JM Smucker Probability Of Bankruptcy

SJM
 Stock
  

USD 154.01  0.44  0.28%   

JM Smucker Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. JM Smucker Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting JM Smucker Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the JM Smucker balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Additionally, take a look at JM Smucker Piotroski F Score and JM Smucker Altman Z Score analysis.
  
JM Smucker Free Cash Flow is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Free Cash Flow is estimated at 1.22 Billion. Invested Capital is expected to hike to about 1.9 B this year, although the value of Revenue Per Employee will most likely fall to nearly 1.1 M.

JM Smucker Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

JM Smucker's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current JM Smucker Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  8%  
Most of JM Smucker's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, JM Smucker is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of JM Smucker probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting JM Smucker odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of JM Smucker financial health.
Is JM Smucker's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of JM Smucker. If investors know JM Smucker will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about JM Smucker listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.06) 
Market Capitalization
16.4 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.076
Return On Assets
0.0413
Return On Equity
0.0694
The market value of JM Smucker is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of JM Smucker that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of JM Smucker's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is JM Smucker's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because JM Smucker's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect JM Smucker's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between JM Smucker's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine JM Smucker value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JM Smucker's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

JM Smucker Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for JM Smucker is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ford stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since JM Smucker's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of JM Smucker's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of JM Smucker's interrelated accounts and indicators.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, JM Smucker has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 8.0%. This is 77.89% lower than that of the Food Products sector and 80.77% lower than that of the Consumer Staples industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 79.91% higher than that of the company.

JM Smucker Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses JM Smucker's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of JM Smucker could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JM Smucker by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
JM Smucker is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

JM Smucker Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Return on Average Assets3.758.653.214.633.914.99
Gross Margin38.5537.238.4839.2233.7633.25
Total Liabilities7.41 B8.74 B8.78 B8.16 B7.91 B6.96 B
Current Liabilities1.03 B2.34 B1.59 B2.87 B1.95 B1.58 B
Total Assets15.3 B16.71 B16.97 B16.28 B16.05 B14.06 B
Current Assets1.55 B1.63 B1.97 B1.94 B2.01 B1.77 B
Net Cash Flow from Operations1.22 B1.14 B1.25 B1.56 B1.14 B1.02 B
Weighted Average Shares113 M113.1 M113.4 M112 M107.9 M121.65 M
Weighted Average Shares Diluted113 M113.1 M113.4 M112 M107.9 M121.67 M

JM Smucker ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, JM Smucker's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to JM Smucker's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

JM Smucker Fundamentals

About JM Smucker Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze JM Smucker's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of JM Smucker using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of JM Smucker based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Smucker Company manufactures and markets branded food and beverage products worldwide. Smucker Company was founded in 1897 and is headquartered in Orrville, Ohio. JM Smucker operates under Packaged Foods classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 6700 people.

JM Smucker Investors Sentiment

The influence of JM Smucker's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in JM Smucker. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to JM Smucker's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in JM Smucker. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding JM Smucker can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around JM Smucker. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
JM Smucker's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for JM Smucker's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average JM Smucker's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on JM Smucker.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards JM Smucker in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, JM Smucker's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from JM Smucker options trading.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Additionally, take a look at JM Smucker Piotroski F Score and JM Smucker Altman Z Score analysis. You can also try Probability Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running JM Smucker price analysis, check to measure JM Smucker's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy JM Smucker is operating at the current time. Most of JM Smucker's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of JM Smucker's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move JM Smucker's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of JM Smucker to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is JM Smucker's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of JM Smucker. If investors know JM Smucker will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about JM Smucker listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.06) 
Market Capitalization
16.4 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.076
Return On Assets
0.0413
Return On Equity
0.0694
The market value of JM Smucker is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of JM Smucker that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of JM Smucker's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is JM Smucker's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because JM Smucker's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect JM Smucker's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between JM Smucker's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine JM Smucker value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JM Smucker's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.