American Express Stock Target Price and Analyst Consensus

AXP
 Stock
  

USD 137.49  0.04  0.0291%   

The current analyst and expert consensus on American Express is Hold with 11 hold recommendations. The current projected American Express target price consensus is 190.75 with 20 analyst opinions. One of the most common ways American Express analysts use to provide buy-or-sell recommendation to the public are conference calls analysis and financial statements evaluations. Some experts can also talk to American Express vendors, executives, and/or customers. American Express recommendation module provides expert sentiment on the projected American Express target price to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on target price standard deviation of 19.139. Please continue to Macroaxis Advice on American Express to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.
  

American Express Target Price Consensus

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. American target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. American target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Number of Opinions18
Lowered Outlook0
Raized Outlook0
Hold
Most American analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand American stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of American Express, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

American Express Target Price Projection

American Express' current and average target prices are 137.49 and 190.75, respectively. The current price of American Express is the price at which American Express is currently trading. On the other hand, American Express' target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

American Express Market Quote on 28th of September 2022

Low Price136.1Odds
High Price140.38Odds

137.49

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On American Express Target Price

Low Estimate151.0Odds
High Estimate233.0Odds
Number of Analysts20
Standard Deviation19.139

190.75

Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on American Express and the information provided on this page.

American Express Analyst Ratings

American Express' analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about American Express stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of American Express' financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. American Express' historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Analyst Consensus Breakdown

Average Consensus Estimates

About American Express Target Price Projections

American Express's target price is an analyst's projection of its future price. Price targets can be assigned to all types of securities, from complex investment products to stocks such as American Express and even bonds. If the target price is unavailable, it is most likely because there were not enough analyst opinions to come up with a consensus estimate. When setting a price target estimate, an analyst is trying to determine what the Stock is worth and where the price will be in a year from now. Generally, the target price of American depends on its intrinsic valuation, beta (i.e., risk over market), and overall volatility. Most analysts publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with their buy, hold, or sell recommendations. Stock price targets are often quoted in the financial news media. Macroaxis uses multiple feeds to provide overall target price projection for American Express including analysis of its current option contracts.
American Express' latest option contracts expiring on 2022-09-30 are carrying combined implied volatility of 54.91 with a put-to-call open interest ratio of 0.82 over 129 outstanding agreements suggesting investors are buying slightly more calls than puts on contracts expiring on 2022-09-30. The current put volume is at 1824, with calls trading at the volume of 1959. This yields a 0.93 put-to-call volume ratio. The American Express option chain provides detailed quote and price information for the current American Express option contracts. It shows all of American Express' listed puts, calls, expiration dates, strike prices, and other pricing information.

Open Interest Against 2022-09-30 Option Contracts

American Express option prices can potentially be used to forecast stock returns because most option chains provide information not only about the current prices but also about the future conditions in American Express' lending market. For example, when American Express' puts are not actively trading or completely missing in the marketplace, investors can use it to internalize expected shorting costs. So if an investor is writing a put option on American Express, he or she must hedge the risk by shorting American Express stock over its option's life.
The chart above shows American Express' distribution of open interest by maturity on contracts that have not yet been settled. The area between the two highest points is the projection of the price at expiration. American Express' open interest chart also provides vital information regarding the liquidity of an option. If there is no open interest for American Express' option, there is no secondary market available for investors to trade.

American Express Maximum Pain Price across 2022-09-30 Option Contracts

Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of particular securities such as American Express close to expiration to expire worthless. According to most research, approximately 10% to 15% of all stock options are exercised, while about 35% expire worthlessly, with roughly 50% traded out before the expiration date. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net positive position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthless.
American Express' stock options are financial instruments that give investors the right to buy or sell shares of American Express common stock at a specified price for a given time period. Generally speaking, an option to purchase or sell American stock makes it part of the underlying stock when the option's price is tied to the movement of the underlying stock. If American Express' stock price goes up or down, the stock options follow.
Please continue to Macroaxis Advice on American Express to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.

American Express In The Money Call Balance

When American Express' strike price is surpassing the current stock price, the option contract against American Express stock is said to be in the money. When it comes to buying American Express' options that are 'In the Money' or 'Out of the Money', the choice depends on your outlook for the underlying security, financial situation, and what you are trying to achieve.
While 'out-of-the-money' option contracts written on American Express are typically viewed as the more aggressive, there are potential upsides to purchasing these types of options contracts. For one, the cost to buy an 'Out of the Money' option is lower than the cost to buy an 'In the Money' option. This cost-benefit is due to the fact that at the time of the purchase, 'Out of the Money' contracts have no intrinsic value. So, while the potential for a 100% loss is more significant, the cost and risk to enter the trade are lower.

American Current Options Market Mood

American Express' open interest and total value indicators provide investors with the necessary information to digest the overall options buildup for its expiring contracts. In addition, it helps American Stock's traders understand whether a recent fall or rise in the market is unreasonable and if the time has come to take contrarian positions. These ratios are calculated based on options trading volumes and current open interest.

Put-to-Call Open Interest

Put-to-Call Volume

Most options investors, including buyers and sellers of American Express' calls and puts, are not very successful. It is estimated that an average options trader loses somewhere between 80% to 90% of the time. American Express' option open interest and volume spread between outstanding puts and calls are regarded by many investors as reliable indicators of the overall future market direction. Using current American Express' option volume and open interest to make an investment decision is considered a contrarian-sentiment measure that can be utilized in many timing strategies in both derivative and spot marketplace.

Additional American Express Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of American Express is a key component of American Express valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a American Express.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Express' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of American Express in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
135.69137.47139.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
123.74167.54169.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
130.21131.99133.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
140.42155.41162.90
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as American Express. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against American Express' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, American Express' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in American Express.

Additional American Express Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of American Express is a key component of American Express valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a American Express.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Express' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of American Express in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
135.69137.47139.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
123.74167.54169.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
130.21131.99133.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
140.42155.41162.90
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as American Express. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against American Express' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, American Express' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in American Express.

Trending Themes

If you are a self-driven investor, you will appreciate our idea-generating investing themes. Our themes help you align your investments inspirations with your core values and are essential building blocks of your portfolios. A typical investing theme is an unweighted collection of up to 20 funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of equities with common characteristics such as industry and growth potential, volatility, or market segment.
Macroaxis Index
Invested over 100 shares
Please continue to Macroaxis Advice on American Express to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon. You can also try Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

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When running American Express price analysis, check to measure American Express' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Express is operating at the current time. Most of American Express' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Express' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Express' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Express to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The data published in American Express' official financial statements usually reflect American Express' business processes, product offerings, services, and other fundamental events. But there are other numbers, ratios, or fundamental indicators derived from these statements that are easier to understand and visualize within the underlying realities that drive quantitative information of American Express. For example, before you start analyzing numbers published by American accountants, it's critical to develop an understanding of what American Express' liquidity, profitability, and earnings quality are in the context of the Financial Services space in which it operates.
Please note, the presentation of American Express' financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, American Express' management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be found in American Express' accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of American Express. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of American Express' management to manipulate its earnings.