ORANGE Probability Of Bankruptcy

ORANGE COUNTY BANCORP Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. ORANGE COUNTY BANCORP Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting ORANGE Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the ORANGE balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Your Equity Center.
  

ORANGE Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

ORANGE COUNTY's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current ORANGE COUNTY Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  41%  
Most of ORANGE COUNTY's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, ORANGE COUNTY BANCORP is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of ORANGE COUNTY probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting ORANGE COUNTY odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of ORANGE COUNTY BANCORP financial health.
Is ORANGE COUNTY's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ORANGE COUNTY. If investors know ORANGE will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ORANGE COUNTY listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of ORANGE COUNTY BANCORP is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ORANGE that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ORANGE COUNTY's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ORANGE COUNTY's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ORANGE COUNTY's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ORANGE COUNTY's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ORANGE COUNTY's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine ORANGE COUNTY value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ORANGE COUNTY's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, ORANGE COUNTY BANCORP has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 41.0%. This is 17.89% lower than that of the Financial Services sector and significantly higher than that of the Banks—Regional industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 2.94% lower than that of the firm.
Chance Of Financial Distress
Less than 41
ORANGE COUNTY BANCORP has less than 41 (%) percent chance of experiencing financial distress in the next two years of operations. The calculation of odds of distress for ORANGE COUNTY stock is tightly coupled with the Probability of Bankruptcy. It complements the equity performance score by supplying investors with insight into company financials without requiring them to know too much about all of the complex accounting and financial indicators surrounding the entity. More Info

ORANGE Fundamentals

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards ORANGE COUNTY in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, ORANGE COUNTY's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from ORANGE COUNTY options trading.

Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as ORANGE COUNTY BANCORP using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

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Check out Your Equity Center. Note that the ORANGE COUNTY BANCORP information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other ORANGE COUNTY's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

Other Tools for ORANGE Stock

When running ORANGE COUNTY BANCORP price analysis, check to measure ORANGE COUNTY's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ORANGE COUNTY is operating at the current time. Most of ORANGE COUNTY's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ORANGE COUNTY's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ORANGE COUNTY's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ORANGE COUNTY to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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