Vanguard Probability Of Bankruptcy

VGLT
 Etf
  

USD 65.49  0.39  0.60%   

Vanguard Long-Term Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. Vanguard Long-Term Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting Vanguard Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Vanguard balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Also, please take a look at Vanguard Long-Term Piotroski F Score and Vanguard Long-Term Altman Z Score analysis.
  

Vanguard Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Vanguard Long-Term's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
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Current Vanguard Long-Term Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  48%  
Most of Vanguard Long-Term's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Vanguard Long-Term Treasury is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Vanguard Long-Term probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Vanguard Long-Term odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Vanguard Long-Term Treasury financial health.
The market value of Vanguard Long-Term is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vanguard that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vanguard Long-Term's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vanguard Long-Term's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vanguard Long-Term's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vanguard Long-Term's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Long-Term's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Vanguard Long-Term value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Long-Term's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
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Vanguard Long-Term Probability Of Bankruptcy Component Assessment

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Vanguard Long-Term Treasury has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 48.0%. This is much higher than that of the Vanguard family and significantly higher than that of the Long Government category. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States etfs is notably lower than that of the firm.

Vanguard Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Vanguard Long-Term's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the etfs which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Vanguard Long-Term could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vanguard Long-Term by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Vanguard Long-Term is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy as compared to similar ETFs.

Vanguard Fundamentals

About Vanguard Long-Term Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Vanguard Long-Term Treasury's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Vanguard Long-Term using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vanguard Long-Term Treasury based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this etf, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
The fund employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the Bloomberg U.S. Long-Term Govt is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.

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Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Vanguard Long-Term without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Probability Of Bankruptcy

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Also, please take a look at Vanguard Long-Term Piotroski F Score and Vanguard Long-Term Altman Z Score analysis. You can also try Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..

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The market value of Vanguard Long-Term is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vanguard that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vanguard Long-Term's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vanguard Long-Term's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vanguard Long-Term's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vanguard Long-Term's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Long-Term's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Vanguard Long-Term value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Long-Term's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.