Costco Probability Of Bankruptcy

COST
 Stock
  

USD 484.54  4.91  1.00%   

Costco Wholesale Corp Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. Costco Wholesale Corp Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting Costco Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Costco balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Continue to Costco Wholesale Piotroski F Score and Costco Wholesale Altman Z Score analysis.
  
Average Assets is likely to gain to about 39.4 B in 2022. Earnings before Tax is likely to gain to about 4 B in 2022

Costco Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Costco Wholesale's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Costco Wholesale Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  10%  
Most of Costco Wholesale's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Costco Wholesale Corp is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Costco Wholesale probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Costco Wholesale odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Costco Wholesale Corp financial health.
Is Costco Wholesale's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Costco Wholesale. If investors know Costco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Costco Wholesale listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.12
Market Capitalization
216.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.15
Return On Assets
0.0789
Return On Equity
0.31
The market value of Costco Wholesale Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Costco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Costco Wholesale's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Costco Wholesale's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Costco Wholesale's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Costco Wholesale's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Costco Wholesale's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Costco Wholesale value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Costco Wholesale's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Costco Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Costco Wholesale is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ford stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Costco Wholesale's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Costco Wholesale's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Costco Wholesale's interrelated accounts and indicators.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Costco Wholesale Corp has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 10.0%. This is 72.36% lower than that of the Food & Staples Retailing sector and 51.74% lower than that of the Consumer Staples industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 74.89% higher than that of the company.

Costco Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Costco Wholesale's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Costco Wholesale could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Costco Wholesale by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Costco Wholesale is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Costco Wholesale ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Costco Wholesale's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Costco Wholesale's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

Costco Fundamentals

About Costco Wholesale Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Costco Wholesale Corp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Costco Wholesale using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Costco Wholesale Corp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Costco Wholesale Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of membership warehouses in the United States, Puerto Rico, Canada, the United Kingdom, Mexico, Japan, Korea, Australia, Spain, France, Iceland, China, and Taiwan. Costco Wholesale Corporation was founded in 1976 and is based in Issaquah, Washington. Costco Wholesale operates under Discount Stores classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 304000 people.

Costco Wholesale Investors Sentiment

The influence of Costco Wholesale's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Costco. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Costco Wholesale's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Costco. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Costco can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Costco Wholesale Corp. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Costco Wholesale's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Costco Wholesale's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Costco Wholesale's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Costco Wholesale.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Costco Wholesale in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Costco Wholesale's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Costco Wholesale options trading.

Pair Trading with Costco Wholesale

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Costco Wholesale position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Costco Wholesale will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Costco Wholesale

+0.72CASYCaseys General Stores Earnings Call TodayPairCorr
+0.77SYYSysco Sell-off TrendPairCorr
+0.81UNFIUnited Natural Foods Earnings Call TomorrowPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Costco Wholesale could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Costco Wholesale when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Costco Wholesale - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Costco Wholesale Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Costco Wholesale is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Costco Wholesale moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Costco Wholesale Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Costco Wholesale can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Continue to Costco Wholesale Piotroski F Score and Costco Wholesale Altman Z Score analysis. You can also try Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

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Is Costco Wholesale's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Costco Wholesale. If investors know Costco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Costco Wholesale listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.12
Market Capitalization
216.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.15
Return On Assets
0.0789
Return On Equity
0.31
The market value of Costco Wholesale Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Costco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Costco Wholesale's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Costco Wholesale's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Costco Wholesale's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Costco Wholesale's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Costco Wholesale's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Costco Wholesale value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Costco Wholesale's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.