Procter Probability Of Bankruptcy

PG
 Stock
  

USD 149.77  0.53  0.36%   

Procter Gamble Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. Procter Gamble Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting Procter Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Procter balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Please check Procter Gamble Piotroski F Score and Procter Gamble Altman Z Score analysis.
  
Procter Gamble Earnings before Tax are projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Earnings before Tax were at 5.4 Billion. The current year Average Equity is expected to grow to about 51.1 B, whereas Revenue Per Employee is forecasted to decline to about 688.7 K.

Procter Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Procter Gamble's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
 2021 2022 (projected)
Consolidated Income3.57 B3.66 B
Direct Expenses42.16 B44.18 B
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Procter Gamble Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  8%  
Most of Procter Gamble's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Procter Gamble is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Procter Gamble probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Procter Gamble odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Procter Gamble financial health.
Is Procter Gamble's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Procter Gamble. If investors know Procter will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Procter Gamble listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.071
Market Capitalization
350.5 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.03
Return On Assets
0.0988
Return On Equity
0.32
The market value of Procter Gamble is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Procter that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Procter Gamble's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Procter Gamble's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Procter Gamble's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Procter Gamble's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Procter Gamble's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Procter Gamble value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Procter Gamble's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Procter Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Procter Gamble is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ford stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Procter Gamble's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Procter Gamble's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Procter Gamble's interrelated accounts and indicators.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Procter Gamble has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 8.0%. This is 77.89% lower than that of the Consumer Defensive sector and 77.08% lower than that of the Household & Personal Products industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 79.91% higher than that of the company.

Procter Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Procter Gamble's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Procter Gamble could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Procter Gamble by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Procter Gamble is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Procter Gamble Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Return on Average Assets8.173.3411.0511.9212.4710.31
Gross Margin48.7348.6350.3251.2547.4353.7
Total Debt30.6 B31.59 B31.29 B30.09 B27.08 B27.63 B
Total Liabilities66.02 B67.9 B74.18 B72.93 B70.62 B66.53 B
Current Liabilities28.24 B30.01 B32.98 B33.13 B33.08 B29.99 B
Total Assets118.31 B115.09 B120.7 B119.31 B117.21 B135.17 B
Current Assets23.32 B22.47 B27.99 B23.09 B21.65 B21.98 B
Net Cash Flow from Operations14.87 B15.24 B17.4 B18.37 B16.72 B15.18 B
Weighted Average Shares2.53 B2.5 B2.49 B2.47 B2.41 B2.8 B
Weighted Average Shares Diluted2.66 B2.54 B2.63 B2.6 B2.54 B2.95 B

Procter Gamble ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Procter Gamble's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Procter Gamble's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

Procter Fundamentals

About Procter Gamble Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Procter Gamble's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Procter Gamble using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Procter Gamble based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
The Procter Gamble Company provides branded consumer packaged goods worldwide. The Procter Gamble Company was founded in 1837 and is headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio. Procter Gamble operates under Household Personal Products classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 106000 people.

Procter Gamble Investors Sentiment

The influence of Procter Gamble's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Procter. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Procter Gamble's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Procter. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Procter can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Procter Gamble. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Procter Gamble's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Procter Gamble's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Procter Gamble's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Procter Gamble.

Procter Gamble Implied Volatility

    
  21.93  
Procter Gamble's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Procter Gamble stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Procter Gamble's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Procter Gamble stock will not fluctuate a lot when Procter Gamble's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Procter Gamble in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Procter Gamble's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Procter Gamble options trading.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Please check Procter Gamble Piotroski F Score and Procter Gamble Altman Z Score analysis. Note that the Procter Gamble information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Procter Gamble's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try CEO Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

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When running Procter Gamble price analysis, check to measure Procter Gamble's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Procter Gamble is operating at the current time. Most of Procter Gamble's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Procter Gamble's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Procter Gamble's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Procter Gamble to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Procter Gamble's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Procter Gamble. If investors know Procter will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Procter Gamble listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.071
Market Capitalization
350.5 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.03
Return On Assets
0.0988
Return On Equity
0.32
The market value of Procter Gamble is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Procter that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Procter Gamble's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Procter Gamble's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Procter Gamble's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Procter Gamble's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Procter Gamble's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Procter Gamble value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Procter Gamble's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.