Blue Apron Stock Story

APRN
 Stock
  

USD 3.48  0.17  5.14%   

Lets try to outline the odds of Blue Apron to fully recover from the latest slide as its shares went up 7.74%. Blue Apron Holdings current daily volatility is 6.93 percent, with a beta of 1.07 and an alpha of -0.5 over DOW. While some millenniums are indifferent towards retail, it makes sense to outline Blue Apron Holdings. We will look into some reasons why it is still possible for Blue Apron to maintain above-average margins while minimizing volatility.
Published over a month ago
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Blue Apron Holdings Current Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to Blue Apron's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Blue Apron. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Blue Apron can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Blue Apron Holdings. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Blue Apron's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Blue Apron's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Blue Apron's news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Blue Apron.

Blue Apron Maximum Pain Price across 2022-07-15 Option Contracts

Blue Apron's options can also be used to analyze investors' bias and current market sentiment in the context of behavioral finance. For example, Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of Blue Apron close to the expiration of its current option contract to expire worthlessly. According to most research, about 35% of options are not executed, with roughly 50% traded out before expiration. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net favorable position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthlessly. Please continue to view the detailed analysis of Blue Apron's options.
Breaking down Blue Apron (NYSE:APRN) volatility slide
Blue Apron Holdings currently holds roughly 82.16 M in cash with (48.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.53.
The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Blue Apron has an asset utilization ratio of 162.42 percent. This suggests that the company is making $1.62 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Blue Apron Holdings is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
Investing in Blue Apron, just like investing in any other equity instrument, is characterized by a strong risk-return correlation. High risks mean high returns and low risk means lower expected returns. Risk management is the act of identifying and assessing the potential risk and developing strategies to minimize these risks and earn maximum possible profits while holding Blue Apron along with other instruments in the same portfolio. Using conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis to select individual securities into a portfolio complements risk management and adds value to overall investors' investing strategies.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Blue Apron's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Blue Apron in the context of predictive analytics.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Blue Apron. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Blue Apron's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Blue Apron's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Blue Apron Holdings.

How important is Blue Apron's Liquidity

Blue Apron financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Blue Apron Holdings ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Blue Apron financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Please check the breakdown between Blue Apron's total debt and its cash.

How does Blue Apron utilize its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Blue Apron, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Blue Apron is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Blue Apron cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities.
Blue Apron Net Cash Flow from Operations is quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Net Cash Flow from Operations is estimated at (52.83 Million)

Blue Apron Correlation with Peers

Investors in Blue Apron can reduce exposure to individual asset risk by holding a diversified portfolio of assets in addition to a long position in Blue Apron Holdings. Diversification will allow for the same portfolio return with reduced risk. The correlation table of Blue Apron and its peers is a two-dimensional matrix that shows the correlation coefficient between pairs of securities Blue Apron is related in some way. The cells in the table are color-coded to highlight significantly positive and negative relationships. Each cell shows the correlation between one pair of equities and can be used to run pair trading strategies or create efficient portfolios with your current brokerage.
Please check volatility of Blue Apron for more details

Acquisition by Amit Shah of 19293 shares of Blue Apron subject to Rule 16b-3

Legal trades by Blue Apron insiders are very common, as founders, directors, or employees of any publicly traded firm often have stock or stock options. These trades are made public in the United States through the filing of Form 4 of the Securities and Exchange Commission. Below entry was recorded recently and is publicly available as an insider trade:
Blue Apron insider trading alert for grant of restricted stock units by Amit Shah, the corporate stakeholder, on 14th of June 2022. This event was filed by Blue Apron Holdings Inc with SEC on 2022-06-14. Statement of changes in beneficial ownership - SEC Form 4 [view details]   
Note, although insider trading is legal, in the United States, Canada, Australia, and Germany, for mandatory reporting purposes, corporate insiders are defined as a company's officers, directors, and any beneficial owners of more than 10% of a class of the company's equity securities.

A Deeper Perspective

Blue Apron Holdings secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0853, which signifies that the company had -0.0853% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards foreseeing the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Blue Apron Holdings exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to confirm Blue Apron Holdings risk adjusted performance of (0.09), and Mean Deviation of 4.86 to double-check the risk estimate we provide.
FTCH
MELI
EBAY
MOGU
ID
FTCH
0.890.860.840.79
FTCH
MELI
0.890.920.810.8
MELI
EBAY
0.860.920.820.84
EBAY
MOGU
0.840.810.820.65
MOGU
ID
0.790.80.840.65
ID
FTCH
MELI
EBAY
MOGU
ID
Click cells to compare fundamentals   Check Volatility   Backtest Portfolio

Our perspective of the latest Blue Apron rise

Mean deviation is down to 4.86. It may entail a possible volatility slide. Blue Apron Holdings is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Investors should scrutinize Blue Apron Holdings independently to ensure intended market timing strategies are aligned with expectations about Blue Apron volatility. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Blue Apron's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Blue Apron's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Blue Apron Implied Volatility

Blue Apron's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Blue Apron Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Blue Apron's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Blue Apron stock will not fluctuate a lot when Blue Apron's options are near their expiration.

Our Final Take On Blue Apron

Whereas other companies in the internet retail industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Blue Apron may not be as strong as the others in terms of longer-term growth potentials. To sum up, as of the 27th of May 2022, our final 90 days recommendation on the company is Hold. We believe Blue Apron is undervalued with below average probability of bankruptcy for the next two years.

Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Vlad Skutelnik do not own shares of Blue Apron Holdings. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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