Burford Probability Of Bankruptcy

BUR
 Stock
  

USD 10.43  0.22  2.07%   

Burford Capital Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. Burford Capital Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting Burford Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Burford balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Continue to Burford Capital Piotroski F Score and Burford Capital Altman Z Score analysis.
  
Burford Capital Average Assets are relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Burford Capital reported last year Average Assets of 3.32 Billion. As of 08/12/2022, Average Equity is likely to grow to about 1.7 B, while Earnings before Tax are likely to drop (77.1 M).

Burford Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Burford Capital's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
 2015 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.30.350.37
Interest Coverage10.089.077.73
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Burford Capital Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  34%  
Most of Burford Capital's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Burford Capital is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Burford Capital probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Burford Capital odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Burford Capital financial health.
Is Burford Capital's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Burford Capital. If investors know Burford will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Burford Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.31
Market Capitalization
2.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.19
Return On Assets
0.0104
Return On Equity
-0.0182
The market value of Burford Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Burford that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Burford Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Burford Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Burford Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Burford Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Burford Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Burford Capital value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Burford Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Burford Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Burford Capital is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ford stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Burford Capital's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Burford Capital's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Burford Capital's interrelated accounts and indicators.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Burford Capital has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 34.0%. This is 31.9% lower than that of the sector and 15.42% lower than that of the Probability Of Bankruptcy industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 14.64% higher than that of the company.

Burford Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Burford Capital's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Burford Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Burford Capital by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Burford Capital is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Burford Fundamentals

About Burford Capital Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Burford Capital's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Burford Capital using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Burford Capital based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Burford Capital Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides legal finance products and services. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Saint Peter Port, Guernsey. Burford Capital operates under Asset Management classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 140 people.

Burford Capital Investors Sentiment

The influence of Burford Capital's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Burford. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Burford Capital's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Burford. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Burford can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Burford Capital. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Burford Capital's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Burford Capital's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Burford Capital's news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Burford Capital.

Burford Capital Implied Volatility

    
  30.63  
Burford Capital's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Burford Capital stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Burford Capital's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Burford Capital stock will not fluctuate a lot when Burford Capital's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Burford Capital in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Burford Capital's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Burford Capital options trading.

Pair Trading with Burford Capital

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Burford Capital position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Burford Capital will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Burford Capital

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Burford Capital could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Burford Capital when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Burford Capital - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Burford Capital to buy it.
The correlation of Burford Capital is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Burford Capital moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Burford Capital moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Burford Capital can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Continue to Burford Capital Piotroski F Score and Burford Capital Altman Z Score analysis. Note that the Burford Capital information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Burford Capital's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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When running Burford Capital price analysis, check to measure Burford Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Burford Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Burford Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Burford Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Burford Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Burford Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Burford Capital's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Burford Capital. If investors know Burford will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Burford Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.31
Market Capitalization
2.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.19
Return On Assets
0.0104
Return On Equity
-0.0182
The market value of Burford Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Burford that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Burford Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Burford Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Burford Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Burford Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Burford Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Burford Capital value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Burford Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.