Simulations Probability Of Bankruptcy

SLP
 Stock
  

USD 39.46  0.42  1.05%   

Simulations Plus Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. Simulations Plus Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting Simulations Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Simulations balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Additionally, take a look at Simulations Plus Piotroski F Score and Simulations Plus Altman Z Score analysis.
  
Simulations Plus Market Capitalization is very stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Simulations Plus reported last year Market Capitalization of 102.62 Million

Simulations Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Simulations Plus' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
 2021 2022 (projected)
Consolidated Income3.46 M3.73 M
Direct Expenses10.82 M11.68 M
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Simulations Plus Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  41%  
Most of Simulations Plus' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Simulations Plus is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Simulations Plus probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Simulations Plus odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Simulations Plus financial health.
Is Simulations Plus' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Simulations Plus. If investors know Simulations will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Simulations Plus listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
3.1
Market Capitalization
806.6 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.19
Return On Assets
0.0506
Return On Equity
0.0726
The market value of Simulations Plus is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Simulations that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Simulations Plus' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Simulations Plus' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Simulations Plus' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Simulations Plus' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Simulations Plus' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Simulations Plus value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Simulations Plus' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Simulations Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Simulations Plus is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ford stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Simulations Plus' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Simulations Plus' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Simulations Plus' interrelated accounts and indicators.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Simulations Plus has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 41.0%. This is 5.29% lower than that of the Healthcare sector and significantly higher than that of the Health Information Services industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 2.94% lower than that of the firm.

Simulations Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Simulations Plus' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Simulations Plus could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Simulations Plus by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Simulations Plus is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Simulations Plus Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Return on Average Assets21.8519.48.745.626.786.96
Gross Margin73.0573.4374.3977.1979.9287.06
Total Liabilities11.36 M7.52 M12.39 M14.2 M10.13 M8.39 M
Current Liabilities4.83 M4.78 M5.5 M11.57 M7.74 M8.35 M
Total Assets43.28 M45.2 M168.42 M179.98 M188.38 M203.25 M
Current Assets17.82 M21.17 M129.09 M139.31 M146.79 M158.38 M
Net Cash Flow from Operations9.29 M11.64 M10.91 M19.2 M17.9 M19.31 M
Weighted Average Shares17.33 M17.49 M17.82 M20.05 M20.2 M17.86 M
Weighted Average Shares Diluted17.86 M18.06 M18.54 M20.74 M20.75 M18.34 M

Simulations Fundamentals

About Simulations Plus Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Simulations Plus's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Simulations Plus using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Simulations Plus based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Simulations Plus, Inc. develops drug discovery and development software for modeling and simulation, and prediction of molecular properties utilizing artificial intelligence and machine learning based technology worldwide. Simulations Plus, Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Lancaster, California. Simulations Plus is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.

Simulations Plus Investors Sentiment

The influence of Simulations Plus' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Simulations. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Simulations Plus' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Simulations. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Simulations can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Simulations Plus. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Simulations Plus' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Simulations Plus' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Simulations Plus' news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Simulations Plus.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Simulations Plus in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Simulations Plus' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Simulations Plus options trading.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Additionally, take a look at Simulations Plus Piotroski F Score and Simulations Plus Altman Z Score analysis. You can also try Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Simulations Plus price analysis, check to measure Simulations Plus' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Simulations Plus is operating at the current time. Most of Simulations Plus' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Simulations Plus' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Simulations Plus' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Simulations Plus to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Go
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Go
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Go
Premium Stories
Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope
Go
Aroon Oscillator
Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios
Go
Aroon Oscillator
Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios
Go
Watchlist Optimization
Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm
Go
Is Simulations Plus' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Simulations Plus. If investors know Simulations will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Simulations Plus listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
3.1
Market Capitalization
806.6 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.19
Return On Assets
0.0506
Return On Equity
0.0726
The market value of Simulations Plus is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Simulations that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Simulations Plus' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Simulations Plus' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Simulations Plus' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Simulations Plus' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Simulations Plus' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Simulations Plus value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Simulations Plus' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.