Philip Probability Of Bankruptcy

PM
 Stock
  

USD 98.13  0.76  0.78%   

Philip Morris Intern Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. Philip Morris Intern Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting Philip Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Philip balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Please check Philip Morris Piotroski F Score and Philip Morris Altman Z Score analysis.
  
Philip Morris Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA are relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA is estimated at 14.71 Billion. Earnings before Tax is expected to hike to about 8.9 B this year, although the value of Revenue Per Employee will most likely fall to nearly 394.6 K.

Philip Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Philip Morris' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Philip Morris Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  28%  
Most of Philip Morris' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Philip Morris International is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Philip Morris probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Philip Morris odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Philip Morris International financial health.
Is Philip Morris' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Philip Morris. If investors know Philip will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Philip Morris listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.029
Market Capitalization
151.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.031
Return On Assets
0.2
The market value of Philip Morris Intern is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Philip that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Philip Morris' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Philip Morris' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Philip Morris' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Philip Morris' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Philip Morris' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Philip Morris value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Philip Morris' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Philip Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Philip Morris is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ford stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Philip Morris' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Philip Morris' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Philip Morris' interrelated accounts and indicators.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Philip Morris International has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 28.0%. This is 22.61% lower than that of the Consumer Defensive sector and 39.25% lower than that of the Tobacco industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 29.7% higher than that of the company.

Philip Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Philip Morris' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Philip Morris could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Philip Morris by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Philip Morris is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Philip Morris Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Return on Average Assets15.1219.1217.3818.3721.1622.86
Gross Margin64.8163.7163.6964.7368.0663.37
Total Liabilities55.05 B52.26 B54.45 B57.38 B51.4 B47.01 B
Current Liabilities15.96 B17.19 B18.83 B19.61 B19.25 B17.13 B
Total Assets42.97 B39.8 B42.88 B44.81 B41.29 B38.02 B
Current Assets21.59 B19.44 B20.51 B21.49 B17.72 B16.75 B
Net Cash Flow from Operations8.91 B9.48 B10.09 B9.81 B11.97 B10.28 B
Weighted Average Shares1.55 B1.55 B1.55 B1.56 B1.56 B1.75 B
Weighted Average Shares Diluted1.55 B1.55 B1.56 B1.56 B1.56 B1.75 B

Philip Morris ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Philip Morris' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Philip Morris' managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

Philip Fundamentals

About Philip Morris Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Philip Morris International's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Philip Morris using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Philip Morris International based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Philip Morris International Inc. operates as a tobacco company working to delivers a smoke-free future and evolving portfolio for the long-term to include products outside of the tobacco and nicotine sector. The companys product portfolio primarily consists of cigarettes and smoke-free products, including heat-not-burn, vapor, and oral nicotine products that are sold in markets outside the United States. The company offers its smoke-free products under the HEETS, HEETS Creations, HEETS Dimensions, HEETS Marlboro, HEETS FROM MARLBORO, Marlboro Dimensions, Marlboro HeatSticks, Parliament HeatSticks, and TEREA brands, as well as the KTG-licensed brands, Fiit, and Miix. It also sells its products under the Marlboro, Parliament, Bond Street, Chesterfield, LM, Lark, and Philip Morris brands. In addition, the company owns various cigarette brands, such as Dji Sam Soe, Sampoerna A, and Sampoerna U in Indonesia and Fortune and Jackpot in the Philippines. The company sells its smoke-free products in 71 markets. Philip Morris International Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Philip Morris Investors Sentiment

The influence of Philip Morris' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Philip. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Philip Morris' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Philip. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Philip can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Philip Morris International. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Philip Morris' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Philip Morris' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Philip Morris' news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Philip Morris.

Philip Morris Implied Volatility

    
  21.72  
Philip Morris' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Philip Morris International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Philip Morris' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Philip Morris stock will not fluctuate a lot when Philip Morris' options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Philip Morris in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Philip Morris' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Philip Morris options trading.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Please check Philip Morris Piotroski F Score and Philip Morris Altman Z Score analysis. Note that the Philip Morris Intern information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Philip Morris' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Focused Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.

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When running Philip Morris Intern price analysis, check to measure Philip Morris' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Philip Morris is operating at the current time. Most of Philip Morris' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Philip Morris' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Philip Morris' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Philip Morris to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Philip Morris' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Philip Morris. If investors know Philip will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Philip Morris listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.029
Market Capitalization
151.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.031
Return On Assets
0.2
The market value of Philip Morris Intern is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Philip that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Philip Morris' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Philip Morris' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Philip Morris' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Philip Morris' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Philip Morris' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Philip Morris value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Philip Morris' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.