Equity Probability Of Bankruptcy

EQR -  USA Stock  

USD 73.76  2.06  2.72%

Equity Residential Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. Equity Residential Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting Equity Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Equity balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Continue to Equity Residential Piotroski F Score and Equity Residential Altman Z Score analysis.
  
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Equity Residential Net Income Per Employee is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Equity Residential reported last year Net Income Per Employee of 315,394. As of 05/19/2022, Average Assets is likely to grow to about 22.8 B, while Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA are likely to drop slightly above 2.3 B.

Equity Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Equity Residential's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
 2020 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.761.11
Interest Coverage2.141.77
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Equity Residential Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  40%  
Most of Equity Residential's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Equity Residential is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Equity Residential probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Equity Residential odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Equity Residential financial health.
Is Equity Residential's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Equity Residential. If investors know Equity will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Equity Residential listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Equity Residential is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Equity that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Equity Residential's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Equity Residential's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Equity Residential's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Equity Residential's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Equity Residential's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Equity Residential value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Equity Residential's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Equity Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Equity Residential is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ford stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Equity Residential's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Equity Residential's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Equity Residential's interrelated accounts and indicators.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Equity Residential has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 40.0%. This is 6.48% lower than that of the Real Estate sector and significantly higher than that of the REIT—Residential industry. This indicator is about the same for all United States stocks average (which is currently at 39.83).
Chance Of Financial Distress
Less than 40
Equity Residential has less than 40 (%) percent chance of experiencing financial distress in the next two years of operations. The calculation of odds of distress for Equity Residential stock is tightly coupled with the Probability of Bankruptcy. It complements the equity performance score by supplying investors with insight into company financials without requiring them to know too much about all of the complex accounting and financial indicators surrounding the entity. More Info

Equity Residential Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Return on Average Assets0.0290.0320.0460.0440.0650.0596
Total Debt8.96 B8.82 B9.37 B8.37 B8.65 B8.53 B
Total Liabilities9.73 B9.62 B10.16 B9.18 B9.48 B9.31 B
Current Liabilities430.64 M438.95 M449.59 M466 M419.4 M411.23 M
Total Assets20.57 B20.39 B21.17 B20.29 B21.17 B23.09 B
Current Assets100.76 M116.31 M117 M99.73 M114.69 M117.71 M
Net Cash Flow from Operations1.27 B1.36 B1.46 B1.27 B1.26 B1.36 B
Weighted Average Shares366.97 M368.05 M370.46 M371.79 M373.83 M401.63 M
Weighted Average Shares Diluted382.68 M383.69 M386.33 M385.87 M388.09 M416.68 M

Equity Fundamentals

About Equity Residential Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Equity Residential's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Equity Residential using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Equity Residential based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Equity Residential is committed to creating communities where people thrive. Equity Residential owns or has investments in 305 properties consisting of 78,568 apartment units, located in Boston, New York, Washington, D.C., Seattle, San Francisco, Southern California and Denver. Equity Residential operates under REITResidential classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 2600 people.

Equity Residential Investors Sentiment

The influence of Equity Residential's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Equity. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Equity Residential Implied Volatility

    
  90.43  
Equity Residential's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Equity Residential stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Equity Residential's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Equity Residential stock will not fluctuate a lot when Equity Residential's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Equity Residential in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Equity Residential's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Equity Residential options trading.

Current Sentiment - EQR

Equity Residential Investor Sentiment

Greater number of Macroaxis users are currently bullish on Equity Residential. What is your opinion about investing in Equity Residential? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish
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Pair Trading with Equity Residential

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Equity Residential position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Equity Residential will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Equity Residential Pair Correlation

Correlation Analysis For Direct Indexing and Tax-loss Harvesting

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Equity Residential could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Equity Residential when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Equity Residential - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Equity Residential to buy it.
The correlation of Equity Residential is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Equity Residential moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Equity Residential moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Equity Residential can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Continue to Equity Residential Piotroski F Score and Equity Residential Altman Z Score analysis. Note that the Equity Residential information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Equity Residential's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

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When running Equity Residential price analysis, check to measure Equity Residential's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Equity Residential is operating at the current time. Most of Equity Residential's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Equity Residential's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Equity Residential's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Equity Residential to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Equity Residential's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Equity Residential. If investors know Equity will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Equity Residential listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Equity Residential is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Equity that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Equity Residential's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Equity Residential's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Equity Residential's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Equity Residential's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Equity Residential's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Equity Residential value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Equity Residential's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.