Appharvest Stock Story

APPH
 Stock
  

USD 3.65  0.16  4.58%   

64% of stocks are less volatile than Appharvest, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Since many greedy investors are excited about consumer defensive space, let's concentrate on Appharvest against its current volatility. We will examine how risky is to take a position in Appharvest at this time. The current Appharvest risk factors may impact the value of the stock as we estimate Appharvest as currently undervalued. The real value is approaching 6.48 per share.
Published over a month ago
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Appharvest Current Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to Appharvest's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Appharvest. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Appharvest can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Appharvest. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Appharvest's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Appharvest's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Appharvest's news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Appharvest.

Appharvest Maximum Pain Price across 2022-07-08 Option Contracts

Appharvest's options can also be used to analyze investors' bias and current market sentiment in the context of behavioral finance. For example, Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of Appharvest close to the expiration of its current option contract to expire worthlessly. According to most research, about 35% of options are not executed, with roughly 50% traded out before expiration. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net favorable position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthlessly. Please continue to view the detailed analysis of Appharvest's options.
Appharvest (NASDAQ:APPH) high volatility trend continues
This firm currently holds 138 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.36, which is about average as compared to similar companies. The company has a current ratio of 3.47, suggesting that it is liquid enough and is able to pay its financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Appharvest until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Appharvest's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Appharvest sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Appharvest to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Appharvest's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.2665, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Appharvest's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Appharvest will likely underperform. Although it is extremely important to respect Appharvest historical returns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on equity current trending patterns. The philosophy towards foreseeing future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By analyzing Appharvest technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.0229% will be sustainable into the future. Appharvest right now shows a risk of 7.5%. Please confirm Appharvest potential upside, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and skewness to decide if Appharvest will be following its price patterns.
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Appharvest or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Appharvest may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Appharvest's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Appharvest and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Appharvest fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.

How important is Appharvest's Liquidity

Appharvest financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Appharvest ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Appharvest financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Please check the breakdown between Appharvest's total debt and its cash.

How does Appharvest utilize its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Appharvest, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Appharvest is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Appharvest cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities.
Appharvest Net Cash Flow from Operations is most likely to decrease significantly in the upcoming years. The last year's value of Net Cash Flow from Operations was reported at (103.92 Million)

Appharvest Volatility Drivers

Appharvest unsystematic risk is unique to Appharvest and usually not directly affected by the market or economic environment. An example of unsystematic risk is the possibility of poor earnings or a layoff due to coronavirus. One may mitigate nonsystematic risk by buying different securities in the same industry or by buying in different sectors. For example, if you have a position in Appharvest you can also buy Agrofresh Solutions. You can also mitigate this risk by investing in the farm products sector as well as in companies having nothing to do with it. This type of risk is also called diversifiable risk and can be understood from analyzing Appharvest important indicators over time. Here we run a correlation analysis between relevant fundamental ratios over at least ten year period to find a relationship in the way they react to changes in Appharvest income statement and balance sheet. Here are more details about Appharvest volatility.
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