AllovirInc Stock Market Value

ALVR
 Stock
  

USD 7.24  0.25  3.58%   

AllovirInc's market value is the price at which a share of AllovirInc stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of AllovirInc investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of AllovirInc and determine expected loss or profit from investing in AllovirInc over a given investment horizon. Please continue to AllovirInc Correlation, AllovirInc Volatility and AllovirInc Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on AllovirInc.
Symbol


Is AllovirInc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AllovirInc. If investors know AllovirInc will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AllovirInc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
651.2 M
Return On Assets
(0.38) 
Return On Equity
(0.72) 
The market value of AllovirInc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AllovirInc that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AllovirInc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AllovirInc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AllovirInc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AllovirInc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AllovirInc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine AllovirInc value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AllovirInc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

AllovirInc 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AllovirInc's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AllovirInc.
0.00
11/09/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/09/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in AllovirInc on November 9, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AllovirInc or generate 0.0% return on investment in AllovirInc over 30 days. AllovirInc is related to or competes with Panasonic Corp, Sunny Optical, Xiaomi Corp, OSI Systems, and Jabil Circuit. Allovir, Inc., a clinical-stage cell therapy company, engages in the research and development of allogeneic, off-the-she... More

AllovirInc Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AllovirInc's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AllovirInc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

AllovirInc Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AllovirInc's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AllovirInc's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AllovirInc historical prices to predict the future AllovirInc's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of AllovirInc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of AllovirInc in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
2.197.2512.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
6.5215.9320.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.966.0211.08
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
32.0042.7555.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AllovirInc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AllovirInc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AllovirInc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in AllovirInc.

AllovirInc Backtested Returns

AllovirInc secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0206, which signifies that the company had -0.0206% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards foreseeing the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. AllovirInc exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to confirm AllovirInc Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0316, mean deviation of 3.97, and Downside Deviation of 4.75 to double-check the risk estimate we provide.
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.7017, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what AllovirInc's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, AllovirInc will likely underperform. Even though it is essential to pay attention to AllovirInc historical returns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity current trending patterns. Our philosophy towards foreseeing any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. AllovirInc exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. AllovirInc has an expected return of -0.1%. Please be advised to confirm AllovirInc downside deviation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the Treynor Ratio and expected short fall to decide if AllovirInc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.11  

Insignificant predictability

AllovirInc has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AllovirInc time series from 9th of November 2022 to 24th of November 2022 and 24th of November 2022 to 9th of December 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AllovirInc price movement. The serial correlation of 0.11 indicates that less than 11.0% of current AllovirInc price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.11
Spearman Rank Test0.05
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.06

AllovirInc lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is AllovirInc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting AllovirInc's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of AllovirInc returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that AllovirInc stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
Share
       Timeline  

AllovirInc regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If AllovirInc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if AllovirInc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in AllovirInc stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

AllovirInc Lagged Returns

When evaluating AllovirInc's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of AllovirInc stock have on its future price. AllovirInc autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, AllovirInc autocorrelation shows the relationship between AllovirInc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AllovirInc.
   Regressed Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards AllovirInc in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, AllovirInc's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from AllovirInc options trading.

Pair Trading with AllovirInc

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if AllovirInc position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in AllovirInc will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against AllovirInc

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to AllovirInc could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace AllovirInc when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back AllovirInc - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling AllovirInc to buy it.
The correlation of AllovirInc is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as AllovirInc moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if AllovirInc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for AllovirInc can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Please continue to AllovirInc Correlation, AllovirInc Volatility and AllovirInc Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on AllovirInc. You can also try Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running AllovirInc price analysis, check to measure AllovirInc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AllovirInc is operating at the current time. Most of AllovirInc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AllovirInc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AllovirInc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AllovirInc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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AllovirInc technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of AllovirInc technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of AllovirInc trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...