Simulations Stock Story


USD 65.61  1.27  1.90%   

While this unique economic environment continues, Simulations Plus may throw investors more surprises in few weeks. Why are we still confident in our hopes for a recovery. On the 5th of July the company is traded for 49.86. Simulations Plus has historical hype elasticity of 0.02. The average price elasticity to hype of competition is about 0.01. The entity is expected to increase in value after the next press release, with the price going to jump to 49.88. The recent volatility of headline impact on Simulations Plus stock price is is way over 100 percent making price predictions on social media along less reliable. The price boost on the next news is forecasted to be 0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.13%. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected announcement will be in about 8 days.
Published over a month ago
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Thinking to buy more of Simulations Plus (NASDAQ:SLP)?

Simulations Plus has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 1.503, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Simulations's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Simulations Plus will likely underperform. Although it is important to respect Simulations Plus current price movements, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on the equity's historical returns. The philosophy towards measuring future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By inspecting Simulations Plus technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.13% will be sustainable into the future. Simulations Plus right now has a risk of 3.32%. Please validate Simulations Plus standard deviation, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and expected short fall to decide if Simulations Plus will be following its existing price patterns.
The successful prediction of Simulations Plus stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Simulations Plus, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Simulations Plus based on Simulations Plus hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Simulations Plus's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Simulations Plus's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project Simulations expected Price

Simulations Plus technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Simulations Plus technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Simulations Plus trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

How does Simulations utilize its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Simulations Plus, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Simulations Plus is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Simulations Plus cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities.
Simulations Plus Net Cash Flow from Operations is very stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Simulations Plus reported last year Net Cash Flow from Operations of 17.28 Million

An Additional Perspective On Simulations Plus

The modest gains experienced by current holders of Simulations Plus created some momentum for insiders as it was traded today as low as 49.07 and as high as 50.55 per share. The company executives have been quite successful in maneuvering the stock at opportune times to take advantage of all market conditions in June. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 3.32. The above-average risk is mostly attributed to market volatility and speculations regarding some of the upcoming earning calls from Simulations Plus partners.

Deferred Revenue Breakdown

Simulations Plus Deferred Revenue yearly trend continues to be very stable with very little volatility. Deferred Revenue is likely to grow to about 28.1 K this year. Deferred Revenue usually refers to a component of Total Liabilities representing the carrying amount of consideration received or receivable on potential earnings that were not recognized as revenue; including sales; license fees; and royalties; but excluding interest income. Simulations Plus Deferred Revenue is very stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Simulations Plus reported last year Deferred Revenue of 27,333

Will price continue to roll up in August 2022?

Simulations Plus recent jensen alpha upswings over 0.38. Simulations Plus shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect Simulations Plus further and ensure that all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with the estimation of Simulations Plus future alpha. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Simulations Plus' stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Simulations Plus' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Simulations Plus Implied Volatility

Simulations Plus' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Simulations Plus stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Simulations Plus' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Simulations Plus stock will not fluctuate a lot when Simulations Plus' options are near their expiration.

The Current Takeaway on Simulations Plus Investment

Although other entities under the health information services industry are still a bit expensive, Simulations Plus may offer a potential longer-term growth to insiders. To conclude, as of the 5th of July 2022, we believe that Simulations Plus is currently undervalued with close to average probability of financial unrest in the next two years. Our primary 90 days recommendation on the firm is Strong Buy.

Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Vlad Skutelnik do not own shares of Simulations Plus. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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