Harley Z Score

HOG
 Stock
  

USD 32.09  0.48  1.47%   

Altman Z Score is one of the simplest fundamental models to determine how likely your company is to fail. The module uses available fundamental data of a given equity to approximate the Altman Z score. Altman Z Score is determined by evaluating five fundamental price points available from the company's current public disclosure documents. Please check Harley Davidson Piotroski F Score and Harley Davidson Valuation analysis.
  
Refresh
Harley Davidson Invested Capital Average is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Invested Capital Average was at 12.78 Billion. The current year Market Capitalization is expected to grow to about 6.9 B, whereas Capital Expenditure is forecasted to decline to (129.7 M). Harley Davidson Operating Expenses is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Operating Expenses was at 1.05 Billion. The current year Selling General and Administrative Expense is expected to grow to about 1.2 B, whereas Cost of Revenue is forecasted to decline to about 3.3 B.

Harley Z Score Analysis

Harley Davidson's Z-Score is a simple linear, multi-factor model that measures the financial health and economic stability of a company. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm going into bankruptcy within next 24 months or two fiscal years from the day stated on the accounting statements used to calculate it. The model uses five fundamental business ratios that are weighted according to algorithm of Professor Edward Altman who developed it in the late 1960s at New York University..
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Consolidated Income423.63 M1.3 M650.02 M586.11 M
Direct Expenses3.57 B2.86 B3.46 B3.84 B
Z Score 
 = 
Sum Of  
 
5 Factors 
More About Z Score | All Equity Analysis

Current Harley Davidson Z Score

    
  1.0  
Most of Harley Davidson's fundamental indicators, such as Z Score, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Harley-Davidson is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
First Factor
 = 
1.2 * (
Working Capital
/
Total Assets )
Second Factor
 = 
1.4 * (
Retained Earnings
/
Total Assets )
Thrid Factor
 = 
3.3 * (
EBITAD
/
Total Assets )
Fouth Factor
 = 
0.6 * (
Market Value of Equity
/
Total Liabilities )
Fifth Factor
 = 
0.99 * (
Revenue
/
Total Assets )

Harley Z Score Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Harley Davidson is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ford stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Z Score. Since Harley Davidson's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Harley Davidson's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Harley Davidson's interrelated accounts and indicators.
To calculate Z-Score one would need to know current working capital of the company, its total assets, and liabilities, amount of latest retained earnings as well as earnings before interest and tax. Z-Score can be used to compare the odds of bankruptcy of companies in a similar line of business or firms operating in the same industry. Companies with Z-Scores above 3.1 are generally considered to be stable and healthy with a low probability of bankruptcy. Scores that fall between 1.8 and 3.1 lie in a so-called 'grey area' with scores of less than 1, indicating the high probability of distress. Z Score is used widely by financial auditors, accountants, money managers, loan processers, wealth advisers, as well as day traders. In the last 25 years, many financial models that utilize z score has been proved to be successful as a predictor of corporate bankruptcy.
Compare to competition

According to the company's disclosures, Harley-Davidson has a Z Score of 1.0. This is 69.04% lower than that of the Consumer Cyclical sector and 82.7% lower than that of the Recreational Vehicles industry. The z score for all United States stocks is 88.53% higher than that of the company.

Harley Z Score Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Harley Davidson's direct or indirect competition against its Z Score to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Harley Davidson could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Harley Davidson by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Harley Davidson is currently under evaluation in z score category among related companies.

Harley Davidson Current Valuation Drivers

We derive many important indicators used in calculating different scores of Harley Davidson from analyzing Harley Davidson's financial statements. These drivers represent accounts that assess Harley Davidson's ability to generate profits relative to its revenue, operating costs, and shareholders' equity. Below are some of Harley Davidson's important valuation drivers and their relationship over time.
201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Net Income Per Employee89.96 K100.27 K75.65 K249112.07 K110.92 K
Revenue Per Employee973.66 K1.08 M957.46 K777.56 K920.05 K870.36 K
Average Assets10.21 B10.5 B10.61 B12.21 B11.12 B11.84 B
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA894.84 M717.51 M588.49 M15.39 M850.21 M815.93 M
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization USD894.84 M717.51 M588.49 M15.39 M850.21 M815.93 M
Earnings before Tax863.84 M686.63 M557.41 M(15.73 M)819.24 M786.71 M
Average Equity1.94 B2.02 B1.84 B1.7 B2.26 B2.16 B
Enterprise Value14.8 B11.69 B12.24 B11.44 B10.84 B11.74 B
Free Cash Flow798.77 M992.4 M686.83 M1.05 B855.52 M930.82 M
Invested Capital13.01 B13.36 B13.86 B13.59 B12.56 B13.85 B
Invested Capital Average13.25 B13.07 B13.52 B13.85 B12.78 B14.02 B
Market Capitalization8.56 B5.56 B5.74 B5.63 B5.8 B6.87 B
Tangible Asset Value9.92 B10.61 B10.46 B11.94 B10.99 B11.64 B
Working Capital726.57 M886.84 M1.01 B1.86 B1.21 B1.22 B

Harley Davidson Institutional Holders

Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in Harley Davidson that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may purchase large blocks of Harley Davidson's outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing Harley Davidson's value.
Security TypeSharesValue
Mr Capital Management IncCommon Shares25.00.0
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares13.3 M524.9 M
Blackrock IncCommon Shares12.7 M501.5 M
H Partners Management LlcCommon Shares12.6 M496.4 M
Boston PartnersCommon Shares10 M393.3 M
Beutel Goodman Co LtdCommon Shares7.2 M284 M
Lsv Asset ManagementCommon SharesM196.4 M

Harley Fundamentals

About Harley Davidson Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Harley-Davidson's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Harley Davidson using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Harley-Davidson based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
The company operates in two segments, Motorcycles and Related Products and Financial Services. Harley-Davidson, Inc. was founded in 1903 and is based in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Harley Davidson operates under Recreational Vehicles classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 5800 people.

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Harley Davidson without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate.risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

Did you try this?

Run Portfolio Manager Now

   

Portfolio Manager

State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital
All  Next Launch Module

Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Harley-Davidson using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

Build Optimal Portfolios

Align your risk with return expectations

Fix your portfolio
By capturing your risk tolerance and investment horizon Macroaxis technology of instant portfolio optimization will compute exactly how much risk is acceptable for your desired return expectations
Please check Harley Davidson Piotroski F Score and Harley Davidson Valuation analysis. Note that the Harley-Davidson information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Harley Davidson's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

Complementary Tools for Harley Stock analysis

When running Harley-Davidson price analysis, check to measure Harley Davidson's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Harley Davidson is operating at the current time. Most of Harley Davidson's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Harley Davidson's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Harley Davidson's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Harley Davidson to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Go
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Go
Stock Screener
Find equities using custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook.
Go
Sync Your Broker
Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors.
Go
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Go
Cryptocurrency Center
Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency
Go
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Go
Financial Widgets
Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets
Go
Analyst Recommendations
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Go
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals
Go
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Go
Probability Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Go
Shere Portfolio
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Go
Is Harley Davidson's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Harley Davidson. If investors know Harley will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Harley Davidson listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Harley-Davidson is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Harley that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Harley Davidson's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Harley Davidson's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Harley Davidson's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Harley Davidson's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Harley Davidson's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Harley Davidson value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Harley Davidson's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.