AAAOX Mutual Fund Market Value

AAAOX -  USA Fund  

USD 9.30  0.01  0.11%

One Choice's market value is the price at which a share of One Choice stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of One Choice Blend investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of One Choice Blend and determine expected loss or profit from investing in One Choice over a given investment horizon. Please continue to One Choice Hype Analysis, One Choice Correlation, Portfolio Optimization, One Choice Volatility, as well as analyze One Choice Alpha and Beta and One Choice Performance.
Symbol
Backtest

Please note, there is a significant difference between One Choice's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine One Choice value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, One Choice's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

One Choice 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to One Choice's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of One Choice.
0.00
05/28/2020
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
05/18/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in One Choice on May 28, 2020 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding One Choice Blend or generate 0.0% return on investment in One Choice over 720 days. One Choice is related to or competes with Fidelity Freedom, Fidelity Freedom, Fidelity Freedom, Vanguard Target, American Fds, American Fds, and American Fds. The fund is a fund of funds, meaning that it seeks to achieve its objective by investing in other mutual funds and excha...

One Choice Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure One Choice's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess One Choice Blend upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

One Choice Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for One Choice's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as One Choice's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use One Choice historical prices to predict the future One Choice's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of One Choice's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of One Choice in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
8.639.299.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
8.719.3710.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
8.659.309.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.129.6110.11
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as One Choice. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against One Choice's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, One Choice's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in One Choice Blend.

One Choice Blend Backtested Returns

One Choice Blend maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.17, which implies the entity had -0.17% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards forecasting the risk of any fund is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. One Choice Blend exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to check One Choice Blend coefficient of variation of (549.84), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.24) to confirm the risk estimate we provide.
The fund holds a Beta of -0.0282, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. Let's try to break down what AAAOX's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning One Choice are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, One Choice is likely to outperform the market. Even though it is essential to pay attention to One Choice Blend current trending patterns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity existing price patterns. Our philosophy towards forecasting any fund's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. One Choice Blend exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.68  

Good predictability

One Choice Blend has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between One Choice time series from 28th of May 2020 to 23rd of May 2021 and 23rd of May 2021 to 18th of May 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of One Choice Blend price movement. The serial correlation of 0.68 indicates that around 68.0% of current One Choice price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.68
Spearman Rank Test0.77
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

One Choice Blend lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is One Choice mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting One Choice's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of One Choice returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that One Choice mutual fund has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
 Current and Lagged Values 
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      Timeline 

One Choice regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If One Choice mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if One Choice mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in One Choice mutual fund over time.
 Current vs Lagged Prices 
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      Timeline 

One Choice Lagged Returns

When evaluating One Choice's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of One Choice mutual fund have on its future price. One Choice autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, One Choice autocorrelation shows the relationship between One Choice mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in One Choice Blend.
 Regressed Prices 
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      Timeline 

One Choice Investors Sentiment

The influence of One Choice's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in AAAOX. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards One Choice in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, One Choice's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from One Choice options trading.

Current Sentiment - AAAOX

One Choice Blend Investor Sentiment

Macroaxis portfolio users are unresponsive in their sentiment towards investing in One Choice Blend. What is your perspective on investing in One Choice Blend? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
50% Bullish
50% Bearish
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Pair Trading with One Choice

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if One Choice position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in One Choice will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

One Choice Pair Correlation

Correlation Analysis For Direct Indexing and Tax-loss Harvesting

The ability to find closely correlated positions to One Choice could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace One Choice when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back One Choice - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling One Choice Blend to buy it.
The correlation of One Choice is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as One Choice moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if One Choice Blend moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for One Choice can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Please continue to One Choice Hype Analysis, One Choice Correlation, Portfolio Optimization, One Choice Volatility, as well as analyze One Choice Alpha and Beta and One Choice Performance. Note that the One Choice Blend information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other One Choice's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

Complementary Tools for AAAOX Mutual Fund analysis

When running One Choice Blend price analysis, check to measure One Choice's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy One Choice is operating at the current time. Most of One Choice's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of One Choice's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move One Choice's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of One Choice to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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One Choice technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of One Choice technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of One Choice trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...