Penn National Z Score

PENN
 Stock
  

USD 35.03  0.67  1.88%   

Altman Z Score is one of the simplest fundamental models to determine how likely your company is to fail. The module uses available fundamental data of a given equity to approximate the Altman Z score. Altman Z Score is determined by evaluating five fundamental price points available from the company's current public disclosure documents. Please check Penn National Piotroski F Score and Penn National Valuation analysis.
  
Penn National Return on Invested Capital is quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Return on Invested Capital is estimated at 0.0421. Invested Capital is expected to rise to about 25.9 B this year, although the value of Capital Expenditure will most likely fall to (251 M). Penn National Operating Income is quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Operating Income is estimated at 1.14 Billion. Revenues is expected to rise to about 6.4 B this year, although the value of Cost of Revenue will most likely fall to about 2.8 B.

Penn National Z Score Analysis

Penn National's Z-Score is a simple linear, multi-factor model that measures the financial health and economic stability of a company. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm going into bankruptcy within next 24 months or two fiscal years from the day stated on the accounting statements used to calculate it. The model uses five fundamental business ratios that are weighted according to algorithm of Professor Edward Altman who developed it in the late 1960s at New York University..
 2018 2019 2021 2022 (projected)
Free Cash Flow840.3 M501.6 M576.84 M464.68 M
Enterprise Value6.54 B13.95 B16.05 B17.31 B
Z Score 
 = 
Sum Of  
 
5 Factors 
More About Z Score | All Equity Analysis

Current Penn National Z Score

    
  1.0  
Most of Penn National's fundamental indicators, such as Z Score, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Penn National Gaming is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
First Factor
 = 
1.2 * (
Working Capital
/
Total Assets )
Second Factor
 = 
1.4 * (
Retained Earnings
/
Total Assets )
Thrid Factor
 = 
3.3 * (
EBITAD
/
Total Assets )
Fouth Factor
 = 
0.6 * (
Market Value of Equity
/
Total Liabilities )
Fifth Factor
 = 
0.99 * (
Revenue
/
Total Assets )

Penn National Z Score Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Penn National is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ford stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Z Score. Since Penn National's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Penn National's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Penn National's interrelated accounts and indicators.
To calculate Z-Score one would need to know current working capital of the company, its total assets, and liabilities, amount of latest retained earnings as well as earnings before interest and tax. Z-Score can be used to compare the odds of bankruptcy of companies in a similar line of business or firms operating in the same industry. Companies with Z-Scores above 3.1 are generally considered to be stable and healthy with a low probability of bankruptcy. Scores that fall between 1.8 and 3.1 lie in a so-called 'grey area' with scores of less than 1, indicating the high probability of distress. Z Score is used widely by financial auditors, accountants, money managers, loan processers, wealth advisers, as well as day traders. In the last 25 years, many financial models that utilize z score has been proved to be successful as a predictor of corporate bankruptcy.
Compare to competition

Based on the company's disclosures, Penn National Gaming has a Z Score of 1.0. This is 69.04% lower than that of the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector and 9.89% higher than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The z score for all United States stocks is 88.53% higher than that of the company.

Penn National Z Score Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Penn National's direct or indirect competition against its Z Score to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Penn National could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Penn National by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Penn National is currently under evaluation in z score category among related companies.

Penn National Current Valuation Drivers

We derive many important indicators used in calculating different scores of Penn National from analyzing Penn National's financial statements. These drivers represent accounts that assess Penn National's ability to generate profits relative to its revenue, operating costs, and shareholders' equity. Below are some of Penn National's important valuation drivers and their relationship over time.
201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Net Income Per Employee25.25 K3.63 K1.55 K(36.44 K)19.15 K20.66 K
Revenue Per Employee167.86 K139.34 K187.33 K194.8 K268.74 K213.86 K
Average Assets5.12 B5.18 B6.58 B14.05 B16.16 B17.44 B
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA667.69 M857.91 M973.5 M32.1 M1.38 B1.49 B
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization USD851.07 M705.2 M897.3 M1.04 B1.19 B962.32 M
Earnings before Tax120.62 M(25.1 M)89.9 M86.9 M99.94 M107.82 M
Average Equity(588.3 M)(217.85 M)198.94 M1.89 B1.7 B1.83 B
Enterprise Value6.15 B7.46 B6.54 B13.95 B16.05 B17.31 B
Free Cash Flow323.19 M376.9 M840.3 M501.6 M576.84 M464.68 M
Invested Capital7.72 B7.79 B16.22 B20.88 B24.02 B25.91 B
Invested Capital Average8.15 B7.87 B9.72 B20.64 B23.74 B25.61 B
Market Capitalization1.15 B2.85 B2.24 B2.96 B2.67 B2.33 B
Tangible Asset Value3.55 B3.8 B7.88 B10.9 B12.53 B13.52 B
Working Capital(137.05 M)(128.98 M)(60.8 M)(262.8 M)(236.52 M)(242.74 M)

Penn National Institutional Holders

Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in Penn National that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may purchase large blocks of Penn National's outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing Penn National's value.
Security TypeSharesValue
Zweigdimenna Associates LlcCommon Shares280 K4.7 M
Zweigdimenna Associates LlcCommon Shares903.4 K14.5 M
Zweigdimenna Associates LlcCommon Shares17.4 K249 K
Zweigdimenna Associates LlcCommon Shares189.5 K10 M
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares20.3 K557 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares20.3 K616 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares23.4 K995 K

Penn National Fundamentals

About Penn National Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Penn National Gaming's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Penn National using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Penn National Gaming based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
PENN Entertainment, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated entertainment, sports content, and casino gaming experiences in North America. PENN Entertainment, Inc. was founded in 1972 and is based in Wyomissing, Pennsylvania. Penn Entertainment operates under Resorts Casinos classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 21973 people.

Penn National Investors Sentiment

The influence of Penn National's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Penn National. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Penn National's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Penn National. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Penn National can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Penn National Gaming. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Penn National's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Penn National's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Penn National's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Penn National.

Penn National Implied Volatility

    
  65.86  
Penn National's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Penn National Gaming stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Penn National's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Penn National stock will not fluctuate a lot when Penn National's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Penn National in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Penn National's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Penn National options trading.

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Please check Penn National Piotroski F Score and Penn National Valuation analysis. You can also try Fund Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.

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Is Penn National's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Penn National. If investors know Penn National will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Penn National listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.38
Market Capitalization
5.5 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.075
Return On Assets
0.0428
Return On Equity
0.0735
The market value of Penn National Gaming is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Penn National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Penn National's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Penn National's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Penn National's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Penn National's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Penn National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Penn National value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Penn National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.