Royal Probability Of Bankruptcy

RCL
 Stock
  

USD 59.92  0.01  0.0167%   

Royal Caribbean Cruises Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. Royal Caribbean Cruises Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting Royal Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Royal balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Additionally, take a look at Royal Caribbean Piotroski F Score and Royal Caribbean Altman Z Score analysis.
  

Royal Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Royal Caribbean's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Royal Caribbean Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  23%  
Most of Royal Caribbean's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Royal Caribbean Cruises is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Royal Caribbean probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Royal Caribbean odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Royal Caribbean Cruises financial health.
Is Royal Caribbean's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Royal Caribbean. If investors know Royal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Royal Caribbean listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.088
Market Capitalization
15.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
5.55
Return On Assets
(0.0333) 
Return On Equity
(0.62) 
The market value of Royal Caribbean Cruises is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Royal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Royal Caribbean's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Royal Caribbean's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Royal Caribbean's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Royal Caribbean's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Royal Caribbean's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Royal Caribbean value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Royal Caribbean's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Royal Caribbean Cruises has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 23.0%. This is 44.43% lower than that of the Consumer Cyclical sector and significantly higher than that of the Travel Services industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 42.25% higher than that of the company.

Royal Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Royal Caribbean's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Royal Caribbean could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Royal Caribbean by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Royal Caribbean is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Royal Caribbean ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Royal Caribbean's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Royal Caribbean's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

Royal Fundamentals

About Royal Caribbean Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Royal Caribbean Cruises's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Royal Caribbean using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Royal Caribbean Cruises based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. operates as a cruise company worldwide. The company was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Miami, Florida. Royal Caribbean operates under Travel Services classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 84900 people.

Royal Caribbean Investors Sentiment

The influence of Royal Caribbean's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Royal. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Royal Caribbean's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Royal. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Royal can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Royal Caribbean Cruises. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Royal Caribbean's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Royal Caribbean's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Royal Caribbean's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Royal Caribbean.

Royal Caribbean Implied Volatility

    
  71.02  
Royal Caribbean's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Royal Caribbean Cruises stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Royal Caribbean's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Royal Caribbean stock will not fluctuate a lot when Royal Caribbean's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Royal Caribbean in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Royal Caribbean's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Royal Caribbean options trading.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Additionally, take a look at Royal Caribbean Piotroski F Score and Royal Caribbean Altman Z Score analysis. Note that the Royal Caribbean Cruises information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Royal Caribbean's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

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When running Royal Caribbean Cruises price analysis, check to measure Royal Caribbean's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Royal Caribbean is operating at the current time. Most of Royal Caribbean's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Royal Caribbean's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Royal Caribbean's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Royal Caribbean to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Royal Caribbean's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Royal Caribbean. If investors know Royal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Royal Caribbean listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.088
Market Capitalization
15.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
5.55
Return On Assets
(0.0333) 
Return On Equity
(0.62) 
The market value of Royal Caribbean Cruises is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Royal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Royal Caribbean's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Royal Caribbean's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Royal Caribbean's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Royal Caribbean's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Royal Caribbean's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Royal Caribbean value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Royal Caribbean's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.