Hershey Foods Stock Target Price and Analyst Consensus

HSY -  USA Stock  

USD 220.96  2.85  1.31%

The current analyst and expert consensus on Hershey Foods is Hold with 6 hold recommendations. The current projected Hershey Foods target price consensus is 193.5 with 10 analyst opinions. One of the most common ways Hershey Foods Corp analysts use to provide buy-or-sell recommendation to the public are conference calls analysis and financial statements evaluations. Some experts can also talk to Hershey Foods vendors, executives, and/or customers. Hershey Foods recommendation module provides expert sentiment on the projected Hershey Foods Corp target price to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on target price standard deviation of 11.394. Please check Macroaxis Advice on Hershey Foods to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.
  
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Gross Profit is likely to rise to about 4.1 B in 2022, whereas Profit Margin is likely to drop 0.16 in 2022. Hershey Foods Current Assets are fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Hershey Foods reported Current Assets of 2.25 Billion in 2021. Cash and Equivalents is likely to rise to about 421.9 M in 2022, whereas Inventories is likely to drop slightly above 766.4 M in 2022.

Hershey Foods Target Price Consensus

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Hershey target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Hershey target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Number of Opinions11
Lowered Outlook0
Raized Outlook0
Hold
Most Hershey analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Hershey stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Hershey Foods Corp, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Hershey Foods Target Price Projection

Hershey Foods' current and average target prices are 220.96 and 193.50, respectively. The current price of Hershey Foods is the price at which Hershey Foods Corp is currently trading. On the other hand, Hershey Foods' target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Hershey Foods Market Quote on 25th of June 2022

Low Price217.22Odds
High Price221.0Odds

220.96

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Hershey Foods Target Price

Low Estimate181.0Odds
High Estimate220.0Odds
Number of Analysts10
Standard Deviation11.394

193.5

Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Hershey Foods Corp and the information provided on this page.

Hershey Foods Analyst Ratings

Hershey Foods' analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Hershey Foods stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Hershey Foods' financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Hershey Foods' historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Analyst Consensus Breakdown

Average Consensus Estimates

About Hershey Foods Target Price Projections

Hershey Foods's target price is an analyst's projection of its future price. Price targets can be assigned to all types of securities, from complex investment products to stocks such as Hershey Foods Corp and even bonds. If the target price is unavailable, it is most likely because there were not enough analyst opinions to come up with a consensus estimate. When setting a price target estimate, an analyst is trying to determine what the Stock is worth and where the price will be in a year from now. Generally, the target price of Hershey depends on its intrinsic valuation, beta (i.e., risk over market), and overall volatility. Most analysts publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with their buy, hold, or sell recommendations. Stock price targets are often quoted in the financial news media. Macroaxis uses multiple feeds to provide overall target price projection for Hershey Foods Corp including analysis of its current option contracts.
Hershey Foods' latest option contracts expiring on 2022-06-24 are carrying combined implied volatility of 20.67 with a put-to-call open interest ratio of 0.83 over 76 outstanding agreements suggesting investors are buying slightly more calls than puts on contracts expiring on 2022-06-24. The current put volume is at 52, with calls trading at the volume of 144. This yields a 0.36 put-to-call volume ratio. The Hershey Foods option chain provides detailed quote and price information for the current Hershey Foods Corp option contracts. It shows all of Hershey Foods' listed puts, calls, expiration dates, strike prices, and other pricing information.

Open Interest Against 2022-06-24 Option Contracts

Hershey Foods option prices can potentially be used to forecast stock returns because most option chains provide information not only about the current prices but also about the future conditions in Hershey Foods' lending market. For example, when Hershey Foods' puts are not actively trading or completely missing in the marketplace, investors can use it to internalize expected shorting costs. So if an investor is writing a put option on Hershey Foods, he or she must hedge the risk by shorting Hershey Foods stock over its option's life.
The chart above shows Hershey Foods' distribution of open interest by maturity on contracts that have not yet been settled. The area between the two highest points is the projection of the price at expiration. Hershey Foods' open interest chart also provides vital information regarding the liquidity of an option. If there is no open interest for Hershey Foods' option, there is no secondary market available for investors to trade.

Hershey Foods Maximum Pain Price across 2022-06-24 Option Contracts

Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of particular securities such as Hershey Foods close to expiration to expire worthless. According to most research, approximately 10% to 15% of all stock options are exercised, while about 35% expire worthlessly, with roughly 50% traded out before the expiration date. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net positive position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthless.
Hershey Foods' stock options are financial instruments that give investors the right to buy or sell shares of Hershey Foods Corp common stock at a specified price for a given time period. Generally speaking, an option to purchase or sell Hershey stock makes it part of the underlying stock when the option's price is tied to the movement of the underlying stock. If Hershey Foods' stock price goes up or down, the stock options follow.
Please check Macroaxis Advice on Hershey Foods to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.

Hershey Foods Corp In The Money Call Balance

When Hershey Foods' strike price is surpassing the current stock price, the option contract against Hershey Foods Corp stock is said to be in the money. When it comes to buying Hershey Foods' options that are 'In the Money' or 'Out of the Money', the choice depends on your outlook for the underlying security, financial situation, and what you are trying to achieve.
While 'out-of-the-money' options written on Hershey Foods Corp are typically viewed as the more aggressive, there are potential upsides to purchasing these types of options contracts. For one, the cost to buy an 'Out of the Money' option is lower than the cost to buy an 'In the Money' option. This cost-benefit is due to the fact that at the time of the purchase, 'Out of the Money' contracts have no intrinsic value. So, while the potential for a 100% loss is more significant, the cost and risk to enter the trade are lower.

Hershey Current Options Market Mood

Hershey Foods' open interest and total value indicators provide investors with the necessary information to digest the overall options buildup for its expiring contracts. In addition, it helps Hershey Stock's traders understand whether a recent fall or rise in the market is unreasonable and if the time has come to take contrarian positions. These ratios are calculated based on options trading volumes and current open interest.

Put-to-Call Open Interest

Put-to-Call Volume

Most options investors, including buyers and sellers of Hershey Foods' calls and puts, are not very successful. It is estimated that an average options trader loses somewhere between 80% to 90% of the time. Hershey Foods' option open interest and volume spread between outstanding puts and calls are regarded by many investors as reliable indicators of the overall future market direction. Using current Hershey Foods' option volume and open interest to make an investment decision is considered a contrarian-sentiment measure that can be utilized in many timing strategies in both derivative and spot marketplace.

Additional Hershey Foods Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Hershey Foods is a key component of Hershey Foods valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Hershey Foods.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hershey Foods' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Hershey Foods in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
219.16220.85222.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
198.86225.48227.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
223.02224.71226.40
Details
Earnings
Estimates (8)
LowProjected EPSHigh
6.927.097.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hershey Foods. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hershey Foods' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hershey Foods' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Hershey Foods Corp.

Additional Hershey Foods Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Hershey Foods is a key component of Hershey Foods valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Hershey Foods.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hershey Foods' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Hershey Foods in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
219.16220.85222.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
198.86225.48227.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
223.02224.71226.40
Details
Earnings
Estimates (8)
LowProjected EPSHigh
6.927.097.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hershey Foods. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hershey Foods' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hershey Foods' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Hershey Foods Corp.

Trending Themes

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Macroaxis Index
Invested few shares
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Please check Macroaxis Advice on Hershey Foods to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon. Note that the Hershey Foods Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Hershey Foods' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.

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When running Hershey Foods Corp price analysis, check to measure Hershey Foods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hershey Foods is operating at the current time. Most of Hershey Foods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hershey Foods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hershey Foods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hershey Foods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The data published in Hershey Foods' official financial statements usually reflect Hershey Foods' business processes, product offerings, services, and other fundamental events. But there are other numbers, ratios, or fundamental indicators derived from these statements that are easier to understand and visualize within the underlying realities that drive quantitative information of Hershey Foods Corp. For example, before you start analyzing numbers published by Hershey accountants, it's critical to develop an understanding of what Hershey Foods' liquidity, profitability, and earnings quality are in the context of the Consumer Defensive space in which it operates.
Please note, the presentation of Hershey Foods' financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Hershey Foods' management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be found in Hershey Foods' accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Hershey Foods Corp. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Hershey Foods' management to manipulate its earnings.