Merchants Probability Of Bankruptcy

MBIN
 Stock
  

USD 22.67  0.18  0.80%   

Merchants Bancorp Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. Merchants Bancorp Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting Merchants Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Merchants balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Additionally, see Merchants Bancorp Piotroski F Score and Merchants Bancorp Altman Z Score analysis.
  
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Merchants Bancorp Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA are quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA is estimated at 331.37 Million. Earnings before Tax is expected to rise to about 329 M this year, although the value of Average Assets will most likely fall to about 8.8 B.

Merchants Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Merchants Bancorp's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Average Equity569 M737.23 M1.08 B884.51 M
Earnings before Tax102.13 M243.36 M304.93 M329 M
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Merchants Bancorp Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  58%  
Most of Merchants Bancorp's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Merchants Bancorp is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Merchants Bancorp probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Merchants Bancorp odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Merchants Bancorp financial health.
Is Merchants Bancorp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Merchants Bancorp. If investors know Merchants will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Merchants Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.24
Market Capitalization
973.1 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.14
Return On Assets
0.0222
Return On Equity
0.2
The market value of Merchants Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Merchants that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Merchants Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Merchants Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Merchants Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Merchants Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Merchants Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Merchants Bancorp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Merchants Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Merchants Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Merchants Bancorp is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ford stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Merchants Bancorp's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Merchants Bancorp's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Merchants Bancorp's interrelated accounts and indicators.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Merchants Bancorp has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 58%. This is 16.16% higher than that of the Financial Services sector and significantly higher than that of the Banks—Regional industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 45.62% lower than that of the firm.
Chance Of Financial Distress
Over 57
Merchants Bancorp has more than 57 (%) percent chance of experiencing financial distress in the next two years of operations. The calculation of odds of distress for Merchants Bancorp stock is tightly coupled with the Probability of Bankruptcy. It complements the equity performance score by supplying investors with insight into company financials without requiring them to know too much about all of the complex accounting and financial indicators surrounding the entity. More Info

Merchants Bancorp Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Total Debt56.61 M195.45 M181.44 M1.35 B1.03 B1.12 B
Total Liabilities3.03 B3.46 B5.72 B8.83 B10.12 B8.29 B
Total Assets3.39 B3.88 B6.37 B9.65 B11.28 B9.21 B
Net Cash Flow from Operations(175.89 M)204.34 M(1.26 B)(874.89 M)(49.22 M)(53.1 M)
Weighted Average Shares33.83 M43.04 M43.06 M43.11 M43.17 M45.01 M
Weighted Average Shares Diluted33.85 M43.09 M43.12 M43.17 M43.33 M45.12 M

Merchants Fundamentals

About Merchants Bancorp Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Merchants Bancorp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Merchants Bancorp using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Merchants Bancorp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Merchants Bancorp operates as the diversified bank holding company in the United States. The company operates through Multi-family Mortgage Banking, Mortgage Warehousing, and Banking segments. The Multi-family Mortgage Banking segment originates and services government sponsored mortgages for multi-family and healthcare facilities. This segment also offers customized loan products for independent living, assisted living, memory care, and skilled nursing projects and operates as a syndicator of low-income housing tax credit and debt funds. The Mortgage Warehousing segment funds agency eligible residential loans, including origination, purchase, and sale in the secondary market, as well as commercial loans to non-depository financial institutions. The Banking segment offers a range of financial products and services to consumers and businesses, such as various types of deposit products, as well as multi-family construction and bridge, commercial real estate, commercial and industrial, agricultural, residential mortgage, and consumer loan products. This segment also provides single-family mortgage lending construction, bridge, and lot financing first-lien home equity lines of credit and small business administration lending products and services. Merchants Bancorp was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Carmel, Indiana.

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Additionally, see Merchants Bancorp Piotroski F Score and Merchants Bancorp Altman Z Score analysis. Note that the Merchants Bancorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Merchants Bancorp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

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Is Merchants Bancorp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Merchants Bancorp. If investors know Merchants will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Merchants Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.24
Market Capitalization
973.1 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.14
Return On Assets
0.0222
Return On Equity
0.2
The market value of Merchants Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Merchants that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Merchants Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Merchants Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Merchants Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Merchants Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Merchants Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Merchants Bancorp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Merchants Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.