Ford Z Score

F -  USA Stock  

USD 12.50  0.35  2.72%

Altman Z Score is one of the simplest fundamental models to determine how likely your company is to fail. The module uses available fundamental data of a given equity to approximate the Altman Z score. Altman Z Score is determined by evaluating five fundamental price points available from the company's current public disclosure documents. Please check Ford Piotroski F Score and Ford Valuation analysis.
  
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Ford Invested Capital is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Invested Capital was at 283.86 Billion. The current year Invested Capital Average is expected to grow to about 320.9 B, whereas Market Capitalization is forecasted to decline to about 72.6 B. Ford Cost of Revenue is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Cost of Revenue was at 119.9 Billion. The current year Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT is expected to grow to about 21.2 B, whereas Gross Profit is forecasted to decline to about 15.2 B.

Ford Z Score Analysis

Ford's Z-Score is a simple linear, multi-factor model that measures the financial health and economic stability of a company. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm going into bankruptcy within next 24 months or two fiscal years from the day stated on the accounting statements used to calculate it. The model uses five fundamental business ratios that are weighted according to algorithm of Professor Edward Altman who developed it in the late 1960s at New York University..
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Interest Expense1.02 B1.65 B1.8 B1.57 B
Gross Profit11.73 B5.79 B16.44 B15.2 B
Z Score 
 = 
Sum Of  
 
5 Factors 
More About Z Score | All Equity Analysis
First Factor
 = 
1.2 * (
Working Capital
/
Total Assets )
Second Factor
 = 
1.4 * (
Retained Earnings
/
Total Assets )
Thrid Factor
 = 
3.3 * (
EBITAD
/
Total Assets )
Fouth Factor
 = 
0.6 * (
Market Value of Equity
/
Total Liabilities )
Fifth Factor
 = 
0.99 * (
Revenue
/
Total Assets )

Ford Z Score Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Ford is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ford stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Z Score. Since Ford's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Ford's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Ford's interrelated accounts and indicators.
To calculate Z-Score one would need to know current working capital of the company, its total assets, and liabilities, amount of latest retained earnings as well as earnings before interest and tax. Z-Score can be used to compare the odds of bankruptcy of companies in a similar line of business or firms operating in the same industry. Companies with Z-Scores above 3.1 are generally considered to be stable and healthy with a low probability of bankruptcy. Scores that fall between 1.8 and 3.1 lie in a so-called 'grey area' with scores of less than 1, indicating the high probability of distress. Z Score is used widely by financial auditors, accountants, money managers, loan processers, wealth advisers, as well as day traders. In the last 25 years, many financial models that utilize z score has been proved to be successful as a predictor of corporate bankruptcy.
Compare to competition

According to the company's disclosures, Ford Motor has a Z Score of 0.0. This is 100.0% lower than that of the Consumer Cyclical sector and 100.0% lower than that of the Auto Manufacturers industry. The z score for all United States stocks is 100.0% higher than that of the company.

Ford Current Valuation Drivers

We derive many important indicators used in calculating different scores of Ford from analyzing Ford's financial statements. These drivers represent accounts that assess Ford's ability to generate profits relative to its revenue, operating costs, and shareholders' equity. Below are some of Ford's important valuation drivers and their relationship over time.
201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Net Income Per Employee37.63 K18.48 K247(6.86 K)98.02 K105.75 K
Revenue Per Employee776.12 K805.72 K820.53 K681.7 K745.03 K841.58 K
Average Assets250.33 B260.2 B260.54 B265.18 B254.77 B266.04 B
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA18.56 B14.94 B10.03 B9.28 B26.93 B23.12 B
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization USD18.56 B14.94 B10.03 B9.28 B26.93 B23.12 B
Earnings before Tax8.13 B4.33 B(677 M)(1.12 B)17.81 B19.21 B
Average Equity32.92 B36.34 B35.26 B31.07 B38.4 B36.12 B
Enterprise Value181.14 B165.3 B170.46 B167.98 B200.14 B200.24 B
Free Cash Flow11.05 B7.24 B10.01 B18.53 B9.56 B10.2 B
Invested Capital299.69 B298.47 B298.21 B306.51 B283.86 B316.85 B
Invested Capital Average288.01 B301.13 B297.25 B309.54 B287.77 B320.88 B
Market Capitalization49.61 B30.43 B36.87 B34.97 B83 B72.62 B
Tangible Asset Value258.5 B256.54 B258.54 B267.26 B257.04 B268.92 B
Working Capital22.2 B19.08 B15.91 B19.55 B18.27 B17.64 B

Ford Institutional Holders

Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in Ford that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may purchase large blocks of Ford's outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing Ford's value.
Security TypeSharesValue
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares325.3 M5.5 B
Blackrock IncCommon Shares272.7 M4.6 B
State Street CorpCommon Shares175.6 MB
Newport Trust CoCommon Shares147.1 M2.5 B
Geode Capital Management LlcCommon Shares68 M1.1 B
Bank Of America CorpCommon Shares64.7 M1.1 B
Northern Trust CorpCommon Shares40 M676.7 M
Susquehanna International Group LlpPut Options30.2 M510.5 M
Citadel Advisors LlcCall Options19.7 M333.3 M

Ford Fundamentals

About Ford Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Ford Motor's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Ford using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ford Motor based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Ford Motor Company designs, manufactures, markets, and services a range of Ford trucks, cars, sport utility vehicles, electrified vehicles, and Lincoln luxury vehicles worldwide. Ford Motor Company was incorporated in 1903 and is based in Dearborn, Michigan. Ford operates under Auto Manufacturers classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 183000 people.

Ford Investors Sentiment

The influence of Ford's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Ford. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Ford Implied Volatility

    
  60.67  
Ford's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ford Motor stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ford's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ford stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ford's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Ford in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Ford's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Ford options trading.

Current Sentiment - F

Ford Motor Investor Sentiment

Most of Macroaxis users are currently bullish on Ford Motor. What is your opinion about investing in Ford Motor? Are you bullish or bearish?
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Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish
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Please check Ford Piotroski F Score and Ford Valuation analysis. Note that the Ford Motor information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Ford's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.

Complementary Tools for Ford Stock analysis

When running Ford Motor price analysis, check to measure Ford's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ford is operating at the current time. Most of Ford's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ford's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ford's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ford to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Ford's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ford. If investors know Ford will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ford listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Ford Motor is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ford that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ford's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ford's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ford's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ford's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ford's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Ford value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ford's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.