Carvana Co Stock Target Price and Analyst Consensus

CVNA -  USA Stock  

USD 33.57  3.33  11.01%

The current analyst and expert consensus on Carvana Co is Buy with 5 hold recommendations. The current projected Carvana Co target price consensus is 370.75 with 20 analyst opinions. One of the most common ways Carvana Co Cl analysts use to provide buy-or-sell recommendation to the public are conference calls analysis and financial statements evaluations. Some experts can also talk to Carvana Co vendors, executives, and/or customers. Carvana Co recommendation module provides expert sentiment on the projected Carvana Co Cl target price to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on target price standard deviation of 56.317. Continue to Macroaxis Advice on Carvana Co to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.
  
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The current year Gross Profit is expected to grow to about 2.1 B, whereas Profit Margin is forecasted to decline to (0.0118) . Carvana Co Inventories is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Inventories was at 371.02 Million. The current year Receivables is expected to grow to about 134.3 M, whereas Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit are forecasted to decline to (501.9 M).

Carvana Co Target Price Consensus

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Carvana target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Carvana target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Number of Opinions21
Lowered Outlook0
Raized Outlook0
Buy
Most Carvana analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Carvana stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Carvana Co Cl, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Carvana Co Target Price Projection

Carvana Co's current and average target prices are 33.57 and 370.75, respectively. The current price of Carvana Co is the price at which Carvana Co Cl is currently trading. On the other hand, Carvana Co's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Carvana Co Market Quote on 24th of May 2022

Low Price30.45Odds
High Price33.69Odds

33.57

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Carvana Co Target Price

Low Estimate260.0Odds
High Estimate470.0Odds
Number of Analysts20
Standard Deviation56.317

370.75

Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Carvana Co Cl and the information provided on this page.

Carvana Co Analyst Ratings

Carvana Co's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Carvana Co stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Carvana Co's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Carvana Co's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Average Consensus Estimates

About Carvana Co Target Price Projections

Carvana Co's target price is an analyst's projection of its future price. Price targets can be assigned to all types of securities, from complex investment products to stocks such as Carvana Co Cl and even bonds. If the target price is unavailable, it is most likely because there were not enough analyst opinions to come up with a consensus estimate. When setting a price target estimate, an analyst is trying to determine what the Stock is worth and where the price will be in a year from now. Generally, the target price of Carvana depends on its intrinsic valuation, beta (i.e., risk over market), and overall volatility. Most analysts publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with their buy, hold, or sell recommendations. Stock price targets are often quoted in the financial news media. Macroaxis uses multiple feeds to provide overall target price projection for Carvana Co Cl including analysis of its current option contracts.
Carvana Co's latest option contracts expiring on 2022-05-27 are carrying combined implied volatility of 195.37 with a put-to-call open interest ratio of 0.38 over 280 outstanding agreements suggesting investors are buying way more calls than puts on contracts expiring on 2022-05-27. The current put volume is at 3675, with calls trading at the volume of 2821. This yields a 1.3 put-to-call volume ratio. The Carvana Co option chain provides detailed quote and price information for the current Carvana Co Cl option contracts. It shows all of Carvana Co's listed puts, calls, expiration dates, strike prices, and other pricing information.

Open Interest Against 2022-05-27 Option Contracts

Carvana Co option prices can potentially be used to forecast stock returns because most option chains provide information not only about the current prices but also about the future conditions in Carvana Co's lending market. For example, when Carvana Co's puts are not actively trading or completely missing in the marketplace, investors can use it to internalize expected shorting costs. So if an investor is writing a put option on Carvana Co, he or she must hedge the risk by shorting Carvana Co stock over its option's life.
The chart above shows Carvana Co's distribution of open interest by maturity on contracts that have not yet been settled. The area between the two highest points is the projection of the price at expiration. Carvana Co's open interest chart also provides vital information regarding the liquidity of an option. If there is no open interest for Carvana Co's option, there is no secondary market available for investors to trade.

Carvana Co Maximum Pain Price across 2022-05-27 Option Contracts

Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of particular securities such as Carvana Co close to expiration to expire worthless. According to most research, approximately 10% to 15% of all stock options are exercised, while about 35% expire worthlessly, with roughly 50% traded out before the expiration date. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net positive position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthless.
Carvana Co's stock options are financial instruments that give investors the right to buy or sell shares of Carvana Co Cl common stock at a specified price for a given time period. Generally speaking, an option to purchase or sell Carvana stock makes it part of the underlying stock when the option's price is tied to the movement of the underlying stock. If Carvana Co's stock price goes up or down, the stock options follow.
Continue to Macroaxis Advice on Carvana Co to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.

Carvana Co Cl In The Money Call Balance

When Carvana Co's strike price is surpassing the current stock price, the option contract against Carvana Co Cl stock is said to be in the money. When it comes to buying Carvana Co's options that are 'In the Money' or 'Out of the Money', the choice depends on your outlook for the underlying security, financial situation, and what you are trying to achieve.
While 'out-of-the-money' options written on Carvana Co Cl are typically viewed as the more aggressive, there are potential upsides to purchasing these types of options contracts. For one, the cost to buy an 'Out of the Money' option is lower than the cost to buy an 'In the Money' option. This cost-benefit is due to the fact that at the time of the purchase, 'Out of the Money' contracts have no intrinsic value. So, while the potential for a 100% loss is more significant, the cost and risk to enter the trade are lower.

Carvana Current Options Market Mood

Carvana Co's open interest and total value indicators provide investors with the necessary information to digest the overall options buildup for its expiring contracts. In addition, it helps Carvana Stock's traders understand whether a recent fall or rise in the market is unreasonable and if the time has come to take contrarian positions. These ratios are calculated based on options trading volumes and current open interest.

Put-to-Call Open Interest

Put-to-Call Volume

Most options investors, including buyers and sellers of Carvana Co's calls and puts, are not very successful. It is estimated that an average options trader loses somewhere between 80% to 90% of the time. Carvana Co's option open interest and volume spread between outstanding puts and calls are regarded by many investors as reliable indicators of the overall future market direction. Using current Carvana Co's option volume and open interest to make an investment decision is considered a contrarian-sentiment measure that can be utilized in many timing strategies in both derivative and spot marketplace.

Additional Carvana Co Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Carvana Co is a key component of Carvana Co valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Carvana Co.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Carvana Co's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Carvana Co in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
16.6525.3434.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
30.21117.53126.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
16.4925.1733.86
Details
Earnings
Estimates (12)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-2.07-1.42-1.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Carvana Co. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Carvana Co's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Carvana Co's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Carvana Co Cl.

Additional Carvana Co Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Carvana Co is a key component of Carvana Co valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Carvana Co.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Carvana Co's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Carvana Co in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
16.6525.3434.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
30.21117.53126.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
16.4925.1733.86
Details
Earnings
Estimates (12)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-2.07-1.42-1.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Carvana Co. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Carvana Co's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Carvana Co's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Carvana Co Cl.

Currently Trending Themes

If you are a self-driven investor, you will appreciate our idea-generating investing themes. Our themes help you align your investments inspirations with your core values and are essential building blocks of your portfolios. A typical investing theme is an unweighted collection of up to 20 funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of equities with common characteristics such as industry and growth potential, volatility, or market segment.
Macroaxis Index
Invested over 90 shares
Software
Invested few shares
Continue to Macroaxis Advice on Carvana Co to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon. Note that the Carvana Co Cl information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Carvana Co's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm.

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When running Carvana Co Cl price analysis, check to measure Carvana Co's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Carvana Co is operating at the current time. Most of Carvana Co's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Carvana Co's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Carvana Co's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Carvana Co to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The data published in Carvana Co's official financial statements usually reflect Carvana Co's business processes, product offerings, services, and other fundamental events. But there are other numbers, ratios, or fundamental indicators derived from these statements that are easier to understand and visualize within the underlying realities that drive quantitative information of Carvana Co Cl. For example, before you start analyzing numbers published by Carvana accountants, it's critical to develop an understanding of what Carvana Co's liquidity, profitability, and earnings quality are in the context of the Consumer Cyclical space in which it operates.
Please note, the presentation of Carvana Co's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Carvana Co's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be found in Carvana Co's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Carvana Co Cl. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Carvana Co's management to manipulate its earnings.