Hawaiian Probability Of Bankruptcy

HA -  USA Stock  

USD 15.43  0.89  6.12%

Hawaiian Hlds Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. Hawaiian Hlds Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting Hawaiian Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Hawaiian balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Please check Hawaiian Hlds Piotroski F Score and Hawaiian Hlds Altman Z Score analysis.
  
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Hawaiian Hlds Revenue Per Employee is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Revenue Per Employee was at 183,570. The current year Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA is expected to grow to about 65.1 M, whereas Net Income Per Employee is forecasted to decline to (113.9 K).

Hawaiian Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Hawaiian Hlds' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Interest Expense27.86 M40.44 M110.43 M119.15 M
Gross Profit1.5 B227.12 M628.4 M932.62 M
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Hawaiian Hlds Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  51%  
Most of Hawaiian Hlds' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Hawaiian Hlds is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Hawaiian Hlds probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Hawaiian Hlds odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Hawaiian Hlds financial health.
Is Hawaiian Hlds' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hawaiian Hlds. If investors know Hawaiian will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hawaiian Hlds listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.076
Market Capitalization
746.3 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
1.62
Return On Assets
-0.0612
Return On Equity
-0.4
The market value of Hawaiian Hlds is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hawaiian that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hawaiian Hlds' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hawaiian Hlds' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hawaiian Hlds' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hawaiian Hlds' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hawaiian Hlds' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Hawaiian Hlds value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hawaiian Hlds' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Hawaiian Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Hawaiian Hlds is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ford stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Hawaiian Hlds' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Hawaiian Hlds' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Hawaiian Hlds' interrelated accounts and indicators.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Hawaiian Hlds has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 51%. This is 19.77% higher than that of the Industrials sector and 19.41% higher than that of the Airlines industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 28.04% lower than that of the firm.

Hawaiian Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Hawaiian Hlds' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Hawaiian Hlds could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hawaiian Hlds by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Hawaiian Hlds is rated below average in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Hawaiian Hlds Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Return on Average Assets0.120.0740.057(0.13)(0.029)(0.0297)
Gross Margin0.560.510.530.270.390.4
Total Debt570.67 M709.78 M1.36 B1.88 B2.43 B2.62 B
Total Liabilities2.03 B2.25 B3.04 B3.38 B4.06 B3.49 B
Current Liabilities936.96 M1.01 B1.08 B1 B1.11 B1.08 B
Total Assets2.87 B3.2 B4.13 B3.98 B4.63 B4.13 B
Current Assets716.08 M705.17 M874.71 M1.12 B2.01 B2.17 B
Net Cash Flow from Operations331.13 M508.51 M485.14 M(310.71 M)251.34 M255.23 M
Weighted Average Shares53.07 M50.34 M47.44 M46.1 M50.77 M48.27 M
Weighted Average Shares Diluted53.41 M50.49 M47.55 M46.1 M50.77 M49.03 M

Hawaiian Fundamentals

About Hawaiian Hlds Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Hawaiian Hlds's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Hawaiian Hlds using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hawaiian Hlds based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Hawaiian Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiary, Hawaiian Airlines, Inc., engages in the scheduled air transportation of passengers and cargo. Hawaiian Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1929 and is headquartered in Honolulu, Hawaii. Hawaiian Hlds operates under Airlines classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 6656 people.

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Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Hawaiian Hlds without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate.risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Please check Hawaiian Hlds Piotroski F Score and Hawaiian Hlds Altman Z Score analysis. Note that the Hawaiian Hlds information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Hawaiian Hlds' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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Is Hawaiian Hlds' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hawaiian Hlds. If investors know Hawaiian will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hawaiian Hlds listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.076
Market Capitalization
746.3 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
1.62
Return On Assets
-0.0612
Return On Equity
-0.4
The market value of Hawaiian Hlds is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hawaiian that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hawaiian Hlds' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hawaiian Hlds' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hawaiian Hlds' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hawaiian Hlds' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hawaiian Hlds' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Hawaiian Hlds value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hawaiian Hlds' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.