AAR Corp Stock Market Value

AIR
 Stock
  

USD 35.92  0.91  2.60%   

AAR Corp's market value is the price at which a share of AAR Corp stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of AAR Corp investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of AAR Corp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in AAR Corp over a given investment horizon. Please continue to AAR Corp Correlation, AAR Corp Volatility and AAR Corp Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on AAR Corp.
Symbol


Is AAR Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AAR Corp. If investors know AAR Corp will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AAR Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of AAR Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AAR Corp that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AAR Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AAR Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AAR Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AAR Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AAR Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine AAR Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AAR Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

AAR Corp 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AAR Corp's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AAR Corp.
0.00
10/08/2020
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
09/28/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in AAR Corp on October 8, 2020 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AAR Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in AAR Corp over 720 days. AAR Corp. provides products and services to commercial aviation, government, and defense markets worldwide More

AAR Corp Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AAR Corp's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AAR Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

AAR Corp Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AAR Corp's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AAR Corp's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AAR Corp historical prices to predict the future AAR Corp's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of AAR Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of AAR Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
33.3935.6237.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
31.8143.9846.21
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
45.0049.5053.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AAR Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AAR Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AAR Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in AAR Corp.

AAR Corp Backtested Returns

AAR Corp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.11, which signifies that the company had -0.11% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis approach towards foreseeing the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. AAR Corp exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to confirm AAR Corp mean deviation of 1.61, and Coefficient Of Variation of (947.41) to double-check the risk estimate we provide.
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.2657, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what AAR Corp's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, AAR Corp will likely underperform. Even though it is essential to pay attention to AAR Corp historical returns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity current trending patterns. Our approach towards foreseeing any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. AAR Corp exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. AAR Corp has an expected return of -0.24%. Please be advised to confirm AAR Corp maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the expected short fall and rate of daily change to decide if AAR Corp performance from the past will be repeated in the future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.70  

Good predictability

AAR Corp has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AAR Corp time series from 8th of October 2020 to 3rd of October 2021 and 3rd of October 2021 to 28th of September 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AAR Corp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.7 indicates that around 70.0% of current AAR Corp price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.7
Spearman Rank Test0.17
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance23.88

AAR Corp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is AAR Corp stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting AAR Corp's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of AAR Corp returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that AAR Corp stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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       Timeline  

AAR Corp regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If AAR Corp stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if AAR Corp stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in AAR Corp stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
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       Timeline  

AAR Corp Lagged Returns

When evaluating AAR Corp's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of AAR Corp stock have on its future price. AAR Corp autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, AAR Corp autocorrelation shows the relationship between AAR Corp stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AAR Corp.
   Regressed Prices   
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       Timeline  

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in AAR Corp without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Pair Trading with AAR Corp

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if AAR Corp position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in AAR Corp will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with AAR Corp

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to AAR Corp could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace AAR Corp when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back AAR Corp - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling AAR Corp to buy it.
The correlation of AAR Corp is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as AAR Corp moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if AAR Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for AAR Corp can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Please continue to AAR Corp Correlation, AAR Corp Volatility and AAR Corp Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on AAR Corp. You can also try Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.

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When running AAR Corp price analysis, check to measure AAR Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AAR Corp is operating at the current time. Most of AAR Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AAR Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AAR Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AAR Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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AAR Corp technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of AAR Corp technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of AAR Corp trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...