National Vision Stock Target Price and Analyst Consensus

EYE -  USA Stock  

USD 27.78  0.15  0.54%

The current analyst and expert consensus on National Vision is Hold, with 0 strong sell and 2 strong buy opinions. The current projected National Vision target price consensus is 60.25 with 4 analyst opinions. The most common way National Vision Holdings analysts use to provide recommendation to the public is financial statements analysis. Many experts also interview National Vision executives and customers to further validate their buy or sell advice. Note, the total number of analysts currently providing their opinion is not significant to determine adequate consensus on National Vision. We strongly encourage you to use your own analysis of National Vision Holdings to validate this buy or sell advice. National Vision buy-or-sell recommendation module provides average expert sentiment on the projected National Vision Holdings target price to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on projected price volatility of 11.265. Continue to Macroaxis Advice on National Vision to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.
  
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As of May 18, 2022, Gross Profit is expected to decline to about 961.1 M. In addition to that, Profit Margin is expected to decline to 0.0384.

National Vision Target Price Consensus

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. National target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. National target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Number of Opinions5
Lowered Outlook0
Raized Outlook0
Hold
Most National analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand National stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of National Vision Holdings, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

National Vision Target Price Projection

National Vision's current and average target prices are 27.78 and 60.25, respectively. The current price of National Vision is the price at which National Vision Holdings is currently trading. On the other hand, National Vision's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

National Vision Market Quote on 18th of May 2022

Low Price26.15Odds
High Price28.02Odds

27.78

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On National Vision Target Price

Low Estimate50.0Odds
High Estimate70.0Odds
Number of Analysts4
Standard Deviation11.265

60.25

Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on National Vision Holdings and the information provided on this page.

National Vision Analyst Ratings

National Vision's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about National Vision stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of National Vision's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. National Vision's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Average Consensus Estimates

About National Vision Target Price Projections

National Vision's target price is an analyst's projection of its future price. Price targets can be assigned to all types of securities, from complex investment products to stocks such as National Vision Holdings and even bonds. If the target price is unavailable, it is most likely because there were not enough analyst opinions to come up with a consensus estimate. When setting a price target estimate, an analyst is trying to determine what the Stock is worth and where the price will be in a year from now. Generally, the target price of National depends on its intrinsic valuation, beta (i.e., risk over market), and overall volatility. Most analysts publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with their buy, hold, or sell recommendations. Stock price targets are often quoted in the financial news media. Macroaxis uses multiple feeds to provide overall target price projection for National Vision Holdings including analysis of its current option contracts.
National Vision's latest option contracts expiring on 2022-05-20 are carrying combined implied volatility of 163.72 with a put-to-call open interest ratio of 0.7 over 21 outstanding agreements suggesting investors are buying slightly more calls than puts on contracts expiring on 2022-05-20. The current put volume is at 609, with calls trading at the volume of 20. This yields a 30.45 put-to-call volume ratio. The National Vision option chain provides detailed quote and price information for the current National Vision Holdings option contracts. It shows all of National Vision's listed puts, calls, expiration dates, strike prices, and other pricing information.
National Vision's stock options are financial instruments that give investors the right to buy or sell shares of National Vision Holdings common stock at a specified price for a given time period. Generally speaking, an option to purchase or sell National stock makes it part of the underlying stock when the option's price is tied to the movement of the underlying stock. If National Vision's stock price goes up or down, the stock options follow.
Continue to Macroaxis Advice on National Vision to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.

National Vision Holdings In The Money Call Balance

When National Vision's strike price is surpassing the current stock price, the option contract against National Vision Holdings stock is said to be in the money. When it comes to buying National Vision's options that are 'In the Money' or 'Out of the Money', the choice depends on your outlook for the underlying security, financial situation, and what you are trying to achieve.
While 'out-of-the-money' options written on National Vision Holdings are typically viewed as the more aggressive, there are potential upsides to purchasing these types of options contracts. For one, the cost to buy an 'Out of the Money' option is lower than the cost to buy an 'In the Money' option. This cost-benefit is due to the fact that at the time of the purchase, 'Out of the Money' contracts have no intrinsic value. So, while the potential for a 100% loss is more significant, the cost and risk to enter the trade are lower.

National Current Options Market Mood

National Vision's open interest and total value indicators provide investors with the necessary information to digest the overall options buildup for its expiring contracts. In addition, it helps National Stock's traders understand whether a recent fall or rise in the market is unreasonable and if the time has come to take contrarian positions. These ratios are calculated based on options trading volumes and current open interest.

Put-to-Call Open Interest

Put-to-Call Volume

Most options investors, including buyers and sellers of National Vision's calls and puts, are not very successful. It is estimated that an average options trader loses somewhere between 80% to 90% of the time. National Vision's option open interest and volume spread between outstanding puts and calls are regarded by many investors as reliable indicators of the overall future market direction. Using current National Vision's option volume and open interest to make an investment decision is considered a contrarian-sentiment measure that can be utilized in many timing strategies in both derivative and spot marketplace.

Additional National Vision Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of National Vision is a key component of National Vision valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a National Vision.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of National Vision's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of National Vision in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
23.1627.6432.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
25.0134.5839.06
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.141.141.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as National Vision. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against National Vision's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, National Vision's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in National Vision Holdings.

Additional National Vision Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of National Vision is a key component of National Vision valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a National Vision.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of National Vision's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of National Vision in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
23.1627.6432.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
25.0134.5839.06
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.141.141.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as National Vision. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against National Vision's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, National Vision's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in National Vision Holdings.

Currently Trending Themes

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Continue to Macroaxis Advice on National Vision to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon. Note that the National Vision Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other National Vision's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.

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The data published in National Vision's official financial statements usually reflect National Vision's business processes, product offerings, services, and other fundamental events. But there are other numbers, ratios, or fundamental indicators derived from these statements that are easier to understand and visualize within the underlying realities that drive quantitative information of National Vision Holdings. For example, before you start analyzing numbers published by National accountants, it's critical to develop an understanding of what National Vision's liquidity, profitability, and earnings quality are in the context of the Consumer Cyclical space in which it operates.
Please note, the presentation of National Vision's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, National Vision's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be found in National Vision's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of National Vision Holdings. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of National Vision's management to manipulate its earnings.