Blue Apron Stock Market Value

APRN -  USA Stock  

USD 3.48  0.17  4.66%

Blue Apron's market value is the price at which a share of Blue Apron stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Blue Apron Holdings investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Blue Apron Holdings and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Blue Apron over a given investment horizon. Please continue to Blue Apron Hype Analysis, Blue Apron Correlation, Blue Apron Valuation, Blue Apron Volatility, as well as analyze Blue Apron Alpha and Beta and Blue Apron Performance.
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Backtest


Is Blue Apron's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Blue Apron. If investors know Blue Apron will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Blue Apron listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Blue Apron Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Blue Apron that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Blue Apron's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Blue Apron's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Blue Apron's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Blue Apron's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Blue Apron's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Blue Apron value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Blue Apron's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Blue Apron 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Blue Apron's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Blue Apron.
0.00
05/27/2020
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
05/17/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Blue Apron on May 27, 2020 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Blue Apron Holdings or generate 0.0% return on investment in Blue Apron over 720 days. Blue Apron is related to or competes with Farfetch, Carvana Co, Mogu Inc, Lightinthebox Holding, EBay, Parts ID, and Mercadolibre. Blue Apron Holdings, Inc. operates direct-to-consumer platform that delivers original recipes, and fresh and seasonal in...

Blue Apron Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Blue Apron's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Blue Apron Holdings upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Blue Apron Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Blue Apron's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Blue Apron's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Blue Apron historical prices to predict the future Blue Apron's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Blue Apron's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Blue Apron in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.173.4210.68
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Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.306.0913.35
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
14.0014.0014.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Blue Apron. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Blue Apron's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Blue Apron's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Blue Apron Holdings.

Blue Apron Holdings Backtested Returns

Blue Apron Holdings secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.12, which signifies that the company had -0.12% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards foreseeing the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Blue Apron Holdings exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to confirm Blue Apron Holdings risk adjusted performance of (0.09), and Mean Deviation of 5.23 to double-check the risk estimate we provide.
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.2941, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Blue Apron's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Blue Apron will likely underperform. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Blue Apron Holdings historical returns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity current trending patterns. Our philosophy towards foreseeing any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Blue Apron Holdings exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Blue Apron Holdings has an expected return of -0.84%. Please be advised to confirm Blue Apron Holdings value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price to decide if Blue Apron Holdings performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.24  

Weak reverse predictability

Blue Apron Holdings has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Blue Apron time series from 27th of May 2020 to 22nd of May 2021 and 22nd of May 2021 to 17th of May 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Blue Apron Holdings price movement. The serial correlation of -0.24 indicates that over 24.0% of current Blue Apron price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.24
Spearman Rank Test-0.01
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.37

Blue Apron Holdings lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Blue Apron stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Blue Apron's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Blue Apron returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Blue Apron stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
 Current and Lagged Values 
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Blue Apron regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Blue Apron stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Blue Apron stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Blue Apron stock over time.
 Current vs Lagged Prices 
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      Timeline 

Blue Apron Lagged Returns

When evaluating Blue Apron's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Blue Apron stock have on its future price. Blue Apron autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Blue Apron autocorrelation shows the relationship between Blue Apron stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Blue Apron Holdings.
 Regressed Prices 
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      Timeline 

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Blue Apron without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate.risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Pair Trading with Blue Apron

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Blue Apron position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Blue Apron will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Blue Apron Pair Correlation

Correlation Analysis For Direct Indexing and Tax-loss Harvesting

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Blue Apron could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Blue Apron when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Blue Apron - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Blue Apron Holdings to buy it.
The correlation of Blue Apron is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Blue Apron moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Blue Apron Holdings moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Blue Apron can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Please continue to Blue Apron Hype Analysis, Blue Apron Correlation, Blue Apron Valuation, Blue Apron Volatility, as well as analyze Blue Apron Alpha and Beta and Blue Apron Performance. Note that the Blue Apron Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Blue Apron's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..

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When running Blue Apron Holdings price analysis, check to measure Blue Apron's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Blue Apron is operating at the current time. Most of Blue Apron's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Blue Apron's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Blue Apron's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Blue Apron to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Blue Apron technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Blue Apron technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Blue Apron trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...