero Resources' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Antero Resources.
0.00
10/12/2020
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
10/02/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Antero Resources on October 12, 2020 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Antero Resources Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Antero Resources over 720 days. Antero Resources is related to or competes with Amazon. Antero Resources Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company, acquires, explores for, develops, and produces... More

Antero Resources Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Antero Resources' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Antero Resources Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Antero Resources Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Antero Resources' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Antero Resources' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Antero Resources historical prices to predict the future Antero Resources' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Antero Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Antero Resources in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
26.7830.5834.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
22.1025.9033.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
24.8428.6332.43
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
18.5026.7733.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Antero Resources. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Antero Resources' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Antero Resources' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Antero Resources Corp.

Antero Resources Corp Backtested Returns

We consider Antero Resources not too volatile. Antero Resources Corp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0366, which signifies that the company had 0.0366% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards foreseeing the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Antero Resources Corp, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please confirm Antero Resources Corp risk adjusted performance of (0.011263), and Mean Deviation of 3.09 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%.
Antero Resources has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.2831, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Antero's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Antero Resources will likely underperform. Although it is important to respect Antero Resources Corp historical returns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on the equity's current trending patterns. The philosophy towards foreseeing future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By analyzing Antero Resources Corp technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.14% will be sustainable into the future. Antero Resources Corp right now shows a risk of 3.8%. Please confirm Antero Resources Corp semi variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution to decide if Antero Resources Corp will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.79  

Good predictability

Antero Resources Corp has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Antero Resources time series from 12th of October 2020 to 7th of October 2021 and 7th of October 2021 to 2nd of October 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Antero Resources Corp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.79 indicates that around 79.0% of current Antero Resources price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.79
Spearman Rank Test0.76
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance80.07

Antero Resources Corp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Antero Resources stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Antero Resources' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Antero Resources returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Antero Resources stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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       Timeline  

Antero Resources regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Antero Resources stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Antero Resources stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Antero Resources stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
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       Timeline  

Antero Resources Lagged Returns

When evaluating Antero Resources' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Antero Resources stock have on its future price. Antero Resources autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Antero Resources autocorrelation shows the relationship between Antero Resources stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Antero Resources Corp.
   Regressed Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Antero Resources Implied Volatility

    
  68.26  
Antero Resources' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Antero Resources Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Antero Resources' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Antero Resources stock will not fluctuate a lot when Antero Resources' options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Antero Resources in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Antero Resources' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Antero Resources options trading.

Pair Trading with Antero Resources

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Antero Resources position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Antero Resources will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Antero Resources

+0.86DISWalt Disney Fiscal Year End 9th of November 2022 PairCorr
+0.73JPMJP Morgan Chase Fiscal Year End 13th of January 2023 PairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Antero Resources could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Antero Resources when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Antero Resources - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Antero Resources Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Antero Resources is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Antero Resources moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Antero Resources Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Antero Resources can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Please continue to Antero Resources Correlation, Antero Resources Volatility and Antero Resources Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Antero Resources. You can also try Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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When running Antero Resources Corp price analysis, check to measure Antero Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Antero Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Antero Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Antero Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Antero Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Antero Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Antero Resources technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Antero Resources technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Antero Resources trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...