Mogu Inc Probability Of Bankruptcy

MOGU -  USA Stock  

USD 0.32  0.02  5.88%

Mogu Inc ADR Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. Mogu Inc ADR Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting Mogu Inc Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Mogu Inc balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Additionally, see Mogu Inc Piotroski F Score and Mogu Inc Altman Z Score analysis.

Mogu Inc Probability Of Bankruptcy 

 
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Mogu Inc Average Assets are comparatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Mogu Inc reported Average Assets of 1.85 Billion in 2021. Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA is likely to gain to about 27.5 M in 2022, whereas Invested Capital is likely to drop slightly above 302.1 M in 2022.

Mogu Inc Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Mogu Inc's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
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Current Mogu Inc Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  65%  
Most of Mogu Inc's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Mogu Inc ADR is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Mogu Inc probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Mogu Inc odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Mogu Inc ADR financial health.
Is Mogu Inc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mogu Inc. If investors know Mogu Inc will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mogu Inc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Mogu Inc ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mogu Inc that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mogu Inc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mogu Inc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mogu Inc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mogu Inc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mogu Inc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Mogu Inc value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mogu Inc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Mogu Inc Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Mogu Inc is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ford stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Mogu Inc's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Mogu Inc's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Mogu Inc's interrelated accounts and indicators.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Mogu Inc ADR has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 65%. This is 57.04% higher than that of the Consumer Cyclical sector and significantly higher than that of the Internet Retail industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 63.19% lower than that of the firm.

Mogu Inc Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Mogu Inc's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Mogu Inc could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mogu Inc by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Mogu Inc is considered to be number one stock in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Mogu Inc Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Gross Margin0.670.710.650.620.560.57
Total Liabilities695.31 M556.11 M460.28 M384.96 M346.46 M459 M
Current Liabilities670.07 M548.9 M435.11 M365.28 M328.75 M433.52 M
Total Assets3.58 B4.6 B2.44 B1.84 B1.66 B2.32 B
Current Assets1.66 B1.78 B1.31 B987.07 M888.37 M1.16 B
Net Cash Flow from Operations(314.86 M)(325.81 M)(311.79 M)(77.93 M)(89.62 M)(96.7 M)
Weighted Average Shares550.79 M1.25 B2.72 B2.63 B3.02 B2.48 B
Weighted Average Shares Diluted550.79 M1.25 B2.72 B2.63 B3.02 B2.48 B

Mogu Inc Fundamentals

About Mogu Inc Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Mogu Inc ADR's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Mogu Inc using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mogu Inc ADR based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
MOGU Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the online fashion and lifestyle business in the Peoples Republic of China. MOGU Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, the Peoples Republic of China. Mogu Inc operates under Internet Retail classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 605 people.

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Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Mogu Inc without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate.risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Additionally, see Mogu Inc Piotroski F Score and Mogu Inc Altman Z Score analysis. Note that the Mogu Inc ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mogu Inc's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.

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When running Mogu Inc ADR price analysis, check to measure Mogu Inc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mogu Inc is operating at the current time. Most of Mogu Inc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mogu Inc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mogu Inc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mogu Inc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Mogu Inc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mogu Inc. If investors know Mogu Inc will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mogu Inc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Mogu Inc ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mogu Inc that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mogu Inc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mogu Inc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mogu Inc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mogu Inc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mogu Inc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Mogu Inc value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mogu Inc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.