LCI Industries Probability Of Bankruptcy

LCII
 Stock
  

USD 100.49  1.80  1.76%   

LCI Industries Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. LCI Industries Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting LCI Industries Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the LCI Industries balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Additionally, see LCI Industries Piotroski F Score and LCI Industries Altman Z Score analysis.
  
LCI Industries Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA are most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The last year's value of Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA was reported at 463.17 Million. The current Earnings before Tax is estimated to increase to about 412.2 M, while Revenue Per Employee is projected to decrease to roughly 260.4 K.

LCI Industries Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

LCI Industries' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Consolidated Income146.51 M158.44 M287.74 M310.46 M
Direct Expenses1.83 B2.09 B3.43 B3.7 B
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current LCI Industries Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  12%  
Most of LCI Industries' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, LCI Industries is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of LCI Industries probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting LCI Industries odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of LCI Industries financial health.
Is LCI Industries' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LCI Industries. If investors know LCI Industries will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about LCI Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.036) 
Market Capitalization
2.6 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.029) 
Return On Assets
0.14
Return On Equity
0.4
The market value of LCI Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LCI Industries that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of LCI Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is LCI Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because LCI Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect LCI Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between LCI Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine LCI Industries value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LCI Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

LCI Industries Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for LCI Industries is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ford stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since LCI Industries' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of LCI Industries' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of LCI Industries' interrelated accounts and indicators.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, LCI Industries has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 12.0%. This is 71.01% lower than that of the Auto Components sector and 61.81% lower than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 69.87% higher than that of the company.

LCI Industries Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses LCI Industries' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of LCI Industries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LCI Industries by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
LCI Industries is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

LCI Industries Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Return on Average Assets12.7418.415.3413.577.6210.36
Gross Margin22.9621.0222.7425.2523.3221.62
Total Debt49.92 M294.12 M732.33 M846.39 M1.48 B1.59 B
Total Liabilities293.11 M537.64 M1.06 B1.39 B2.2 B2.37 B
Current Liabilities182.01 M177.58 M271.26 M416.39 M627.22 M676.73 M
Total Assets945.86 M1.24 B1.86 B2.3 B3.29 B3.55 B
Current Assets417.08 M526.65 M670.79 M869.8 M1.57 B1.69 B
Net Cash Flow from Operations155.08 M156.61 M269.52 M231.4 M(111.57 M)(114.51 M)
Weighted Average Shares25.02 M25.18 M25 M25.13 M25.26 M23.42 M
Weighted Average Shares Diluted25.38 M25.46 M25.09 M25.25 M25.43 M23.62 M

LCI Industries Fundamentals

About LCI Industries Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze LCI Industries's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of LCI Industries using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of LCI Industries based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
LCI Industries, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and supplies components for the manufacturers of recreational vehicles and adjacent industries in the United States and internationally. LCI Industries was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Elkhart, Indiana. LCI Industries operates under Recreational Vehicles classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 13900 people.

LCI Industries Investors Sentiment

The influence of LCI Industries' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in LCI Industries. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to LCI Industries' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in LCI Industries. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding LCI Industries can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around LCI Industries. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
LCI Industries' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for LCI Industries' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average LCI Industries' news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on LCI Industries.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards LCI Industries in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, LCI Industries' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from LCI Industries options trading.

Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as LCI Industries using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

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Additionally, see LCI Industries Piotroski F Score and LCI Industries Altman Z Score analysis. You can also try Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running LCI Industries price analysis, check to measure LCI Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LCI Industries is operating at the current time. Most of LCI Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LCI Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LCI Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LCI Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is LCI Industries' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LCI Industries. If investors know LCI Industries will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about LCI Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.036) 
Market Capitalization
2.6 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.029) 
Return On Assets
0.14
Return On Equity
0.4
The market value of LCI Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LCI Industries that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of LCI Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is LCI Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because LCI Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect LCI Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between LCI Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine LCI Industries value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LCI Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.