Moleculin Probability Of Bankruptcy

MBRX -  USA Stock  

USD 1.46  0.07  5.04%

Moleculin Biotech Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. Moleculin Biotech Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting Moleculin Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Moleculin balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Additionally, see Moleculin Biotech Piotroski F Score and Moleculin Biotech Altman Z Score analysis.
  
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Moleculin Biotech Average Assets are fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Moleculin Biotech reported Average Assets of 91.53 Million in 2021. Average Equity is likely to rise to about 89.9 M in 2022, whereas Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA are likely to drop (16.1 M) in 2022.

Moleculin Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Moleculin Biotech's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Current Assets13.48 M17.2 M72.5 M78.22 M
Total Assets25.23 M29.03 M84.09 M90.73 M
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Moleculin Biotech Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  47%  
Most of Moleculin Biotech's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Moleculin Biotech CS is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Moleculin Biotech probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Moleculin Biotech odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Moleculin Biotech CS financial health.
Is Moleculin Biotech's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Moleculin Biotech. If investors know Moleculin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Moleculin Biotech listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
41.7 M
Return On Assets
-0.17
Return On Equity
-0.23
The market value of Moleculin Biotech is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Moleculin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Moleculin Biotech's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Moleculin Biotech's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Moleculin Biotech's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Moleculin Biotech's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Moleculin Biotech's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Moleculin Biotech value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Moleculin Biotech's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Moleculin Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Moleculin Biotech is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ford stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Moleculin Biotech's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Moleculin Biotech's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Moleculin Biotech's interrelated accounts and indicators.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Moleculin Biotech CS has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 47.0%. This is 8.57% higher than that of the Healthcare sector and 14.3% lower than that of the Biotechnology industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 18.0% lower than that of the firm.
Chance Of Financial Distress
Less than 47
Moleculin Biotech CS has less than 47 (%) percent chance of experiencing financial distress in the next two years of operations. The calculation of odds of distress for Moleculin Biotech stock is tightly coupled with the Probability of Bankruptcy. It complements the equity performance score by supplying investors with insight into company financials without requiring them to know too much about all of the complex accounting and financial indicators surrounding the entity. More Info

Moleculin Biotech Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Return on Average Assets(0.48)(0.53)(0.49)(0.61)(0.17)(0.19)
Total Debt450 K296 K276 K159 K63 K64.66 K
Total Liabilities2.37 M5.31 M9.66 M11.27 M5.1 M5.52 M
Current Liabilities2.21 M3.88 M3.57 M2.92 M3.62 M3.35 M
Total Assets19.48 M19.59 M25.23 M29.03 M84.09 M90.73 M
Current Assets8.3 M7.97 M13.48 M17.2 M72.5 M78.22 M
Net Cash Flow from Operations(7.32 M)(12.2 M)(17.2 M)(17.77 M)(18.95 M)(19.45 M)
Weighted Average Shares3.09 M4.32 M6.79 M9.85 M26.88 M29 M
Weighted Average Shares Diluted3.09 M4.32 M6.79 M9.85 M26.88 M29 M

Moleculin Fundamentals

About Moleculin Biotech Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Moleculin Biotech CS's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Moleculin Biotech using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Moleculin Biotech CS based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Moleculin Biotech, Inc., a clinical-stage pharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of drug candidates for the treatment of highly resistant tumors and viruses. Moleculin Biotech, Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas. Moleculin Biotech operates under Biotechnology classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 13 people.

Moleculin Biotech Investors Sentiment

The influence of Moleculin Biotech's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Moleculin. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Moleculin Biotech in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Moleculin Biotech's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Moleculin Biotech options trading.

Current Sentiment - MBRX

Moleculin Biotech Investor Sentiment

Most of Macroaxis users are now bullish on Moleculin Biotech CS. What is your trading attitude regarding investing in Moleculin Biotech CS? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish

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Additionally, see Moleculin Biotech Piotroski F Score and Moleculin Biotech Altman Z Score analysis. Note that the Moleculin Biotech information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Moleculin Biotech's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.

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When running Moleculin Biotech price analysis, check to measure Moleculin Biotech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Moleculin Biotech is operating at the current time. Most of Moleculin Biotech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Moleculin Biotech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Moleculin Biotech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Moleculin Biotech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Moleculin Biotech's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Moleculin Biotech. If investors know Moleculin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Moleculin Biotech listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
41.7 M
Return On Assets
-0.17
Return On Equity
-0.23
The market value of Moleculin Biotech is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Moleculin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Moleculin Biotech's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Moleculin Biotech's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Moleculin Biotech's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Moleculin Biotech's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Moleculin Biotech's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Moleculin Biotech value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Moleculin Biotech's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.