Harley Piotroski F Score

HOG -  USA Stock  

USD 36.61  0.88  2.35%

This module uses fundamental data of Harley Davidson to approximate its Piotroski F score. Harley Davidson F Score is determined by combining nine binary scores representing 3 distinct fundamental categories of Harley-Davidson. These three categories are profitability, efficiency, and funding. Some research analysts and sophisticated value traders use Piotroski F Score to find opportunities outside of the conventional market and financial statement analysis.They believe that some of the new information about Harley Davidson financial position does not get reflected in the current market share price suggesting a possibility of arbitrage. Please check Harley Davidson Altman Z Score, Harley Davidson Correlation, Harley Davidson Valuation, as well as analyze Harley Davidson Alpha and Beta and Harley Davidson Hype Analysis.
  
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Harley Davidson Debt Current is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Debt Current was at 2.29 Billion. The current year Debt Non Current is expected to grow to about 5.1 B, whereas Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities is forecasted to decline to (2 B). Harley Davidson Calculated Tax Rate is projected to drop based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Calculated Tax Rate was at 27.60. The current year PPandE Turnover is expected to grow to 6.72, whereas Cash Flow Per Share is forecasted to decline to 6.01.
At this time, it appears that Harley Davidson's Piotroski F Score is Healthy. Although some professional money managers and academia have recently criticized Piotroski F-Score model, we still consider it an effective method of predicting the state of the financial strength of any organization that is not predisposed to accounting gimmicks and manipulations. Using this score on the criteria to originate an efficient long-term portfolio can help investors filter out the purely speculative stocks or equities playing fundamental games by manipulating their earnings..
5.0
Piotroski F Score - Healthy
1
Current Return On AssetsPositiveFocus
2
Change in Return on AssetsIncreasedFocus
3
Cash Flow Return on AssetsPositiveFocus
4
Current Quality of Earnings (accrual)ImprovingFocus
5
Asset Turnover GrowthNo ChangeFocus
6
Current Ratio ChangeIncreaseFocus
7
Long Term Debt Over Assets ChangeHigher LeverageFocus
8
Change In Outstending SharesIncreaseFocus
9
Change in Gross MarginNo ChangeFocus

Harley Davidson Piotroski F Score Drivers

The critical factor to consider when applying the Piotroski F Score to Harley Davidson is to make sure Harley is not a subject of accounting manipulations and runs a healthy internal audit department. So, if Harley Davidson's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back. Below are the main accounts that are used in the Piotroski F Score model. By analyzing the historical trends of the mains drivers, investors can determine if Harley Davidson's financial numbers are properly reported.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Weighted Average Shares159.7 M153.9 M
Sufficiently Up
Decreasing
Slightly volatile
Weighted Average Shares Diluted207.7 M177 M
Fairly Up
Decreasing
Slightly volatile
Net Cash Flow from Operations1.1 B975.7 M
Fairly Up
Increasing
Slightly volatile
Total Assets11.7 B11.1 B
Notably Up
Increasing
Slightly volatile
Total Liabilities9.1 B8.5 B
Notably Up
Increasing
Slightly volatile
Current Assets4.9 B4.6 B
Notably Up
Increasing
Slightly volatile
Current Liabilities3.4 B3.3 B
Fairly Up
Increasing
Slightly volatile
Total Debt7.5 B6.9 B
Significantly Up
Increasing
Slightly volatile
Return on Average Assets0.05410.0522
Sufficiently Up
Decreasing
Slightly volatile
Gross Margin0.340.351
Sufficiently Down
Decreasing
Slightly volatile
Asset Turnover0.480.48
Steady
Decreasing
Slightly volatile

Harley-Davidson F Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to project the various growth rates. Understanding the correlation between Harley Davidson's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Harley Davidson in a much-optimized way.

About Harley Davidson Piotroski F Score

F-Score is one of many stock grading techniques developed by Joseph Piotroski, a professor of accounting at the Stanford University Graduate School of Business. It was published in 2002 under the paper titled Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information to Separate Winners from Losers. Piotroski F Score is based on binary analysis strategy in which stocks are given one point for passing 9 very simple fundamental tests, and zero point otherwise. According to Mr. Piotroski's analysis, his F-Score binary model can help to predict the performance of low price-to-book stocks.

Weighted Average Shares

159.66 Million

Share
Harley Davidson Weighted Average Shares is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Weighted Average Shares was at 153.88 Million

Harley Davidson Current Valuation Drivers

We derive many important indicators used in calculating different scores of Harley Davidson from analyzing Harley Davidson's financial statements. These drivers represent accounts that assess Harley Davidson's ability to generate profits relative to its revenue, operating costs, and shareholders' equity. Below are some of Harley Davidson's important valuation drivers and their relationship over time.
201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Net Income Per Employee89.96 K100.27 K75.65 K249286.35293.88
Revenue Per Employee973.66 K1.08 M957.46 K777.56 K699.8 K754.32 K
Average Assets10.21 B10.5 B10.61 B12.21 B11.12 B11.84 B
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA894.84 M717.51 M588.49 M15.39 M850.21 M815.93 M
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization USD894.84 M717.51 M588.49 M15.39 M850.21 M815.93 M
Earnings before Tax863.84 M686.63 M557.41 M(15.73 M)819.24 M786.71 M
Average Equity1.94 B2.02 B1.84 B1.7 B2.26 B2.16 B
Enterprise Value14.8 B11.69 B12.24 B11.44 B10.84 B11.74 B
Free Cash Flow798.77 M992.4 M686.83 M1.05 B855.52 M930.82 M
Invested Capital13.01 B13.36 B13.86 B13.59 B12.56 B13.85 B
Invested Capital Average13.25 B13.07 B13.52 B13.85 B12.78 B14.02 B
Market Capitalization8.56 B5.56 B5.74 B5.63 B5.8 B6.87 B
Tangible Asset Value9.92 B10.61 B10.46 B11.94 B10.99 B11.64 B
Working Capital726.57 M886.84 M1.01 B1.86 B1.21 B1.22 B

About Harley Davidson Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Harley-Davidson's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Harley Davidson using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Harley-Davidson based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Harley-Davidson, Inc. manufactures and sells custom, cruiser, and touring motorcycles. Harley-Davidson, Inc. was founded in 1903 and is based in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Harley Davidson operates under Recreational Vehicles classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 5150 people.

Harley Davidson Investors Sentiment

The influence of Harley Davidson's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Harley. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Harley Davidson Implied Volatility

    
  59.13  
Harley Davidson's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Harley-Davidson stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Harley Davidson's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Harley Davidson stock will not fluctuate a lot when Harley Davidson's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Harley Davidson in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Harley Davidson's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Harley Davidson options trading.

Current Sentiment - HOG

Harley-Davidson Investor Sentiment

Greater number of Macroaxis users are currently bullish on Harley-Davidson. What is your judgment towards investing in Harley-Davidson? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish
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Please check Harley Davidson Altman Z Score, Harley Davidson Correlation, Harley Davidson Valuation, as well as analyze Harley Davidson Alpha and Beta and Harley Davidson Hype Analysis. Note that the Harley-Davidson information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Harley Davidson's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Commodity Channel Index module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

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Is Harley Davidson's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Harley Davidson. If investors know Harley will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Harley Davidson listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Harley-Davidson is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Harley that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Harley Davidson's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Harley Davidson's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Harley Davidson's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Harley Davidson's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Harley Davidson's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Harley Davidson value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Harley Davidson's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.