McDonalds Z Score

MCD
 Stock
  

USD 273.40  0.61  0.22%   

Altman Z Score is one of the simplest fundamental models to determine how likely your company is to fail. The module uses available fundamental data of a given equity to approximate the Altman Z score. Altman Z Score is determined by evaluating five fundamental price points available from the company's current public disclosure documents. Additionally, see McDonalds Piotroski F Score and McDonalds Valuation analysis.
  
McDonalds Working Capital is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Working Capital was at 3.13 Billion. McDonalds Cost of Revenue is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Cost of Revenue was at 10.38 Billion. The current year Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT is expected to grow to about 10.4 B, whereas Interest Expense is forecasted to decline to about 1.1 B.

McDonalds Z Score Analysis

McDonalds' Z-Score is a simple linear, multi-factor model that measures the financial health and economic stability of a company. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm going into bankruptcy within next 24 months or two fiscal years from the day stated on the accounting statements used to calculate it. The model uses five fundamental business ratios that are weighted according to algorithm of Professor Edward Altman who developed it in the late 1960s at New York University..
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Consolidated Income6.03 B4.73 B7.55 B7.13 B
Direct Expenses7.76 B7.25 B8.31 B11.25 B
Z Score 
 = 
Sum Of  
 
5 Factors 
More About Z Score | All Equity Analysis

Current McDonalds Z Score

    
  3.8  
Most of McDonalds' fundamental indicators, such as Z Score, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, McDonalds is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
First Factor
 = 
1.2 * (
Working Capital
/
Total Assets )
Second Factor
 = 
1.4 * (
Retained Earnings
/
Total Assets )
Thrid Factor
 = 
3.3 * (
EBITAD
/
Total Assets )
Fouth Factor
 = 
0.6 * (
Market Value of Equity
/
Total Liabilities )
Fifth Factor
 = 
0.99 * (
Revenue
/
Total Assets )

McDonalds Z Score Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for McDonalds is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ford stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Z Score. Since McDonalds' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of McDonalds' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of McDonalds' interrelated accounts and indicators.
To calculate Z-Score one would need to know current working capital of the company, its total assets, and liabilities, amount of latest retained earnings as well as earnings before interest and tax. Z-Score can be used to compare the odds of bankruptcy of companies in a similar line of business or firms operating in the same industry. Companies with Z-Scores above 3.1 are generally considered to be stable and healthy with a low probability of bankruptcy. Scores that fall between 1.8 and 3.1 lie in a so-called 'grey area' with scores of less than 1, indicating the high probability of distress. Z Score is used widely by financial auditors, accountants, money managers, loan processers, wealth advisers, as well as day traders. In the last 25 years, many financial models that utilize z score has been proved to be successful as a predictor of corporate bankruptcy.
Compare to competition

Based on the company's disclosures, McDonalds has a Z Score of 3.8. This is 17.65% higher than that of the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector and 17.57% lower than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The z score for all United States stocks is 56.42% higher than that of the company.

McDonalds Z Score Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses McDonalds' direct or indirect competition against its Z Score to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of McDonalds could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing McDonalds by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
McDonalds is currently under evaluation in z score category among related companies.

McDonalds Current Valuation Drivers

We derive many important indicators used in calculating different scores of McDonalds from analyzing McDonalds' financial statements. These drivers represent accounts that assess McDonalds' ability to generate profits relative to its revenue, operating costs, and shareholders' equity. Below are some of McDonalds' important valuation drivers and their relationship over time.
201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Net Income Per Employee22.09 K28.21 K29.39 K23.59 K37.73 K40.7 K
Revenue Per Employee97.11 K100.12 K102.81 K95.78 K116.11 K94.59 K
Average Assets32.82 B33.32 B46.5 B50.96 B52.39 B49.73 B
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA10.54 B9.95 B10.38 B8.71 B11.67 B10.24 B
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization USD10.86 B10.28 B10.76 B9.11 B12.18 B12.26 B
Earnings before Tax8.57 B7.82 B8.02 B6.14 B9.13 B9.27 B
Average Equity(2.69 B)(5.91 B)(7.54 B)(8.76 B)(5.83 B)(5.98 B)
Enterprise Value163.16 B166.21 B193.08 B207.49 B244.82 B215.54 B
Free Cash Flow3.86 B4.39 B5.88 B4.65 B7.21 B6.54 B
Invested Capital55.61 B57.72 B87.87 B91.69 B91.69 B82.18 B
Invested Capital Average53.26 B57.19 B84.86 B90.14 B90.7 B80.68 B
Market Capitalization137.21 B136.89 B148.82 B159.89 B200.31 B177.62 B
Tangible Asset Value31.42 B30.48 B44.83 B49.85 B51.07 B47.93 B
Working Capital2.44 B1.08 B(63.1 M)62 M3.13 B3.38 B

McDonalds ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, McDonalds' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to McDonalds' managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

McDonalds Institutional Holders

Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in McDonalds that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may purchase large blocks of McDonalds' outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing McDonalds' value.
Security TypeSharesValue
Zwj Investment Counsel IncCommon Shares4.8 K1.1 M
Zwj Investment Counsel IncCommon Shares4.9 K1.2 M
Zwj Investment Counsel IncCommon Shares4.8 K1.2 M
Zwj Investment Counsel IncCommon Shares5.8 K1.5 M
Zwj Investment Counsel IncCommon Shares4.8 K1.2 M
Zwj Investment Counsel IncCommon Shares6.1 K1.4 M
Zwj Investment Counsel IncCommon Shares5.5 K1.2 M

McDonalds Fundamentals

About McDonalds Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze McDonalds's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of McDonalds using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of McDonalds based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
McDonalds Corporation operates and franchises McDonalds restaurants in the United States and internationally. McDonalds Corporation was founded in 1940 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois. McDonalds Corp operates under Restaurants classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 100000 people.

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in McDonalds without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Additionally, see McDonalds Piotroski F Score and McDonalds Valuation analysis. Note that the McDonalds information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other McDonalds' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.

Complementary Tools for McDonalds Stock analysis

When running McDonalds price analysis, check to measure McDonalds' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy McDonalds is operating at the current time. Most of McDonalds' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of McDonalds' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move McDonalds' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of McDonalds to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is McDonalds' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of McDonalds. If investors know McDonalds will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about McDonalds listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.06) 
Market Capitalization
199.8 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.05) 
Return On Assets
0.13
Return On Equity
-100 K
The market value of McDonalds is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of McDonalds that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of McDonalds' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is McDonalds' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because McDonalds' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect McDonalds' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between McDonalds' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine McDonalds value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, McDonalds' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.