Aci Worldwide Stock Market Value

ACIW
 Stock
  

USD 26.56  0.13  0.49%   

Aci Worldwide's market value is the price at which a share of Aci Worldwide stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Aci Worldwide investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Aci Worldwide and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Aci Worldwide over a given investment horizon. Please continue to Aci Worldwide Hype Analysis, Aci Worldwide Correlation, Aci Worldwide Valuation, Aci Worldwide Volatility, as well as analyze Aci Worldwide Alpha and Beta and Aci Worldwide Performance.
Symbol


Is Aci Worldwide's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aci Worldwide. If investors know Aci Worldwide will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aci Worldwide listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
1.33
Market Capitalization
2.9 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.13
Return On Assets
0.0494
Return On Equity
0.13
The market value of Aci Worldwide is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aci Worldwide that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aci Worldwide's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aci Worldwide's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aci Worldwide's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aci Worldwide's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aci Worldwide's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Aci Worldwide value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aci Worldwide's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Aci Worldwide 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aci Worldwide's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aci Worldwide.
0.00
08/16/2021
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
08/11/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Aci Worldwide on August 16, 2021 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Aci Worldwide or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aci Worldwide over 360 days. Aci Worldwide is related to or competes with Allovir, Pfizer, Exxon, Johnson Johnson, Coca Cola, B of A, and Caterpillar. ACI Worldwide, Inc., a software company, develops, markets, installs, and supports a range of software products and solu...More

Aci Worldwide Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aci Worldwide's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Aci Worldwide upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Aci Worldwide Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aci Worldwide's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aci Worldwide's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aci Worldwide historical prices to predict the future Aci Worldwide's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aci Worldwide's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Aci Worldwide in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
23.7625.9328.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
23.3330.3732.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
22.2224.3926.55
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
42.0043.5045.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aci Worldwide. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aci Worldwide's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aci Worldwide's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Aci Worldwide.

Aci Worldwide Backtested Returns

We consider Aci Worldwide very steady. Aci Worldwide secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0339, which signifies that the company had 0.0339% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards foreseeing the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Aci Worldwide, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please confirm Aci Worldwide mean deviation of 1.67, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0028 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0729%.
Aci Worldwide has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.1354, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Aci Worldwide's beta means in this case. Aci Worldwide returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Aci Worldwide is expected to follow. Although it is important to respect Aci Worldwide historical returns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on the equity's current trending patterns. The philosophy towards foreseeing future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By analyzing Aci Worldwide technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.0729% will be sustainable into the future. Aci Worldwide right now shows a risk of 2.15%. Please confirm Aci Worldwide potential upside, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and kurtosis to decide if Aci Worldwide will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.4  

Poor reverse predictability

Aci Worldwide has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aci Worldwide time series from 16th of August 2021 to 12th of February 2022 and 12th of February 2022 to 11th of August 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Aci Worldwide price movement. The serial correlation of -0.4 indicates that just about 40.0% of current Aci Worldwide price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.4
Spearman Rank Test-0.51
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance7.94

Aci Worldwide lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Aci Worldwide stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Aci Worldwide's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Aci Worldwide returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Aci Worldwide stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
Share
       Timeline  

Aci Worldwide regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Aci Worldwide stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Aci Worldwide stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Aci Worldwide stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Aci Worldwide Lagged Returns

When evaluating Aci Worldwide's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Aci Worldwide stock have on its future price. Aci Worldwide autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Aci Worldwide autocorrelation shows the relationship between Aci Worldwide stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Aci Worldwide.
   Regressed Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Aci Worldwide without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate.risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Volatility Analysis

Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
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Pair Trading with Aci Worldwide

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Aci Worldwide position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Aci Worldwide will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Aci Worldwide could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Aci Worldwide when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Aci Worldwide - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Aci Worldwide to buy it.
The correlation of Aci Worldwide is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Aci Worldwide moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Aci Worldwide moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Aci Worldwide can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Please continue to Aci Worldwide Hype Analysis, Aci Worldwide Correlation, Aci Worldwide Valuation, Aci Worldwide Volatility, as well as analyze Aci Worldwide Alpha and Beta and Aci Worldwide Performance. Note that the Aci Worldwide information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Aci Worldwide's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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Aci Worldwide technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Aci Worldwide technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Aci Worldwide trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...