Should you purchase Macys (NYSE:M) based on new technical indicators?


USD 23.14  0.51  2.16%   

As many millenniums are excited about consumer cyclical space, it is only fair to summarize Macys Inc against current market trends. As expected, Macys is starting to reaffirm its true potential as stakeholders are becoming more and more confident in the future outlook. A great deal of the actions of the company stock price movements has been a reflection of what is happening in the market overall. The trail of steady primary indicators of the company denotes a medium-term price swing for stakeholders of Macys. Macys Inc is scheduled to announce its earnings today. The stock continues to experience above-average trading activities.
Published over three months ago
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The company's average rating is Sell from 8 analysts. Do analysts base this consensus on technical analyses? We know that typical technical analysis utilizes price momentum, patterns, and trends looking at historical prices. It aims to identify signals based on Macys market sentiment investors' perception of the future value of Macys. Let us look at a few aspects of Macys technical analysis. About 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Macys was now reported as 8.22. Macys Inc recorded a loss per share of 12.68. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of June 2022. The firm had 2:1 split on the 12th of June 2006.
Using predictive technical analysis, we will analyze different prices and returns patterns and diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Macys Inc. In general, we focus on analyzing Macys stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. We also apply predictive analytics to build Macys's daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers such as momentum indicators and various other types of predictive indicators. Using this methodology combined with a more conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Macys's intrinsic value. In addition to deriving basic predictive indicators for Macys, we also check how macroeconomic factors affect Macys price patterns. Please read more on our technical analysis page or use our predictive modules below to complement your research.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Macys' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Macys in the context of predictive analytics.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Macys. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Macys' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Macys' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Macys Inc.

How does Macys Stands against Peers?

Analyzing Macys competition or peers my help you to expand the diversification possibilities of your existing portfolios and to get a better perspective on locking in new positions. Try to analyze the advantages of investing in traded instruments related to Macys across multiple sectors and thematic ideas. A good competitive analysis can cover a lot of different areas. But what areas to choose depends on who you are. The more exhaustive you are in your analysis, the more effective your competitive analysis will be.
Check out Macys Competition Details

What do experts say?

Stock analysis is a method for investors and traders to make buying and selling decisions. By studying and evaluating past and current data, investors and traders attempt to gain an edge in the markets by making informed decisions.
It is good to see analyst projects for Macys, but it might be worth checking our own buy vs. sell analysis

Closer look at Macys Downside Variance

Macys Inc has current Downside Variance of 17.73. Downside Variance (or DV) is measured by target semi-variance and is termed downside volatility. It is expressed in percentages and therefore allows for rankings in the same way as variance. One way to view downside volatility is the annualized variance of returns below the target.

Downside Variance is the probability-weighted squared below-target returns. The squaring of the below-target returns has the effect of penalizing failures at an exponential rate. This is consistent with observations made on the behavior of individual decision-making under.

Downside Variance 
SUM = Summation notation
RET DEV = Actual returns deviation over selected period
N(ER) = Number of points with returns less than expected return for the period
Let's now compare Macys Downside Variance to its closest peers:

Our perspective of the new Macys hike

New Market Risk Adjusted Performance is up to 0.04. Price may pull down again.
As of the 23rd of August, Macys secures the Downside Deviation of 4.21, mean deviation of 3.29, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0275. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Macys Inc, as well as the relationship between them. Strictly speaking, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of past prices, or the prices will eventually revert. We have collected data for nineteen technical drivers for Macys, which can be compared to its peers in the industry. Please verify Macys Inc variance, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and skewness to decide if Macys Inc is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 19.39 per share. Given that Macys Inc has jensen alpha of (0.09), we recommend you to check Macys's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Our Final Take On Macys

While some other entities within the department stores industry are still a little expensive, even after the recent corrections, Macys may offer a potential longer-term growth to stakeholders. In closing, as of the 23rd of August 2022, our up-to-date 90 days buy vs. sell advice on the company is Sell. However, we believe Macys is undervalued with below average chance of financial distress for the next two years.

Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of Macys Inc. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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