Facebook Probability Of Bankruptcy

FB -  USA Stock  

USD 340.78  0.79  0.23%

Facebook Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. Facebook Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting Facebook Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Facebook balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Please check Facebook Piotroski F Score and Facebook Altman Z Score analysis.

Facebook Probability Of Bankruptcy 

 
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Facebook Average Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Average Assets were at 145.95 Billion. The current year Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA is expected to grow to about 43.2 B, whereas Net Income Per Employee is forecasted to decline to about 419.7 K.

Facebook Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Facebook's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
 2018 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Consolidated Income22.11 B18.48 B29.15 B31.45 B
Direct Expenses9.36 B12.77 B16.69 B18.01 B
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Facebook Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  1%  
Most of Facebook's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Facebook is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Facebook probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Facebook odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Facebook financial health.
The market value of Facebook is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Facebook that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Facebook's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Facebook's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Facebook's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Facebook underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Facebook's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Facebook value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Facebook's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Facebook Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Facebook is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ford stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Facebook's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Facebook's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Facebook's interrelated accounts and indicators.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Facebook has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 1.0%. This is 98.06% lower than that of the Communication Services sector and significantly higher than that of the Internet Content & Information industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 97.49% higher than that of the company.

Facebook Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Facebook's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Facebook could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Facebook by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Facebook is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Facebook Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201620172018201920202021 (projected)
Return on Average Assets0.0810.180.210.240.150.2
Gross Margin0.840.860.870.820.810.89
Total Liabilities5.77 B10.18 B13.21 B32.32 B31.03 B33.48 B
Current Liabilities2.88 B3.76 B7.02 B15.05 B14.98 B16.16 B
Total Assets64.96 B84.52 B97.33 B133.38 B159.32 B171.89 B
Current Assets34.4 B48.56 B50.48 B66.22 B75.67 B81.64 B
Net Cash Flow from Operations16.11 B24.22 B29.27 B36.31 B38.75 B41.81 B
Weighted Average Shares2.86 B2.9 B2.89 B2.85 B2.85 B2.9 B
Weighted Average Shares Diluted2.92 B2.96 B2.92 B2.88 B2.89 B2.98 B

Facebook Fundamentals

About Facebook Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Facebook's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Facebook using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Facebook based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Facebook, Inc. develops products that enable people to connect and share with friends and family through mobile devices, personal computers, virtual reality headsets, and in-home devices worldwide. Facebook, Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, California. Facebook operates under Internet Content Information classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 63404 people.

Facebook Investors Sentiment

The influence of Facebook's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Facebook. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Current Sentiment - FB

Facebook Investor Sentiment

Nearly all of Macroaxis users are currently bullish on Facebook. What is your opinion about investing in Facebook? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish
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Please check Facebook Piotroski F Score and Facebook Altman Z Score analysis. Note that the Facebook information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Facebook's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..

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The market value of Facebook is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Facebook that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Facebook's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Facebook's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Facebook's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Facebook underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Facebook's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Facebook value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Facebook's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.