Hershey Probability Of Bankruptcy

HSY -  USA Stock  

USD 194.37  0.24  0.12%

Hershey Foods Corp Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. Hershey Foods Corp Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting Hershey Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Hershey balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Please check Hershey Foods Piotroski F Score and Hershey Foods Altman Z Score analysis.

Hershey Probability Of Bankruptcy 

 
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Working Capital is likely to rise to about 1.1 B in 2022, whereas Net Income Per Employee is likely to drop slightly above 56.9 K in 2022.

Hershey Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Hershey Foods' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Receivables568.51 M615.23 M553.71 M516.21 M
Inventories815.25 M964.21 M867.79 M766.4 M
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Hershey Foods Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  9%  
Most of Hershey Foods' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Hershey Foods Corp is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Hershey Foods probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Hershey Foods odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Hershey Foods Corp financial health.
Is Hershey Foods' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hershey Foods. If investors know Hershey will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hershey Foods listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Hershey Foods Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hershey that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hershey Foods' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hershey Foods' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hershey Foods' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hershey Foods' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hershey Foods' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Hershey Foods value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hershey Foods' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Hershey Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Hershey Foods is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ford stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Hershey Foods' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Hershey Foods' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Hershey Foods' interrelated accounts and indicators.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Hershey Foods Corp has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 9.0%. This is 75.12% lower than that of the Consumer Defensive sector and 65.93% lower than that of the Confectioners industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 77.4% higher than that of the company.

Hershey Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Hershey Foods' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Hershey Foods could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hershey Foods by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Hershey Foods is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Hershey Fundamentals

About Hershey Foods Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Hershey Foods Corp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Hershey Foods using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hershey Foods Corp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
The Hershey Company, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells confectionery products and pantry items. The company was founded in 1894 and is headquartered in Hershey, Pennsylvania. Hershey Foods operates under Confectioners classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 15200 people.

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Please check Hershey Foods Piotroski F Score and Hershey Foods Altman Z Score analysis. Note that the Hershey Foods Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Hershey Foods' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

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When running Hershey Foods Corp price analysis, check to measure Hershey Foods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hershey Foods is operating at the current time. Most of Hershey Foods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hershey Foods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hershey Foods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hershey Foods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Hershey Foods' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hershey Foods. If investors know Hershey will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hershey Foods listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Hershey Foods Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hershey that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hershey Foods' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hershey Foods' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hershey Foods' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hershey Foods' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hershey Foods' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Hershey Foods value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hershey Foods' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.