Howard Probability Of Bankruptcy

HBMD -  USA Stock  

USD 23.30  0.00  0.00%

Howard Bancorp Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. Howard Bancorp Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting Howard Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Howard balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Please check Risk vs Return Analysis.
  
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Howard Bancorp Average Equity is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Average Equity was at 340.05 Million. The current year Free Cash Flow is expected to grow to about 74.8 M, whereas Revenue Per Employee is forecasted to decline to about 296.5 K.

Howard Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Howard Bancorp's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Revenues USD86.15 M76.12 M87.53 M73.1 M
Revenues86.15 M76.12 M87.53 M73.1 M
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Howard Bancorp Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  42%  
Most of Howard Bancorp's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Howard Bancorp is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Howard Bancorp probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Howard Bancorp odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Howard Bancorp financial health.
Is Howard Bancorp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Howard Bancorp. If investors know Howard will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Howard Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Howard Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Howard that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Howard Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Howard Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Howard Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Howard Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Howard Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Howard Bancorp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Howard Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Howard Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Howard Bancorp is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ford stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Howard Bancorp's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Howard Bancorp's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Howard Bancorp's interrelated accounts and indicators.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Howard Bancorp has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 42.0%. This is 15.88% lower than that of the Financial Services sector and significantly higher than that of the Banks—Regional industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 5.45% lower than that of the firm.
Chance Of Financial Distress
Less than 42
Howard Bancorp has less than 42 (%) percent chance of experiencing financial distress in the next two years of operations. The calculation of odds of distress for Howard Bancorp stock is tightly coupled with the Probability of Bankruptcy. It complements the equity performance score by supplying investors with insight into company financials without requiring them to know too much about all of the complex accounting and financial indicators surrounding the entity. More Info

Howard Bancorp Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Return on Average Assets0.006(0.002)0.007(0.007)(0.0063)(0.006466)
Asset Turnover0.0490.0470.050.030.0270.0324
Total Debt148.92 M276.65 M319.37 M242.07 M278.38 M227.84 M
Total Liabilities1.02 B1.97 B2.06 B2.24 B2.58 B2.78 B
Total Assets1.15 B2.27 B2.37 B2.54 B2.92 B3.15 B
Net Cash Flow from Operations16.9 M54.81 M20.56 M60.67 M69.77 M75.27 M
Weighted Average Shares9.81 M19.03 M19.08 M18.74 M21.55 M23.26 M
Weighted Average Shares Diluted9.6 M17.56 M19.07 M18.77 M16.89 M18.22 M

Howard Fundamentals

About Howard Bancorp Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Howard Bancorp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Howard Bancorp using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Howard Bancorp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Howard Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Howard Bank that provides commercial banking, mortgage banking, and consumer finance products and services to businesses, business owners, professionals, and other consumers. Howard Bancorp, Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Baltimore, Maryland. Howard Bancorp operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 235 people.

Howard Bancorp Investors Sentiment

The influence of Howard Bancorp's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Howard. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Howard Bancorp in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Howard Bancorp's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Howard Bancorp options trading.

Current Sentiment - HBMD

Howard Bancorp Investor Sentiment

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Please check Risk vs Return Analysis. Note that the Howard Bancorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Howard Bancorp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.

Other Tools for Howard Stock

When running Howard Bancorp price analysis, check to measure Howard Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Howard Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of Howard Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Howard Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Howard Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Howard Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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