Natural Z Score

NHTC -  USA Stock  

USD 7.28  0.04  0.55%

Altman Z Score is one of the simplest fundamental models to determine how likely your company is to fail. The module uses available fundamental data of a given equity to approximate the Altman Z score. Altman Z Score is determined by evaluating five fundamental price points available from the company's current public disclosure documents. Additionally, see Natural Hlth Piotroski F Score and Natural Hlth Valuation analysis.

Natural Z Score 

 
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The current year Market Capitalization is expected to grow to about 67.1 M, whereas Capital Expenditure is forecasted to decline to (204.9 K). Natural Hlth Direct Expenses is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Direct Expenses was at 15.29 Million. The current year Consolidated Income is expected to grow to about 995 K, whereas Weighted Average Shares Diluted is forecasted to decline to about 10.2 M.

Natural Z Score Analysis

Natural Hlth's Z-Score is a simple linear, multi-factor model that measures the financial health and economic stability of a company. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm going into bankruptcy within next 24 months or two fiscal years from the day stated on the accounting statements used to calculate it. The model uses five fundamental business ratios that are weighted according to algorithm of Professor Edward Altman who developed it in the late 1960s at New York University..
 2021 2022 (projected)
Interest Expense16.2 K16.11 K
Gross Profit51.84 M53.21 M
Z Score 
 = 
Sum Of  
 
5 Factors 
More About Z Score | All Equity Analysis

Current Natural Hlth Z Score

    
  13.8  
Most of Natural Hlth's fundamental indicators, such as Z Score, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Natural Hlth Trd is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
First Factor
 = 
1.2 * (
Working Capital
/
Total Assets )
Second Factor
 = 
1.4 * (
Retained Earnings
/
Total Assets )
Thrid Factor
 = 
3.3 * (
EBITAD
/
Total Assets )
Fouth Factor
 = 
0.6 * (
Market Value of Equity
/
Total Liabilities )
Fifth Factor
 = 
0.99 * (
Revenue
/
Total Assets )

Natural Z Score Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Natural Hlth is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ford stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Z Score. Since Natural Hlth's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Natural Hlth's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Natural Hlth's interrelated accounts and indicators.
To calculate Z-Score one would need to know current working capital of the company, its total assets, and liabilities, amount of latest retained earnings as well as earnings before interest and tax. Z-Score can be used to compare the odds of bankruptcy of companies in a similar line of business or firms operating in the same industry. Companies with Z-Scores above 3.1 are generally considered to be stable and healthy with a low probability of bankruptcy. Scores that fall between 1.8 and 3.1 lie in a so-called 'grey area' with scores of less than 1, indicating the high probability of distress. Z Score is used widely by financial auditors, accountants, money managers, loan processers, wealth advisers, as well as day traders. In the last 25 years, many financial models that utilize z score has been proved to be successful as a predictor of corporate bankruptcy.
Compare to competition

Based on the company's disclosures, Natural Hlth Trd has a Z Score of 13.8. This is 327.24% higher than that of the Consumer Cyclical sector and significantly higher than that of the Internet Retail industry. The z score for all United States stocks is 58.26% lower than that of the firm.

Natural Z Score Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Natural Hlth's direct or indirect competition against its Z Score to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Natural Hlth could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Natural Hlth by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Natural Hlth is currently under evaluation in z score category among related companies.

Natural Hlth Current Valuation Drivers

We derive many important indicators used in calculating different scores of Natural Hlth from analyzing Natural Hlth's financial statements. These drivers represent accounts that assess Natural Hlth's ability to generate profits relative to its revenue, operating costs, and shareholders' equity. Below are some of Natural Hlth's important valuation drivers and their relationship over time.
201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Net Income Per Employee158.24 K202.84 K(36.91 K)5.8 K5.22 K5.36 K
Revenue Per Employee1.33 M1.25 M510.62 K426.91 K384.21 K589.04 K
Average Assets154.23 M158.49 M132.76 M108.79 M125.11 M111.32 M
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA43.96 M34.95 M(5.21 M)1.9 M1.71 M1.75 M
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization USD43.96 M34.95 M(3.45 M)3.43 M3.95 M4.05 M
Earnings before Tax43.43 M34.52 M(5.6 M)1.49 M1.71 M1.76 M
Average Equity92.99 M90.64 M80.71 M69.53 M79.96 M66.51 M
Enterprise Value42.24 M75.13 M(38.42 M)(30.05 M)(27.05 M)(27.76 M)
Free Cash Flow26.33 M29.5 M(18.83 M)1.67 M1.93 M1.98 M
Invested Capital(22.61 M)(22.58 M)(4.01 M)(4.52 M)(4.07 M)(4.39 M)
Invested Capital Average(32.77 M)(23.62 M)(4.25 M)(3.63 M)(3.27 M)(3.52 M)
Market Capitalization172.28 M210.34 M61.98 M56.88 M65.42 M67.14 M
Tangible Asset Value157.79 M156.16 M118.5 M105.94 M121.83 M110.97 M
Working Capital109.32 M107.1 M82.07 M78.23 M89.97 M75.59 M

Natural Fundamentals

About Natural Hlth Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Natural Hlth Trd's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Natural Hlth using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Natural Hlth Trd based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Natural Health Trends Corp., a direct-selling and e-commerce company, provides personal care, wellness, and lifestyle products under the NHT Global brand. Natural Health Trends Corp. was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Tsim Sha Tsui, Hong Kong. Natural Hlth is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.

Natural Hlth Investors Sentiment

The influence of Natural Hlth's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Natural. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Natural Hlth Implied Volatility

    
  54.34  
Natural Hlth's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Natural Hlth Trd stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Natural Hlth's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Natural Hlth stock will not fluctuate a lot when Natural Hlth's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Natural Hlth in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Natural Hlth's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Natural Hlth options trading.

Current Sentiment - NHTC

Natural Hlth Trd Investor Sentiment

Most of Macroaxis users are now bullish on Natural Hlth Trd. What is your trading attitude regarding investing in Natural Hlth Trd? Are you bullish or bearish?
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Additionally, see Natural Hlth Piotroski F Score and Natural Hlth Valuation analysis. Note that the Natural Hlth Trd information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Natural Hlth's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

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When running Natural Hlth Trd price analysis, check to measure Natural Hlth's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natural Hlth is operating at the current time. Most of Natural Hlth's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natural Hlth's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natural Hlth's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natural Hlth to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Natural Hlth's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Natural Hlth. If investors know Natural will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Natural Hlth listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Natural Hlth Trd is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Natural that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Natural Hlth's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Natural Hlth's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Natural Hlth's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Natural Hlth's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Natural Hlth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Natural Hlth value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Natural Hlth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.