Mercadolibre Probability Of Bankruptcy

MELI
 Stock
  

USD 659.95  23.08  3.62%   

Mercadolibre Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. Mercadolibre Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting Mercadolibre Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Mercadolibre balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Additionally, see Mercadolibre Piotroski F Score and Mercadolibre Altman Z Score analysis.
  
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Mercadolibre Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA are most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The last year's value of Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA was reported at 664.75 Million. The current Earnings before Tax is estimated to increase to about 250.4 M, while Revenue Per Employee is projected to decrease to roughly 212.9 K.

Mercadolibre Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Mercadolibre's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Interest Expense65.88 M106.69 M228.7 M246.76 M
Gross Profit1.1 B1.71 B3.01 B3.24 B
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Mercadolibre Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  1%  
Most of Mercadolibre's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Mercadolibre is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Mercadolibre probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Mercadolibre odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Mercadolibre financial health.
Is Mercadolibre's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mercadolibre. If investors know Mercadolibre will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mercadolibre listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
5.86
Market Capitalization
32.1 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.63
Return On Assets
0.0383
Return On Equity
0.23
The market value of Mercadolibre is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mercadolibre that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mercadolibre's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mercadolibre's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mercadolibre's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mercadolibre's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mercadolibre's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Mercadolibre value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mercadolibre's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Mercadolibre Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Mercadolibre is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ford stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Mercadolibre's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Mercadolibre's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Mercadolibre's interrelated accounts and indicators.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Mercadolibre has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 1.0%. This is 97.58% lower than that of the Consumer Cyclical sector and significantly higher than that of the Internet Retail industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 97.49% higher than that of the company.

Mercadolibre Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Mercadolibre's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Mercadolibre could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mercadolibre by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Mercadolibre is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Mercadolibre Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Return on Average Assets0.009(0.02)(0.038)0.0120.01080.0111
Total Debt368.41 M735.18 M1.02 B1.71 B3.98 B4.3 B
Total Liabilities1.35 B1.9 B2.7 B4.87 B8.57 B9.25 B
Current Liabilities968.03 M1.17 B1.75 B3.64 B5.84 B6.3 B
Total Assets1.67 B2.24 B4.78 B6.53 B10.1 B10.9 B
Current Assets1.29 B1.51 B3.79 B5.35 B8.18 B8.82 B
Net Cash Flow from Operations269.01 M230.91 M451.09 M1.18 B965.04 M1.04 B
Weighted Average Shares44.16 M44.53 M48.69 M49.74 M49.8 M52.62 M
Weighted Average Shares Diluted44.16 M44.53 M48.69 M49.74 M49.8 M52.62 M

Mercadolibre Fundamentals

About Mercadolibre Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Mercadolibre's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Mercadolibre using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mercadolibre based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
MercadoLibre, Inc. operates online commerce platforms in Latin America. MercadoLibre, Inc. was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Montevideo, Uruguay. Mercadolibre operates under Internet Retail classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 29957 people.

Mercadolibre Investors Sentiment

The influence of Mercadolibre's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Mercadolibre. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Mercadolibre Implied Volatility

    
  63.34  
Mercadolibre's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Mercadolibre stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Mercadolibre's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Mercadolibre stock will not fluctuate a lot when Mercadolibre's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Mercadolibre in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Mercadolibre's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Mercadolibre options trading.

Current Sentiment - MELI

Mercadolibre Investor Sentiment

Most of Macroaxis users are now bullish on Mercadolibre. What is your trading attitude regarding investing in Mercadolibre? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish

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Additionally, see Mercadolibre Piotroski F Score and Mercadolibre Altman Z Score analysis. Note that the Mercadolibre information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mercadolibre's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.

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Is Mercadolibre's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mercadolibre. If investors know Mercadolibre will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mercadolibre listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
5.86
Market Capitalization
32.1 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.63
Return On Assets
0.0383
Return On Equity
0.23
The market value of Mercadolibre is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mercadolibre that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mercadolibre's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mercadolibre's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mercadolibre's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mercadolibre's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mercadolibre's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Mercadolibre value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mercadolibre's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.