Murphy Z Score

MUSA
 Stock
  

USD 285.77  2.45  0.85%   

Altman Z Score is one of the simplest fundamental models to determine how likely your company is to fail. The module uses available fundamental data of a given equity to approximate the Altman Z score. Altman Z Score is determined by evaluating five fundamental price points available from the company's current public disclosure documents. Additionally, see Murphy USA Piotroski F Score and Murphy USA Valuation analysis.
  
Murphy USA Return on Invested Capital is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Return on Invested Capital was at 0.13. The current year Working Capital is expected to grow to about 95.7 M, whereas Capital Expenditure is forecasted to decline to (292.7 M). Murphy USA Direct Expenses is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Direct Expenses was at 15.51 Billion. The current year Net Income is expected to grow to about 428.2 M, whereas Consolidated Income is forecasted to decline to about 350 M.

Murphy Z Score Analysis

Murphy USA's Z-Score is a simple linear, multi-factor model that measures the financial health and economic stability of a company. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm going into bankruptcy within next 24 months or two fiscal years from the day stated on the accounting statements used to calculate it. The model uses five fundamental business ratios that are weighted according to algorithm of Professor Edward Altman who developed it in the late 1960s at New York University..
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Consolidated Income154.8 M386.1 M396.9 M350 M
Direct Expenses12.91 B9.82 B15.51 B16.39 B
Z Score 
 = 
Sum Of  
 
5 Factors 
More About Z Score | All Equity Analysis

Current Murphy USA Z Score

    
  11.79  
Most of Murphy USA's fundamental indicators, such as Z Score, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Murphy USA is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
First Factor
 = 
1.2 * (
Working Capital
/
Total Assets )
Second Factor
 = 
1.4 * (
Retained Earnings
/
Total Assets )
Thrid Factor
 = 
3.3 * (
EBITAD
/
Total Assets )
Fouth Factor
 = 
0.6 * (
Market Value of Equity
/
Total Liabilities )
Fifth Factor
 = 
0.99 * (
Revenue
/
Total Assets )

Murphy Z Score Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Murphy USA is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ford stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Z Score. Since Murphy USA's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Murphy USA's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Murphy USA's interrelated accounts and indicators.
To calculate Z-Score one would need to know current working capital of the company, its total assets, and liabilities, amount of latest retained earnings as well as earnings before interest and tax. Z-Score can be used to compare the odds of bankruptcy of companies in a similar line of business or firms operating in the same industry. Companies with Z-Scores above 3.1 are generally considered to be stable and healthy with a low probability of bankruptcy. Scores that fall between 1.8 and 3.1 lie in a so-called 'grey area' with scores of less than 1, indicating the high probability of distress. Z Score is used widely by financial auditors, accountants, money managers, loan processers, wealth advisers, as well as day traders. In the last 25 years, many financial models that utilize z score has been proved to be successful as a predictor of corporate bankruptcy.
Compare to competition

Based on the company's disclosures, Murphy USA has a Z Score of 11.79. This is 265.02% higher than that of the Specialty Retail sector and 29.28% higher than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The z score for all United States stocks is 35.21% lower than that of the firm.

Murphy Z Score Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Murphy USA's direct or indirect competition against its Z Score to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Murphy USA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Murphy USA by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Murphy USA is currently under evaluation in z score category among related companies.

Murphy USA Current Valuation Drivers

We derive many important indicators used in calculating different scores of Murphy USA from analyzing Murphy USA's financial statements. These drivers represent accounts that assess Murphy USA's ability to generate profits relative to its revenue, operating costs, and shareholders' equity. Below are some of Murphy USA's important valuation drivers and their relationship over time.
201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Net Income Per Employee25.55 K22.48 K15.64 K38.89 K27.16 K24.26 K
Revenue Per Employee1.34 M1.51 M1.42 M1.13 M1.19 M1.53 M
Average Assets2.21 B2.31 B2.59 B2.73 B4.03 B3.48 B
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA402.34 M458.3 M405.3 M719.3 M815.8 M880.21 M
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization USD403.7 M460.8 M409.5 M721.3 M816.9 M709.48 M
Earnings before Tax240.1 M273.9 M202.4 M509.1 M521.9 M466.59 M
Average Equity689.23 M731.95 M799.02 M836.15 M792.62 M757.79 M
Enterprise Value3.51 B3.26 B4.34 B4.44 B7.02 B5.92 B
Free Cash Flow26.2 M195.6 M111 M341.1 M466.1 M502.9 M
Invested Capital2.51 B2.56 B2.94 B3.1 B4.87 B3.91 B
Invested Capital Average2.43 B2.54 B2.77 B2.99 B4.81 B3.9 B
Market Capitalization2.8 B2.47 B3.6 B3.74 B5.11 B4.49 B
Tangible Asset Value2.33 B2.36 B2.69 B2.65 B3.58 B3.21 B
Working Capital80.9 M92 M205.8 M94.1 M92.5 M95.65 M

Murphy USA Institutional Holders

Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in Murphy USA that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may purchase large blocks of Murphy USA's outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing Murphy USA's value.
Security TypeSharesValue
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares2.9 K793 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares2.9 K672 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares3.3 K656 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon SharesK596 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares2.2 K369 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares2.2 K294 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon SharesK438 K

Murphy Fundamentals

About Murphy USA Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Murphy USA's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Murphy USA using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Murphy USA based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Murphy USA Inc. engages in marketing of retail motor fuel products and convenience merchandise. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in El Dorado, Arkansas. Murphy USA operates under Specialty Retail classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 6245 people.

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Additionally, see Murphy USA Piotroski F Score and Murphy USA Valuation analysis. You can also try Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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Is Murphy USA's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Murphy USA. If investors know Murphy will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Murphy USA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
1.33
Market Capitalization
6.5 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.38
Return On Assets
0.14
Return On Equity
0.83
The market value of Murphy USA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Murphy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Murphy USA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Murphy USA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Murphy USA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Murphy USA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Murphy USA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Murphy USA value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Murphy USA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.