Amdocs Probability Of Bankruptcy

DOX
 Stock
  

USD 84.45  1.14  1.37%   

Amdocs Limited Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. Amdocs Limited Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting Amdocs Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Amdocs balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Continue to Amdocs Piotroski F Score and Amdocs Altman Z Score analysis.
  
Refresh
Amdocs Invested Capital is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Amdocs reported Invested Capital of 2.58 Billion in 2021. Invested Capital Average is likely to rise to about 2.8 B in 2022, whereas Net Income Per Employee is likely to drop slightly above 19.8 K in 2022.

Amdocs Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Amdocs' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Accounts Payable110.14 M121.2 M139.38 M156.14 M
Receivables861.03 M866.82 M780.14 M737.36 M
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Amdocs Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  6%  
Most of Amdocs' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Amdocs Limited is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Amdocs probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Amdocs odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Amdocs Limited financial health.
Is Amdocs' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Amdocs. If investors know Amdocs will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Amdocs listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.41
Market Capitalization
10.4 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.092
Return On Assets
0.0601
Return On Equity
0.16
The market value of Amdocs Limited is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Amdocs that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Amdocs' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Amdocs' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Amdocs' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Amdocs' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Amdocs' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Amdocs value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amdocs' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Amdocs Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Amdocs is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ford stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Amdocs' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Amdocs' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Amdocs' interrelated accounts and indicators.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Amdocs Limited has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 6.0%. This is 85.17% lower than that of the Technology sector and significantly higher than that of the Software—Infrastructure industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 84.94% higher than that of the company.

Amdocs Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Amdocs' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Amdocs could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amdocs by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Amdocs is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Amdocs Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Return on Average Assets0.0650.0910.0820.10.120.11
Total Liabilities1.86 B1.75 B2.68 B2.88 B3.31 B2.86 B
Current Liabilities1.29 B1.21 B1.22 B1.3 B1.5 B1.49 B
Total Assets5.35 B5.29 B6.34 B6.51 B7.49 B7.04 B
Current Assets1.72 B1.68 B2.07 B2.07 B1.86 B1.85 B
Net Cash Flow from Operations557.25 M656.38 M658.14 M925.81 M1.06 B942.25 M
Weighted Average Shares144.39 M140.18 M134.77 M131.54 M118.38 M126.6 M

Amdocs Fundamentals

About Amdocs Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Amdocs Limited's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Amdocs using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Amdocs Limited based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Amdocs Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides software and services worldwide. Amdocs Limited was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Chesterfield, Missouri. Amdocs operates under SoftwareInfrastructure classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 29000 people.

Amdocs Investors Sentiment

The influence of Amdocs' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Amdocs. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Amdocs Implied Volatility

    
  33.35  
Amdocs' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Amdocs Limited stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Amdocs' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Amdocs stock will not fluctuate a lot when Amdocs' options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Amdocs in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Amdocs' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Amdocs options trading.

Current Sentiment - DOX

Amdocs Limited Investor Sentiment

Greater number of Macroaxis users are currently bullish on Amdocs Limited. What is your sentiment towards investing in Amdocs Limited? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish

Pair Trading with Amdocs

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Amdocs position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Amdocs will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Amdocs Pair Correlation

Correlation Analysis For Direct Indexing and Tax-loss Harvesting

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Amdocs could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Amdocs when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Amdocs - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Amdocs Limited to buy it.
The correlation of Amdocs is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Amdocs moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Amdocs Limited moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Amdocs can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Continue to Amdocs Piotroski F Score and Amdocs Altman Z Score analysis. Note that the Amdocs Limited information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Amdocs' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try CEO Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

Complementary Tools for Amdocs Stock analysis

When running Amdocs Limited price analysis, check to measure Amdocs' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amdocs is operating at the current time. Most of Amdocs' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amdocs' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amdocs' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amdocs to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Go
Aroon Oscillator
Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios
Go
Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk
Go
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Go
Balance Of Power
Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios
Go
Theme Ratings
Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Go
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Go
Equity Search
Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets
Go
Idea Breakdown
Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes
Go
Instant Ratings
Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Go
Price Transformation
Use Price Transformation models to analyze depth of different equity instruments across global markets
Go
Competition Analyzer
Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities
Go
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Go
Is Amdocs' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Amdocs. If investors know Amdocs will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Amdocs listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.41
Market Capitalization
10.4 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.092
Return On Assets
0.0601
Return On Equity
0.16
The market value of Amdocs Limited is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Amdocs that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Amdocs' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Amdocs' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Amdocs' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Amdocs' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Amdocs' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Amdocs value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amdocs' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.