Park City Probability Of Bankruptcy

PCYG
 Stock
  

USD 5.38  0.04  0.75%   

Park City Group Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. Park City Group Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting Park City Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Park City balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Please check Park City Piotroski F Score and Park City Altman Z Score analysis.
  
Park City Average Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Average Assets were at 59.79 Million. The current year Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA is expected to grow to about 4.5 M, whereas Revenue Per Employee is forecasted to decline to about 242 K.

Park City Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Park City's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
 2021 2022 (projected)
Revenues USD24.35 M20.75 M
Revenues18.91 M16.47 M
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Park City Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  1%  
Most of Park City's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Park City Group is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Park City probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Park City odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Park City Group financial health.
Is Park City's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Park City. If investors know Park City will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Park City listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.65
Market Capitalization
99.3 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.24
Return On Assets
0.0526
Return On Equity
0.0929
The market value of Park City Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Park City that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Park City's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Park City's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Park City's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Park City's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Park City's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Park City value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Park City's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Park City Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Park City is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ford stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Park City's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Park City's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Park City's interrelated accounts and indicators.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Park City Group has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 1.0%. This is 97.53% lower than that of the Technology sector and significantly higher than that of the Software—Application industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 97.49% higher than that of the company.
Chance Of Financial Distress
Less than 1
Park City Group has less than 1 (%) percent chance of experiencing financial distress in the next two years of operations. The calculation of odds of distress for Park City stock is tightly coupled with the Probability of Bankruptcy. It complements the equity performance score by supplying investors with insight into company financials without requiring them to know too much about all of the complex accounting and financial indicators surrounding the entity. More Info

Park City Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Return on Average Assets7.167.633.07.596.837.37
Asset Turnover0.450.460.410.380.390.57
Gross Margin70.1172.4665.0867.2360.558.93
Total Debt3.23 M5.17 M5.01 M5.88 M5.29 M4.6 M
Total Liabilities9.59 M9.72 M10.85 M9.91 M8.92 M8.28 M
Current Liabilities7.99 M8.8 M8.91 M9.3 M8.37 M7.5 M
Total Assets49.29 M52.94 M53.43 M55.05 M49.54 M40.2 M
Current Assets23.73 M26.55 M27.15 M29.7 M26.73 M28.84 M
Net Cash Flow from Operations2.18 M4.58 M4.2 M5.4 M4.86 M5.25 M
Weighted Average Shares19.58 M19.85 M19.65 M19.5 M17.55 M16.19 M
Weighted Average Shares Diluted20.28 M20.37 M19.86 M19.75 M17.78 M16.4 M

Park City Fundamentals

About Park City Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Park City Group's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Park City using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Park City Group based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Park City Group, Inc., a software-as-a-service provider, designs, develops, and markets proprietary software products in North America. It primarily serves multi-store retail chains, wholesalers and distributors, and their suppliers. Park City operates under SoftwareApplication classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 70 people.

Park City Investors Sentiment

The influence of Park City's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Park City. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Park City's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Park City. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Park City can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Park City Group. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Park City's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Park City's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Park City's news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Park City.

Park City Implied Volatility

    
  43.15  
Park City's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Park City Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Park City's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Park City stock will not fluctuate a lot when Park City's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Park City in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Park City's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Park City options trading.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Please check Park City Piotroski F Score and Park City Altman Z Score analysis. Note that the Park City Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Park City's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

Complementary Tools for Park City Stock analysis

When running Park City Group price analysis, check to measure Park City's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Park City is operating at the current time. Most of Park City's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Park City's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Park City's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Park City to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Park City's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Park City. If investors know Park City will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Park City listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.65
Market Capitalization
99.3 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.24
Return On Assets
0.0526
Return On Equity
0.0929
The market value of Park City Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Park City that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Park City's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Park City's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Park City's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Park City's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Park City's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Park City value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Park City's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.